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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Posts posted by dendrite

  1. 1 hour ago, OceanStWx said:

    Tip is right about one thing, measuring as close to the end of the snowfall as possible is ideal (and recommended by the way).

    But if you think about this all in an impact sense, what makes more sense: plows waiting until the snow stops and removing snow, or plows nearly continuously keeping roads clear? I would argue a plow operator is much closer to observing the 6 hourly snowfall amounts than the 24 hourly. 

    It's one thing we've discussed internally about the 6" in 12 hours vs 9" in 24 hours warning criteria. If anything the lighter, longer duration 9" in 24 hours is more impactful because road crews are out longer.

    Maybe 3 8-hourlies is a better compromise? 8hr workdays...8hrs of sleep...8hrs of Super Bowl pregame...it all makes sense. 

  2. 21 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    I agree...that 24 hours is too long to wait, particularly if it snows for 6 hours and one intends to/has to wait 18 hours for that measurement.  

    However, I suggest that when the snow stops, and it is systemically clear that it's really the end of the event, then the measurement is taken.  

    However, during the event, I disagree (if perhaps this is a strawman argument) that 6-hour clear should be done, because as I was just describing, storm circumstancial melting/settling/or even sublimation - though that would rarefied, should be considered part of the event. 

    Isn't that the point of making it 6hrs? To allow for some compaction?

    I've said it before, but I don't like penalizing 1"+/hr rates on the tail end of large, long duration storms. In LES land...if you pull 20" in 12hrs, clear, and then another 20" in 12hrs, but the depth only increases another 6"....does that mean you should have 40" or 26"? If both 12hr samples had the same rates with the same amount is it fair to report it as 20" for the first 12hrs and only 6" for the last 12hr?

  3. 26 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    Yes.

    Yeah so your clearing times really exacerbated the measuring differences. A quick 8” in 90 mins on a clear board won’t settle much. Throw that 8” on top of 20” of already existing fluff and it’s compaction city. You should document your measurements in a blog post if you haven’t already.

  4. I noticed Ray was in the low 20s yesterday evening before the band moved back through. Then he seemed to pick up a quick 6-8” in like 90 minutes with a 5”/hr in there. Most in NH were pulling 2-4”/hr in that band so my guess was that he had recently cleared before it came through so it had minimal ability to compact which gave him the quick jump to near 30”. When were your clearing times Ray?

  5. 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

    Or he cut a biscuit into existing snowpack from that paste bomb last week....that might do it.

    3.20” from one core would be a real pita to melt down. Maybe the guy did multiple cores, but the measuring area kept filling back in. When he had 48”/3.20” he realizdd something was off, kept the w.e., and stuck the yardstick into the ground. 

  6. Let’s just totally reinvent the wheel. Create an automated sensor that measures 0.0-1.0” of snow that clears the board automatically after every 1.0”...fluff or not. Throw one on the ASOS, Kevin’s Davis, and the Maple Hollow valley. Now everyone can stay warm inside and compare how many 1” increments they received.

  7. 9 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

    Just amazing stuff happening.

    If these models are right about another .5-1.0" QPF through tomorrow afternoon it is going to get ridiculous.  It's already pushing the boundaries of what is deep and skiable in terms of seeing where you are going.

    29178434_10155195215227382_4937331826084

    29178320_10103358583623360_5476118817484

    Storm is over dude. 

  8. 4 minutes ago, rgwp96 said:

    That’s what I do . It’s to confusing the other way and reports all over the place . To the public that’s all that counts anyway . The big storm for me last week dropped  24 plus in my area . My depth was 23 and that’s what I reported 

    If you want to compare real impact...just measure the snow water equivalent and go with that. 10” of 8:1 has more impact than 15” of 30:1. That gets rid of most of the method issues. 

  9. The thing is you have weenies like us clearing huge amounts of fluff every 6hrs and then the general public sticking the yardstick into the driveway at random times. When the PNS is showing a handful of reports a bit over 20” for the high range in a populated county and then a report comes in of over 30” it definitely stands out. That Wilmington 22.5” cocorahs report is just as fishy with about 3.00” of liquid reported. They reported 21.4”/2.75” for 7a-7a....I don’t think so. The other Wilmington cocorahs only reported 17.8”/1.22” for 7a-7a so the obs are all over the place. 

    But you’re going to have trouble with people actually believing it since even the highest cocorahs reports are 20-25”. It’s simply just differing methods and that’s the nature of the beast. You’ll just have to deal with the skepticism. :lol:

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