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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    NAM EURO RGEM Kuchera are 0-2” southern CT red flags growing… Kuchera maps will be much more accurate than 10:1 in this storm for the fringe
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    What do you think about hrrr being so cold, usually it's both nam And hrrr that sniff it out.. 12/2020 comes to mind where nam and hrrr nailed that warm layer way north
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya, I didn’t believe that 18z run last night for a second, damn off hour runs are a joke they have to fix that on euro.
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    It took longer than expected but the north shift is here! NAM is starting to be concerning bc it's not doing the normal nap flip flop HREF and RGEM are warm as well.. It's really GFS EURO and HRRR vs the NAM and RGEM
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    I’d love nam to verify - the melts would be epic doesn’t change much here sleet storm 2022
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    That’s only euro, obviously the off hour euro run last night was wrong and did it again, those off hour runs can’t be trusted. Weird battle going on with nam inside 24 hours and everything else even rgem is pretty toasty..
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    Nam is wild lol hrrr is cold initially here then torches post precip into the 40s
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    Much colder down here finally gets some snow for us
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    Looks very warm aloft down here probably a few inches then sleet fest
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya, What’s weird is it didn’t follow the trend of bumping north every 6z/18z.
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    Rain.
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    15” spot right on Boston
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    GFS thumps southern CT hard just after midnight tomorrow well before the mid levels warm we'd do several inches before any changeover easily.. let me check how horrible the growth is on that look. HRRR actually has great snow growth with 1-2" per hour rates at 10:1 .. I wonder if we over perform with the thump intensity and end up mixing earlier as usual and still get around 6" anyways...
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    What you gonna do what you gonna do when we come for you?
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ok I missed that. Let’s see what gfs and euro do at 12z
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    We are just going to forget that the 18z/6z euro has been doing that all winter? If 12z euro goes north and warm then ok it’s a real tic.
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    Hrrr shows 6-8” for southern ct bit I bet that’s like 4-6” with an inch of sleet on top.,
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
    It’s been on fire from 24-48 lately. Been watching very closely this winter.
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya warmer but still a great thump. NAM on an island still.
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    Euro is a 4 spot for Easton with a ton of sleet or freezing rain after.
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    Not even close to the NAM lol forecast remains exactly the same 4-8” probably closer to 4-6” but like to leave the 8” in there just in case the thump over-performs.
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    The HRRR has been on fire lately, very curious to see what it shows, loading now.
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    Sleet isn’t 10:1
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya I see that as a potential verification.
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    That’s coming at 18z after 12z jacks Kevin.
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