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Ginx snewx

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Posts posted by Ginx snewx

  1. 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

    December can have some biggies but that also shows that March used to be just as snowy, if not snowier than December. I'm sure the BDL average for March the past 10-15 years has went down

    No actually steady.  Huge Marchs skew the data like the 40s in 1956 and 1993 but as a whole negligible 

    • Thanks 1
  2. 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

    I have the gaps in the data in a notebook that Will posted way back in the day and some stuff from Ryan too for BDL. It just sucks you check the records online and you either have no data or incorrect. Just think of the discrepancies it elicits. Like if you go check BDL on threadex for 1995-1996...it only has BDL like 106" or something versus 115.2" or 116.2" (forgot what it is).  

    Climate data on snowfall is absolutely horrible.  The real reliable sites are COOPs like Jeff in Staffordville CT and Stacey in North Foster RI, also Revere Mass and Blue Hill

    • Like 2
  3. 11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

    You really need to be outside of 495 and north of I-84 to get higher than 50/50 chances for White Christmas climatologically in SNE. ORH was around 60-65%. 
     

    Obviously recent years have been bad. I think last year in 2024 is the only White Xmas in the 2020s. For ORH, then you have: 2019, 2017, 2013, 2012, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, 2005, 2002, 2000.
     

    You could maybe count 2020 on a technicality (the snow wasn’t 100% wiped out by 12z which is the measurement time but certainly by 18z it was) 

    So we’re sitting at about 50% since 2000. 

    Yep since 1975 25 out of 50 years had 0 snow cover here

    • Like 2
  4. 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

    Pretty good trends today too on EPS for the Xmas period....notice how much lower the heights are in SE Canada....this is kind of what we saw in clown range on the OP run where there was a lot of ridging over CONUS but we were staying colder due to the lower heights in SE Canada. That's a trend you'll want to see keep up as we get closer if you are looking to avoid macaw parrots for Xmas. 

     

     

     

     

    Dec10_EPSanimate.gif

    High heights but wedged . Ice ice baby 

    • Like 4
    • 100% 1
  5. 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

    It's very cold on the backside of the system so there def could be some ocean enhancement on N or NNW winds. 

    If one wants to make inferences. The first 10 days of Dec are already colder than any entire month since IJD ASOS was commissioned in 1997. Bodes well for the rest of winter if these are analogs 

    First 10 days and month

    2002-12-10 20.9 0
    2 2000-12-10 24.4 0
    3 2003-12-10 26.1 0
    4 2025-12-10 26.6 1
    5 2007-12-10 27.3 0
    6 2005-12-10 28.0 0
    7 2010-12-10 29.4
    23 2007 30.7 0
    24 2013 30.2 0
    25 2002 28.8 0
    26 2010 28.7 0
    27 2017 28.3 0
    28 2005 27.9 0
    29 2025 26.6 22
    - 2000 26.6
    • Like 1
  6. 34 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

    Pretty remarkable differences in look and feel from PSM down to eastern LI.

    snow blowers and ice melt vs green grass and leaf blowers.

    Traveling 150 miles looks and feels more like 600. 

    It’s November to the south, early January to the north. 

    For my location, it means winter’s grip, currently, isn’t that strong at all—warm sectors will not be strongly defended against…

    The referenced map is more than just what the last storm brought. There’s a completely different seasonal vibe north/south of that line.

    IMG_3036.jpeg

    Looks like typical climo to all of us.

    • 100% 1
  7. 17 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

    My itch to ski again is growing. Been over a decade since I’ve done downhill, not really prepared to right now but want to keep that itch going and growing. Biggest hurdles are ticket prices and gear, both of which are not in budget.

    I took a decade off 35 to 45. Started out slow.  1st time  back using rental skis I was shitting my pants heading up the Barker lift. Like riding a bike all the muscle memory still there .it was on like donkey Kong after that. Check FB Marketplace for deals. If yout budget is limited look for midweek deals. Go go go while you ca. Don't be a procrastinator .You won't believe how fast you go from 50 to 70. Get it while you can Bobby Bobalina.

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