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Sey-Mour Snow

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Everything posted by Sey-Mour Snow

  1. Sey-Mour Snow
    You can sip pinas here outside in shorts on Friday.
  2. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya pattern looks horrendous after Christmas with pacific warmth flooding the US. Woof - this is worse than those years when it was 60-70 in December bc there wasn’t any expectation. This is to be has to be up there with the worst weather December we’ve had. Teased with tons of potential for one 1-5” Light snow event that melted within a week in SNE.
  3. Sey-Mour Snow
    Merry Grinchmas everyone
  4. Sey-Mour Snow
    0.00 .. 0.00 last 6 hours … hopefully another 0.00 overnight
  5. Sey-Mour Snow
    Next weeks pattern looked the same it’s always 10-15 days out.
  6. Sey-Mour Snow
    Great read about the splitting of the energy to our north being what we need for the favorable solutions.
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
  8. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya same thought.
  9. Sey-Mour Snow
    I know I kid. Wish I still had access to WSI for those clusters lost access from my old job last year when they updated the site. Also WSI is the first to load data. I agree just a wait and see approach hopefully a track just inside the BM.
  10. Sey-Mour Snow
    Good to see. That 66% cluster looks strong as well. Too bad the pope said you suck at forecasting I don’t know if I can believe you.
  11. Sey-Mour Snow
    Edit option 4: could cut to Buffalo. Right now after last nights guidance most likely. 1. Hugger or track over SNE 2. bench mark track 3. Track over Buffalo 4. ots I’m sure the order of this will change at least a few more times in the next 2-3 days.
  12. Sey-Mour Snow
    850’ at Oxford/Waterbury airport. Most guidance had 3-6” there.. oops
  13. Sey-Mour Snow
    So if 50 members showed rain and 1 showed a 51” blizzard. You’d want the mean to be 51” of snow?
  14. Sey-Mour Snow
    That’s bc some members cut and not all qpf is snow.
  15. Sey-Mour Snow
    Those are the weenie maps from storm vista that are always 2-3x too high. The mean for the storm is 4-6”..
  16. Sey-Mour Snow
    If we get that type of storm 2 days before Christmas just wow
  17. Sey-Mour Snow
    That's the full duration of the storm.. Widespread 6"+ .. It's nice to see this as a coastal threat now, and not favoring interior. As you said this is a wild mean for day 7-8.. Only the big ones have a mean like this well in advance..
  18. Sey-Mour Snow
  19. Sey-Mour Snow
    Euro is dead nuts with it now. Plenty of time to trend east.
  20. Sey-Mour Snow
    Ya euro gfs candian were over Hudson on Sunday Monday. Then gfs gradually started shifting others have caught on about 6 runs later.
  21. Sey-Mour Snow
    While every other model had it cutting into the Hudson it was the first to catch onto the eastern and colder shift.
  22. Sey-Mour Snow
    Everything is much further east than yesterday. I like that.
  23. Sey-Mour Snow
    Elevation will be a necessity in Derby to grab a few inches. Theres some 300-400' elevation there on the "hilltop", however down along the river valley has no shot in my opinion.
  24. Sey-Mour Snow
    Get that to verify 250 miles East and wow.. Would be the storm of our lifetime as it falls Dec 22-24th with epic cold behind..
  25. Sey-Mour Snow
    I like the look of the 18z GEFS . Let’s get all guidance to look like that for next Thursday Friday.
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