Sey-Mour Snow
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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow
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Congrats Delmarva on 3-6” Sunday night !
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I don’t think you want it over us for a snowy stretch just nearby. With a favorable trough axis.
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Like the look of the GEFS and GEPS in the 10-15. Solid ridge out west … EPS still leaves a lot to be desired IMP..
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I think best bet is a few inches south coast. Some massive hits on 00z GEFS skewing the mean it’s highly unlikely but maybe we can get a few inches if everything trends right.
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It’s there on the GEFS and still on the 6z just SE. Obviously chances are low but it’s still a possibility. Maybe 5-10%.
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Just looks like it’s holding back some more compared to 12z which hopefully would allow for a more GFS like solution
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Actually is pretty interesting for what would eventually be the Sunday PM deal.
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Yes
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40-50% chance of 24 hour snows of 1"+ and 20-30% chance of 3"+ ...
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There are some solid hits on the GEFS for Sunday PM/Monday AM. Several 6"+ ... The mean is like 1-3" across all of SNE.. Interesting..
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I was loaded to 342-348 when I posted 360 does look a touch better rather than the lobe getting sucked in AK permanently.
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Let's hope GEFS is right.
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Yes it is but annoying to see North Pacific, but it's been flip flopping, the GEFS and GEPS are much better.
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EPS just can’t stay consistent in the 10-15 another different North Pacific look.
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was just going to post that lol
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Hopefully the strong cutter modeled on the 12Z GFS next weekend is what finally moves everything east. Seems that way on ensembles for now unless they change again. Post Jan 9 we may finally see winter for a bit?
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Ya and they do happen occasionally, probably 1 out of every 20 times modeled on medium range.
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Ya like 2-3
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Should see a pattern change around Morch 21st
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For those questioning the mega torch…
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It’s an ensemble mean 5 day average that’s warm. Look at the ops if you want to see the torch for actual highs.
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Oh we torch again. Looks like 2-4 days in the 50s before we hopefully get some real cold post Jan 8/9.
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We torch after that pretty good looks like hope now is post January 9 west coast trough moves east. 12 days out again
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GFS way south with the Jan2/3 threat . Congrats DC. Very nice Hit north of 84 though for first wave Jan 1.
