If you look at the individual eps members there’s several members that are mini versions of Rgem and gfs now that are pretty far west .. 12z only had a few
Watches up for all of CT except coast and SE Shore. So they are going with the amped guidance.. Let's see what their discussion says.. earlier discussion threw NAM out and included EURO AI in the forecast..
That you should leave Nancy home and tune up the snow blower, a small tic sharper with the trough on EURO will be all the difference between 3-5 and 4-8"+ .. Only time will tell..
From an NWS point of view? If NAM and every piece of guidance is all in on 4-8"+ for the region but euro doesn't budge much at 18z and is on an island alone, what happens then?
Ya if you go like 70% euro and 30% GFS and just discount GEM .. you get like a general 4-6" snow for CT and most in SNE not including ratios with the good bands.. I like our first call of 4-8" iso higher