Ginx snewx

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The whole thing has gone to crap.

What are you looking for? Foot plus? Wait a week when we have pure Arctic Air antecedent days . There's your high end. This is a 6 to 8 for the best 

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Will the new AI influence those low snow casts?

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

 No doubt about last year underperforming we ended up getting like 5-10” in 2 week from the 18-24” mean that we had.  But this does mean that the threats are there. 
 

Im leaning white rain to rain up to I-84 / coating to 2” 84 corridor / 2-5” highest hills NW for now. 

Tough to fight EPS AI GEFS AI EPS but you can always go higher as solutions appear.

15 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

For early December this is great, but I recall some epic means last season that produced nothing.

Not sure if I’ll do a map today but I’m currently thinking C-2 coast including most of New London County and 2-5 elsewhere. 

Will the new AI influence those low snow casts?

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I want to believe the euro is on to something. It’s been pretty steadfast. Would go a long way to improving spirits here. 
 

most other models confine the snow well NW

Only thing that has varied, and it huge, is the intensity and mid levels.At any rate even a 2 inch cover here would be a great start.  Tomorrow's system was at day 5 was  a possible snowstorm but alas its dumping at Ohio State Michigan game. We cut we bleed

37 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah it has 6”+ here. I’m still pretty pessimistic for warning snows but maybe advisory has a decent chance. 

One thing about the EPS mean that's a great sign going forward are the clown maps . When big numbers come up on the mean it means ENS are on to something big occurring in the next 15. Machine numbers this high uniformly in the means is a rare occurrence and I would say 90% of the time a biggie is on the horizon.  Now about Tuesday.  EPS look like gold here.

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Dutch Brothel. Nothing fancy. 

Man that's gotta be awesome 

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI op looks more like its previous ensembles at 12z. Getting a clue.

Gives me half a foot 

30 minutes ago, TheSnowman said:

This COMPLETELY Screws the Entirety of there State of Rhode Island, still gets Tolland something, and is fantastic just north of the NH border, so I can guarantee This will be the solution.  

Fantastic news

Ct has high school playoffs across thr state on Tuesday 

2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Is that 0z?

Yes sir. 

So much better than dews lawns hhh talk

57 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

That makes total sense too... probably a tenth of an inch of liquid or so ahead of Mansfield.  With these good ratios, 2-3" storm total increase makes sense.  Say a 9" vs 12" event.

This was 5pm at 1,500ft.

 

8 new 9 24 hrs nice recovery on the slopes 

18 minutes ago, wx2fish said:

Scott and son at the Sandbar that run

Scott and Son lol. 

7 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Yup, it was 3” in 24 when I posted that.

Two hours later it’s 5”.

Really not much difference between 1,500ft and 3,000+ feet.  1” last night and 4” since 6am.

Sweet! Stake depth?

20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

SE areas will need big time rates to get more than advisory snows I'm thinking. So it's a tough needle to thread....on one hand, you want a colder/SE solution, but on the other, you still need those big rates. Best way to get it is probably push that initial cold front a little further south but also keep the shortwave fairly potent, so you get both. 

Some seem to think getting a perfect setup in early Dec is the way it should be. In fact there is a  reason most of us average under 4 inches up to Dec 15th, although the  3rd to 5th seems to be a special period in good years.

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Brett ends up in a jackpot lol..watch. Guy will meh himself to a foot. 

Very marginal in Eastern areas probably a game time now cast.Maybe with a Messenger shuffle screwing the rain casts?

2 hours ago, powderfreak said:

4” overnight plus today?

Must be a sweet powder day.

Its been snowing for a couple hours (1”/hr) and about 2” new today after 1” overnight.

This is accumulations since about 9-10am in the base area.

Snow stake says 5 in 24 hrs at your place? 

14 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

If the euro is right, we snow. If anything else is right, we rain. What could go wrong 

Totally wrong . 12Z was uniformly better sans GFS

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

It looks to be moving towards the GFS so yeah An inside the BM track looks doable.

Oh how you pray.. can't speculate on what later runs will show but solid dumping for many seems a lock.

Increased QPF and stronger inflow colder column what could go wrong Bretty

11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Is he MassWx? 

You slow...

15 minutes ago, radarman said:

Are we counting EricNH and SnowNH?

Lol miss Matt. Aren't you Lars' son?

17 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

 

The more I see from his area 2015 wouldn't doubt if he did get 140 inches.

1 minute ago, cleetussnow said:

I’m pretty happy to see a 2nd generation kid on here posting.  Made me smile.  Love it.  

Might be a first, mine post on Call of Duty sites or something like that unfortunately lol . So cool we can ask him now about his Dad's anger issues in 15. We never knew why he assaulted that snowblower

6 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Same here and now the sun is out. Fun times 

Pete rePete until sundown for you. Pipeline is loaded