JoshWeather

about an inch of snow i'd guess in n. durham...transitioning to sleet only over the last 5 minutes.  Got my daughter out to play in it for 10-15 minutes before the rains come.

6 minutes ago, Snowacane said:

The best storms in the Triangle over the past 20+ years have been the ones that were not forecasted. I'll never forget Fish in the early 2000's saying that we were looking down the barrel of a gun and we were supposed to have over a foot. Next day was clear and sunny.

Remind me, weren't we supposed to get just an inch or 2 or 3 the night before that 2000 storm that dumped 1 ft plus?

any ice that was on my deck/patio furniture is long gone.  The only ice i can see now is up high in the trees, and even it looks lighter than earlier.  Must have warmed up some in the last hour

2 hours ago, wncsnow said:

The models are a complete joke. They have been so wrong here this winter you may as well look at a wooly worm to predict the weather. 

i wouldn't contain it to just this winter....they've been bad at predicting for a while now.  We almost always come out with much less than what the models predict...and thats not just this year

prolly gotten more rain in the last 3 minutes than i got in the previous 5 hours 

its now thundering in north durham...lol

and we are apparently under a heavy band as it is now pouring rain....possibly hardest i've seen/heard this winter

2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

https://postimg.cc/WD9bxr1L
 

Starting to get some sagginess to the trees here.

must just be a qpf issue for me, because i'm further north than you are and there is basically zero ice accumulation anywhere here

this is one i'm glad is busting for my area

7 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

Lest we forget, the Triad is expected to have up to 25 mph gusts in the morning and through tomorrow afternoon.  So the damage effect of 0.25” of ice with those winds is about the same as 0.50” of ice with calm winds.

We’re turning our backs to the supposedly dead villain when he could easily pop up and attack again.

Not sure anyones turning their backs on anything.  Even the "pulling back on the reigns a bit" call maps have the triad and areas north of there with .25 of ice....thats nothing to sniff at.  Its just not what has been called for for a while now.  Which has kinda been the modus operandi this winter.  But who knows what is gonna happen.  Temps could tank and could still reach those totals.  Everyone in the warning areas should be prepared for the worst and hope that mother nature hits us with a torch and nobody gets this destructive ice.

give us the torch mother nature

Just now, eyewall said:

I said earlier we saw this more than once this winter where the models get aggressive as we close in on an event only to pull back at the last second. It got RAH a couple of times. I wonder if we are seeing it again now.

It should be the expectation as often as we see it

3 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

The storm is 18 hours away and you're calling it a bust?

don't see where he called it a bust, just giving his opinion...as everyone else is.  Honestly, not getting half an inch of ice isn't what i'd call a bust anyways...id call it a blessing

17 minutes ago, PantherJustin said:

Not that it matters .... but I’m still at 35/22 Forecast high was 45-47 ... idk 

forecast high for me today was 42, im sitting at 40 right now and the suns out.  It was colder this morning than was expected though.  My low for today says 32 but it was 26 degrees here this morning

you guys can have your freezing rain and ice...that crap is for the birds.  Either give me snow or give me 70 and sunny

i know i've complained about 33 degree rain.......but i'll take that over this any and all days of the week.  Hoping this threat doesn't pan out

This may be the most miserable extended stretch of weather ive seen in my almost 34 years on this earth

This 33 degree rain is just so lovely

Gotta love this 31 degree rain

smallest, tiniest bits of flakes mixing with rain in N. Durham...not much to the snow as of yet, hopefully will be changing over for good here in a few.  I'm going to bed now though.  Hoping for a white blanket when i wake up

5 hours ago, NCSNOW said:

The South of the Border Crusher: Actually just misses to the north. Pedro would have been  happy in 9 days. Is that place still open??

 

It won't, but if that panned out, after I just moved from Stallings to Durham without seeing more than an inch or two in 8 years......i'd prolly flip out

13 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

I think for someone this is going to overperform as much as this morning disappointed. 

so its possible this morning we weren't far enough west and this evening we won't be far enough east...lol

56 minutes ago, jburns said:

 Raleigh is conservative because that results in the highest number of correct forecasts in our area. Can’t blame them. It is the occasional big snow that finds them scrambling to catch up. In the several heavy snow events in my almost fifty years of living here the conversation goes like this.

Forecast: A trace to an inch of snow.

Me: We have 3“ so far.

Wife: Raleigh just upped the storm totals to 1-2”.

2 hours a later

Me: I just measured 4”

Wife” Raleigh has upped the storm total to 1-3”

4 hours later

Me: I just measured 8”.

Wife: Raleigh has upped the storm totals tp 2-4” with isolated areas up to 6”.

Rinse and repeat depending on just how big the storm is. Got 20” in 2004. 

The one big snow that i've been through was i think 2000 in Roxboro...i remember the forecasts going into the evening were calling for maybe an inch or two.  Then it started snowing...and it didn't stop snowing for 11 hours.  We ended up with over a foot and a half IIRC

4 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

Hey man! What part of north Durham? We’re in Greymoss.

Nice, we moved due to me getting a job that paid alot more for the time being and we were looking to rent a house in that area just off of rose of sharon but ended up settling on one off of Infinity, so i'm not far from you...we'll likely see very similar outcomes with whatever happens!  

Had 27 on the car in N. Durham this morning.  25 in southern person county.  Quite chilly.  Hoping my move from Stallings to Durham earlier this year proves fruitful in the snow department.  In my 7 years in stallings i think we saw a total of 5 inches of snow.

Just now, Dunkman said:

Just want to say I'm glad we can go back to treating the NAM like crap. This new world in which it was a trustworthy and respectable model was not a place I was comfortable living.

It nailed it for me whereas alot of other models were throwing out a couple inches here.  Nam was about the only one saying nothing...which is what i got.  Still seems to be the best one to depict the warm nose