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Burghblizz

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Everything posted by Burghblizz

  1. Burghblizz
    Role reversal from last time....hope the NAM isn’t on to something
  2. Burghblizz
    This is going to be tricky with timing. I can see a bit of a west trend where the post frontal snows have less precip
  3. Burghblizz
    Looks like an active period to track. One thing the virus can’t eff with Only thing better would have been to maintain more of the snow pack.
  4. Burghblizz
    Maybe they heard us complaining that PIT doesn’t get hyped enough. So they figured “not for weenies”. There was a person we used to look out for, but doesn’t look like he/she still does it. I hope they leave them up. I think NWS sites have great info, but they could use help with making the layout more intuitive (and standardized)
  5. Burghblizz
    It blows. I have a much better feel for how the other radar translates into what the intensities will be
  6. Burghblizz
    Making for another great night. Like being in a snow globe. I’d call the additional accumulation just a “dusting” at this point
  7. Burghblizz
    Agree. He provided some great analysis. KPITsnow provided some comedy
  8. Burghblizz
    I just opened my phone at 3:00 out of habit to get ready for the NAM
  9. Burghblizz
    Highest total i saw in the Allegheny County was 14” in Wexford. That backend held on for awhile north of the city. It looks like several county reports after midnight were 10” to 12”. NWS reported 9.4” officially. Local-ish winners seem to be Indiana county. Seeing 15” to 17”
  10. Burghblizz
    For all our model drama over the last 36 hours, this performed squarely within the blend of the models. So while it might be a slight overperformer to most of the forecasts, there was plenty of model guidance to suggest a widespread 8”-12” in AGC The bust potential was the relatively progressive setup and the uncertainty around the banding. So I would have forecasted slightly less as well, but those factors worked enough in our favor. Had a solid 12 hours of snow, and some of those bands were intense!
  11. Burghblizz
    NWS reported 1.6” last hour with 6.6” official so far
  12. Burghblizz
    Weenie post: I looked at the 18Z NAM. Noticed colder 850 temps than depicted before. Could some of the late storm ratios be better? (like i said....bit of a weenie post)
  13. Burghblizz
    Pittsburgh: ~3.5” after a great band
  14. Burghblizz
    This band was thumping! Hardest synoptic snow I’ve seen in awhile
  15. Burghblizz
    Those 35/40 DBZs have arrived and it’s ALL Snow
  16. Burghblizz
    Mailman probably a good person to stand guard for that
  17. Burghblizz
    Agree - I think that 11” in March a couple years ago was mostly daytime, or at least kept going into the next day. But most of the more significant snows the last 10 years seem to be mostly at night.
  18. Burghblizz
    Ripping out here already. Hopefully means more expansive and not just “early”
  19. Burghblizz
    With coastal development in the Carolinas as opposed to further north, I don’t think the tongue makes it accross the M/D line. So I say let’s flirt with It and bring in more WAA snows
  20. Burghblizz
    Reminder: snow is awesome. Time to get out of the models and outside!
  21. Burghblizz
    NAM is interesting because it closes off, and then has SLP retrograde a bit. Not sure that has been depicted yet. It’s probably a little too late for that to have a meaningful impact as it had already begun to slide east and offshore. If it would have done that at the Chesapeake, then it could really mean something. Still all a computers imagination, so we’ll see what happens!
  22. Burghblizz
    Yeah Euro is fine. I don’t think this ever was going to be a 15”+ storm here. The last 4 storms that cracked 15” (93/94/03/10) all had huge closed lows. It’s too progressive. Overall good trends in the last 36 hours overall to get it to something significant. So need to keep that perspective. Still think 6-8” is a good bet. Maybe touching 10” in eastern areas.
  23. Burghblizz
    Smokes Westmoreland
  24. Burghblizz
    Easy man...it only shaved a couple inches off and these off hour runs can be lighter. Tracks looked almost identical. Let’s see how things are after tonight. That’s the final model exam.
  25. Burghblizz
    If I had to give a public forecast, I’d probably say 6-10” west to east across AGC. The only thing concerning me about challenging some of those higher model totals is the progressive nature of this. Relatively quick window to capitalize
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