Ginx snewx

1 minute ago, NoCORH4L said:

Is that a lot of ground to cover between now and then? Judging on history, seems like a 25 mile change is almost a now-cast movement.

100 mile shifts are common 

Based on the Euro I could see Scooter could get over a foot 

4 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Could be missing something but 12z Euro looked like 12"+ here. Pivotal could also be screwy

Add in some ratios 

People are out??lol

4 years ago tomorrow was the 2nd greatest blizzard of my life. 9 hrs of less than an 1/8 th mile visibility drifting 8 to 10 feet. Death band for hours 

14 minutes ago, weathafella said:

It was a system that buried areas from DC-far  SNE.  Not sure of the qpf but it was less vs Steve I would guess.

?  My core included 2 in pack already on the ground 

16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I remember when he saw no shadow in 2013…I think we had like 75” of snow after that point. 
 

The smart pick though is for him to see his shadow. He sees it most years. 

13 minutes ago, csnavywx said:

 

The biggest source of spread has been the placement, tilt and shape of the primary max +PV/advection lobe as it comes into the upper Midwest. Most earlier solutions were emphasizing the middle of the axis to develop the primary PV later on, but generally this process favors the far end of the trough axis. Not really shocking to see it trend that way. I have my feelings about the NAM too, but given the sensitivity of the setup, models are still almost certainly still underdispersed wrt the true spread of the probability space, so seeing some notable dprog/dt on that feature is a good thing and shouldn't be tossed out of hand, at the very least.

Thanks man

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Looks like 0.6" here? Do you slightly further N? TIA.

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think barring a significant regression, you can start tuning up the plows EOR because I don't see how this doesn't get banding well west of model depictions....again, assuming it doesn't verify further east.

Agree that there will be a massive deform band 

2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

What is that based on? Never saw those maps

Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
 

Go to CIPs analog page

38 minutes ago, dendrite said:

-2.5° on the hillside…not too bad. But yeah, there’s some double digit sub 0s around in the pits.

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

My point is I don’t have the feeling I had last week with that SWFE. This one is just this one massive gyre over the Gulf Stream doing all sorts of weird shit.

Yes what an amazing monster.  Guess that's what happens when you dump a 516 over the heart of the Gulf Stream

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Joking around 7 days out? All last week I mentioned to watch that event and even mocked Webb. Go back to tracking UConn.

Beat my Friars again last night. Awesome game again 

11 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Hated that storm..virga storm here. Hope this plays out differently. 

21 with 6 foot drifts beyond awesome storm here 

19 minutes ago, dryslot said:

06z EPS west of the 0z run.

Pics or it didn't happen lol

4 minutes ago, dendrite said:

All of the runs of all of the models are essentially the same thing. 

Well essentially true but even 5dm less gets me snow . Still on the 12/21/09 train 

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

It’s too bad it’s suppression city right into the weekend. A little more relaxation from that PV lobe and it’d probably be a big hit for the region.

That's 0z run 6 z it does relax more. 

-9 IJD

Just now, CoastalWx said:

50/50. Don’t like seeing euro AI pretty much a whiff. 

6z Euro jeus cristi Scooter where ya gonna put the snow 

Geezer I wonder where my hill is 5 here literally a half mile west @bairnis solid negative 5 and below 

This is Feb 15 like 

Agricultural nightmare. Frozen pipe city.  Gonna need a lot of plumbers, fire sprinkler peeps