SACRUS

Warmest day since May 30th and first 80s (for most) since May 17th today. Also moving into a period + departures for a majority of the next 2 weeks (overall) .

Records: Highs: EWR: 94 (1943) NYC: 95 (1895) LGA: 93 (1943) JFK: 88 (2010) Lows: EWR: 45 (1946) NYC: 45 (1929) LGA: 49 (1946) JFK: 48 (1946) Historical: 1860: Iowa's infamous Camanche Tornado, likely an F5 storm, kills 92 and injures 200. Every home and business were destroyed. It was one of the most damaging families of tornadoes ever to strike the US and resulted in more farm fatalities than any other tornado except for the Tri-State tornado. 1921 - A cloudburst near Pikes Peak CO killed 120 people. Pueblo CO was flooded by a twenty-five foot crest of the Arkansas River, killing 70 persons. Fourteen inches of rain was reported at Boggs Flat, where a hard surface road through nearly level country was washed out to a depth of seven feet. (The Weather Channel) 1921: Heavy rains caused flash flooding over the southeastern portion of Colorado. The flooding cost the lives of 100 people and millions of dollars in property damage. 1959 - Thunderstorms in northwestern Kansas produced up to eighteen inches of hail near Salden during the early evening. Crops were completely destroyed, and total damage from the storm was about half a million dollars. Hail fell for a record eighty-five minutes. The temperature dropped from near 80 degrees prior to the storm to 38 degrees at the height of the storm. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Six days of flooding in South Texas culminated with five to six inch rains from Bexar County to Bandera County, and five to nine inches rains in Gonzalez and Wilson Counties. Total crop damage was estimated at 500 million dollars. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Early morning thunderstorms in southern Texas produced wind gusts to 86 mph at Port Isabel, and wind gusts to 83 mph at South Padre Island. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed from the Southern Plateau Region to the Northern High Plains. Fourteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing over the Southern Plains Region during the afternoon hours produced severe weather into the night. Thunderstorms spawned eleven tornadoes, and there were 169 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 80 mph at Newcastle, OK, and Wilson, OK. Softball size hail was reported at Monahans, Childress and Groesbeck TX. Monahans TX reported six million dollars damage. Five inches of rain deluged Geronimo OK. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1993: Early morning severe thunderstorms dumped huge hailstones across northern Oklahoma. Hail, up to 6 inches in diameter in Enid, went through roofs of homes, damaged three jets at Vance Air Force Base, and did $500,000 in damage at a car dealership. Winds gusts reached 70 mph at Vance Air Force Base as well. Hail damage to the wheat crop was estimated at 70 million dollars. 1997: It was a chilly day in the East. The high temperature at Philadelphia International Airport was only 59 degrees, tying a record-low maximum for the date set back in 1881. The temperature at Middletown, Pennsylvania rose to 58 degrees, breaking the record-low maximum for the date of 59 degrees set back in 1915. Washington, DC only reached 58 degrees, breaking the old record-low maximum of 59 set back in 1915. Central Park in New York City only reached 61 degrees. 2002: An impressive heat burst at Amarillo, TX caused the temperature to jump to 90° at 3:21 am. The heat burst was accompanied by winds of 55 mph. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

Quickly up from 48 to 70. Clear now with a mostly sunny day and upper 70s to low 80s. Approaching 90 or to 90 in the warm spots Wed and Thu - pending on clouds from southern cut off low another high at or exceeding 90s in the warm spots otherwise mid/upper 80s east. Front slowly approaches later Friday with clouds in the way of the seasons first heatwave in the warm spots (most likely). Scattered storms / showers Sat with clouds before front clear later in the PM and evening with 1+ inches of rain. Hope to see it clear up Sunday but boundary is close by and could be the stingy clouds especially along the coast - front get us back near normal Sun - Tue. 6/9 - 6/15 looks overall above normal with limited heat and potential of storms with trough back into the GL/MW. Beyond there warmer look into and beyond mid month with heights rising into the east. Assuming smoke in PA slowly coming this way so get rid of the clouds and the magnet pulls in smohy haze

Highs today PHL: 75 EWR: 75 TEB: 74 ACY: 74 LGA: 73 New Brnswck: 73 JFK: 72 BLM: 72 ISP: 71 TTN: 71 NYC: 71

Tue should get to or exceed 80 for most of NJ / NYC metro as it looks now. We'll see next week with frontal boundary / clouds otherwise once to Tue could be 80s.

