Looks like euro will cave completely to gfs for Fridays highs. Looks cold Friday highs may stay below 40 for all of New England.
The real torch is Thursday now with mid 50s likely for most of SNE.
Not sold at all either.. But it's a threat on the board and a reason to eagerly look at 12z guidance today waiting for our 6 hourly dose of endorphins to hit lol
Just took a look at the 6z eps def amped up quite a bit from 00z..
Here's the 50th percentile .. 90th percentile would imply an 8-12" ceiling so def a big improvement from 00z.. let's see if we can get that to continue .
That guys loves posting those stats, it's been old for a while, I think we all understand that we've been warming for a while.. Let's talk about something interesting for a change ..
Band should beef up a bit and lay down a nice 1" refresher or so from the NE half of CT and points NE from there.. Between 11pm and 3am is the thick of it. I think I'm just a bit too far SW to get in on the action..
58 instead of 62 isn’t really caving . The gfs is now 48-52 instead of 38-42 I’d call that more caving. But it’s still 72 hours away so let’s see which is more right. I still think a blend of the super warm euro and the coldest gfs runs so probably high around 50 or so
GFS coming around to the Friday torch now some agreement on temps breaking out into the 50s Friday at least south of the Pike .. Near 60 south of 84 looking possible .. Long range also moved towards EURO / EPS with the torch .. Here's the first 5 days of February
Ya we have coating to 1" south of 84 .. 1-2" north to the pike that should do it .. although it does look like SE New England to the beaches could sneak in a lucky inch of snow before the rain .. almost all guidance likes the band producing a stripe from New London County into Rhode Island and the Islands overnight
A lot of thundersnow in that , that and Feb 2021 were the the last great storms for me with 4” one hour and a ton of Thunder snow .. I think around 15” I’m sure 4 seasons has the map
What the heck is going on in here?
Using geese as a tool for your long range winter forecasts makes you a great long range forecaster? I’d try to find a better example. Unless you are kidding I hope lol
Pretty loud signal for day 6-7, but makes sense as Tip was saying... EPS has a mean over south tip of Delmarva , hugs NW of BM then scoots East of BM, some very strong lows in there.. 4-6" mean for SNE is pretty wild for day 6-7...