Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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I don’t think CMC has had his storm once
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A positive thing I can add is the GFS as we have been saying has on and off showed how to get it done for days now. There’s more than 1 way to skin a cat to get a SECS.. obviously something historic like this is more thread the needle with the chaos at 500
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We can always dream… That’s western CT’s dream storm Nemo 2
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Air mass sucks but “makes its own cold” I guess
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I’ll sacrifice some posters to verify that run please god
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955 well SE of BM
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Pathetic cold snap.. highs slightly below average in the peak cold of climo maybe a day or two of 20s down here with lows in the teens.
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Dr. No alive and well!
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It’s still like 4 days away .. if we have another day of trends like today on gfs and euro joins we could be looking at winter storm watches Saturday .. will Dr no strike again?
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Another bump on gfs 5 runs in a row , 500 keeps on trending better which is leading to this …
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If you take away yesterday 18z euro run, it's been pretty steady last several runs.. some noise each run thats about it, so it's not wagons north with euro, it's kind of just other models catching up to it.. We still need a lot of trending to get it done for CT.. There has to be consistent bumps north starting at 00z tonight..
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Nancy that you? Some do have a shot in this forum, albeit not many . And I do agree we don’t want to be on northern fringe to see snow, you want to be in the meat of it, northern fringe will be virga. We need another 100 mile north bump for southern CT to see advisory snow.
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Another 50 miles for southern CT. Just moved 250 miles since 00z run .. we will see
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Trend continues since 00z yesterday. The real accumulating snow has trended north several runs in a row here’s a loop of last 4 cycles. Warming snows to central Jersey now.. on a side note this has a chance to drop 8-16” of snow from NW Kansas to the East Coast over a 1300 mile swath
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had a good squall move through here, 5 minutes of winter..
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EPS virtually unchanged for Monday from 00z, a tic south if anything..
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We need to change something up , bc the perfect pattern isn't working yet for us
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Cold and dry through day 12.. Next weekends threat is dead for now.. energy buried in SW
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Gfs has been doing that each run since yesterday let’s see if it continues. Seems like we always revert back and in the end it’s not enough lately.
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If 00z holds I’ll be interested, seems like 18z is always a blip
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Exactly no one wants a day 10 jack. Euro and gfs have the pieces in place, just need to work on placement and timing over the next 5 days then start reeling her in by early next week.
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What the hell happened here, total model fail in 6 hours look at 248-254
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Something will pop might actually be snowier too . Just good to call the pieces there still, hopefully we can hold pieces there til we reel her in.
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The most boring solution the gfs spits out the next week will verify verbatim
