Ginx snewx

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

That is the biggest crock of BS and you know it. The king of ACATT and winter Poetry . It has bothered you immensely 

Kev please please remember my 2015 posts.  I am totally satiated and whatever came after that is just a bonus. Snow is cool but seen enough in this life to be happy.  If 2015 never happened I would be seeking the holy grail. But alas I also know my climo and winter has a long long way to go.

4 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

CAD without a cold airmass is….

Relatively warm northeast flow.

Welcome to life away from your computer.

 

Some know some don't. Dont you have a clogged drain to unplug? I mean get a dog call him life and you will have one. Pretending to be a Meteorologist is very sad. Why would anyone do that.

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Fight!

Come to the GTG Lukey. I know the pope wont.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

It’s definitely a mild look overall, but with the ridge  crest in the Midwest, it does open up the door to some cold air damning events, especially in your typical favored  areas.

I mean anyone who understands NE weather in winter knows that setup is conducive to CAD . With Eastern Canada in an icebox and NNE buried in snow odds favor a colder scenario by Christmas. Aspeta santus una Padre Santus.

8 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

It’s worth recognizing…

You’re a fool..

Even with the coldest Ensemble runs of the EPS for that date, it’s still warm.

A loser taking a losing bet. Shocker.

Some Met .Doesn't understand CAD.Thinks we live at 850 and 500. As far as calling me a loser. Come to our GTG Sat and we can talk bout it.

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I truly don’t believe anyone here is fully able to shrug it off . Everyone is here because they love at least some facet of weather. Some it’s only snow.. others like me are extreme wx nuts that love every extreme there is . Whatever brings us here is weather rated and folks are not being honest of they just say they shrug it off and move on.  I will never buy that 

With age comes extreme wisdom. The knowledge that we can only control our individual lives and the realization that all that  surrounds it is uncontrollable. There is no sense in getting upset over things we cannot control. 

5 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

See more snow…than anything I’ve seen observationally or guidance wise. Everything indicating negligible chance of a white christmas near you. Plan for brown, sey-mour.

1” snow chance on 12/14 followed by a week’s worth of cutter threats. As if that wasn’t enough, the 24th/25th continue to look the warmest on the ensemble guidance…

Which Ens is that. Better look under the hood

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I really am trying. Yeah as a Met and adult you’re supposed to just let the emotions bounce off you right?  Just hoping things change.

Yes suck it up buttercup 

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Unreal how it trends in whichever direction porks us...north last week , now south.

Really is just a POS where we in the southern part of SNE hope for a inch or 2. In good winters this would be a foot note. Now even though it's wicked early people are freaking out with the prospect of bare ground. So much can change

Would be sweet if Euro and te HRRR replacement were on to something 

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

White Christmas?

Ice Christmas?  Sure as hell has an ice signal Christmas week heat +10 850s battles -20 850s

3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

It's ridiculous, best euro run in several cycles , we just got euro 6zd - it's equivalent to the nam extra 33% qpf theory

Its only a couple of tenths I mean why not. Let's ratio the shit out of this POS

26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Shoot the horse and do this to the AI model

 

 

Merry Christmas you old GRINCH

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Lots of drifting snow in town too. One of those deals where you’re driving on clear pavement and then you hit a spot where the wind funnels through and piles up a snow bridge across both lanes.

Up there?

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Bryce and Steve brothers?

He only has one real son and that's TBlizz.  Two birds of a downy feather 

37 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Just absolutely rugged out.

9F, gusty winds, arctic fine flake snow adding 2-3” more today, blowing snow, sub-zero wind chills.

 

Can you add "up here"? Kev loves that

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Is what it is son. Let’s talk about Epicosity on Saturday.

Your words pops. 

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

No melt. Just meh.

Definitely melted

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

December can have some biggies but that also shows that March used to be just as snowy, if not snowier than December. I'm sure the BDL average for March the past 10-15 years has went down

No actually steady.  Huge Marchs skew the data like the 40s in 1956 and 1993 but as a whole negligible 

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

I have the gaps in the data in a notebook that Will posted way back in the day and some stuff from Ryan too for BDL. It just sucks you check the records online and you either have no data or incorrect. Just think of the discrepancies it elicits. Like if you go check BDL on threadex for 1995-1996...it only has BDL like 106" or something versus 115.2" or 116.2" (forgot what it is).  

Climate data on snowfall is absolutely horrible.  The real reliable sites are COOPs like Jeff in Staffordville CT and Stacey in North Foster RI, also Revere Mass and Blue Hill

3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

that data gap is so stupid. It pisses me off everytime I look at snowfall data.

Will has it. Dec is actually a very prolific month and up there on highest monthly average. 

4 hours ago, weathafella said:

I plan to arrive close to 4.  Looking forward to seeing everyone!   I hearTip is bringing a Hadley cell for each attendee.

Me and Tequila Barry there around then as well. I heard Ray is using his boys Red Rider wagon to haul in his blog for us to read.

Dec snows last 100 plus years in Hartford  50/50 shot of big snows. 

11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

You really need to be outside of 495 and north of I-84 to get higher than 50/50 chances for White Christmas climatologically in SNE. ORH was around 60-65%. 
 

Obviously recent years have been bad. I think last year in 2024 is the only White Xmas in the 2020s. For ORH, then you have: 2019, 2017, 2013, 2012, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2005, 2002, 2000.
 

You could maybe count 2020 on a technicality (the snow wasn’t 100% wiped out by 12z which is the measurement time but certainly by 18z it was) 

So we’re sitting at about 50% since 2000. 

Yep since 1975 25 out of 50 years had 0 snow cover here

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Pretty good trends today too on EPS for the Xmas period....notice how much lower the heights are in SE Canada....this is kind of what we saw in clown range on the OP run where there was a lot of ridging over CONUS but we were staying colder due to the lower heights in SE Canada. That's a trend you'll want to see keep up as we get closer if you are looking to avoid macaw parrots for Xmas. 

 

 

 

 

High heights but wedged . Ice ice baby