NAM is still flat and strung out with its vorticity…just no punch coming in from the upper levels. H5 across NAMER just looks spuriously different from the other models though. We’ll see what the rest of the 00z suite does, but I think it’s still in the synoptically challenged camp.
Give me 10:1. At least it’s near climo and I can easily interpret the QPF so I can put my own mental adjustment to the total knowing where the snow will be sloppy and where the most persistent banding will be. There’s nothing scientific about kuchie.
His coop is fine, but he has an unsheltered weenie sensor that he puts down in the valley of his christmas tree farm that he calls the Maple Hollow. He puts the readings in the comments of his monthly coop reports.
Not going to pretend to know what’s correct, but the RGEM, GGEM, and EC are swinging that dPVA through more northward than the NCEP models.
Not sure why cod didn’t load the ec, but here’s pivotal
Idk…MOS has historically been pretty good. But yeah, if you want to win wxchallenge you need to know when to deviate. But if you’re trying to stray from MOS all the time…good luck…