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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. Sure. It does on all of the models. That confluences just shears it apart with time.
  2. ICON and RGEM look good for S NH...especially ASH eastward. Maybe Dom can melt his way to double digits. Still just Vostok sand up here.
  3. Jack is probably just north of that H7 circulation track
  4. The problem is the downstream confluence, but if you get rid of these pieces it’s congrats Stowe.
  5. Hard to imagine this not looking more like 12z with how much more amplified it is, but despite the confluence backing off a hair it’s still stubborn.
  6. PF will be posting one of them giving him the jack shortly.
  7. A lot of weenie spread to the west there, but SREFs.
  8. The airmass coming in is frigid. Skin sfc will be plenty cold.
  9. North of the deform it'll be crap ratios...especially with dry air advecting into the low levels. Some of the models have some mid/upper level lift coming through on the tail end as the upper level system swings through so maybe we can do 1--3" of fluff in a best case scenario. I wouldn't totally rule out the deformation axis being near you either although odds favor it being more south.
  10. idk...those 3 lows are all weak sauce and halfway to Bermuda.
  11. That’s the deform from W MA into S NH. He’s in between areas of forcing.
  12. Just behind you here with 4”. Maybe we can go for futility?
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