I expect EURO to move a good bit NW this run and warm up south of 84.. although it does seem the 18z runs do the opposite of what you think so we shall see soon.
I think some of you are forgetting that we called the Euro king for a reason, and it never caved or jumped. Only made small moves to reach consensus, now it bounces back and forth more than Kevin’s Seasons in Seasons.
It's amazing how close it is to all snow on the GFS for interior CT. 925 temps are around .5 to 1.5 Celsius during peak warming.. surface 32-34 , 850s around freezing ..
No doubt about last year underperforming we ended up getting like 5-10” in 2 week from the 18-24” mean that we had. But this does mean that the threats are there.
Im leaning white rain to rain up to I-84 / coating to 2” 84 corridor / 2-5” highest hills NW for now.
Ya don’t recall seeing the ensemble means this snowy on all ensembles in early to mid December. Multiple threats to track, Howell we can cash in on 1 or 2.
It’s actually the same or a touch further north with some surface features, just a but colder at first in some spots, looks like icon . Faster less amped meh
We need a 50 mile south tic, can easily go either way. I’d wager the tics go north though, we shall see, still have 48 hours til confidence really goes up in the track.
Almost looks like a blue bomb for the 84 corridor and with temps this borderline I think elevation would help. 925 and 850 hover around 0 the whole time.
I expect this to verify about 50 miles north of the 0c line depicted here however.
what a juicy run of the euro widespread 1.5-2.5” qpf
It’s best to thread these when it’s obviously going to affect only one region, or there are multiple threats. For now everyone has a chance so we can keep it here.