Collin Rugg on X: "NEW: Tourists seen running for their lives as Italy’s Mount Etna erupts, sending ash "several kilometers" into the sky. A tour company said they had about 40 people on the volcano when it erupted, as reported by CNN. The last time Mt. Etna erupted like this was in https://t.co/Vf25XkefP6" / X Etna erupts.

Are you in PA?

Today Normal's EWR: 77 / 59 ; NYC: 76 / 60. Lows EWR 50 / NYC 53 with highs in the 74 - 77 range today puts daily departures in the -3 to -6 range. Looks like 80s through Sunday then the Ridge in the west and EC on the fringes of the ridge trough setting up into the GL/MW. It would be brief day or so of any heat getting into the area during the 6/9 - 6/15 period only but does appear to be overall above normal.

Up to 68 clear skies - some smoke moving through CPA

Records: Highs: EWR: 93 (2000) NYC: 96 (1895) LGA: 94 (1989) JFK: 91 (1961) Lows: EWR: 48 (1946) NYC: 48 (1946) LGA: 48 (1946) JFK: 51 (2015) Historical: 1889 - A great flood on the Potomac River in Washington D.C. took out a span of Long Bridge, and flooded streets near the river. The flood stage reached was not again equalled until 1936. (David Ludlum) 1889: The same storm that caused the historic dam failure in Johnstown, PA, also affected Washington, D.C. The streets and reservations in the center of the city and all the wharves and streets along the riverfront were under water. Pennsylvania Avenue was flooded from 2nd to 10th Streets. The Potomac River crested at the Aqueduct Bridge at 19.5 feet on June 2. Additionally, damage occurred on Rock Creek, with the Woodley Lane Bridge washed away. Considerable damage occurred to machinery plants and material at the Navy Yard. 1917 - The temperature at Tribune, KS dipped to 30 degrees to establish a state record for the month of June. (The Weather Channel) 1949 - A tornado northeast of Alfalfa OK circled an area one mile in radius. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Lightning struck a house, broke a bedroom window, and jumped to a metal frame bed. A man was killed but his wife was unharmed by the lightning. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes in West Texas and six tornadoes in Illinois. Thunderstorms in Illinois produced wind gusts to 70 mph at McComb and Mattoon. Thunderstorms in southern Texas produced 5.5 inches of rain south of Seguin, and up to eight inches of rain in Washington County. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in Texas and Oklahoma produced hail more than three inches in diameter near Stilwater OK, and softball size hail in Jones County of north central Texas. Baseball size hail and 70 mph winds caused an estimated 100 million dollars damage around Abilene TX. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across much of the south central U.S. through most of the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned a dozen tornadoes, and there were 123 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 78 mph at Russell KS, and baseball size hail was reported at Denver CO, Cuthbert TX, and in Reeves County TX. Afternoon thunderstorms in southern New England produced wind gusts to 120 mph at Fitchburg, MA, causing five million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: Frostburg, Maryland on June 2, 1998, at 9:45 PM - This was part of a killer outbreak of tornadoes that moved southeast from Pennsylvania. The storm entered Garrett County, Maryland striking the town of Finzel. It then moved up and over Big Savage Mountain in Allegany County and ripped through the northern portion of Frostburg. It reached its peak strength as it crossed the ridge. Winds were estimated between 210 and 250 mph (F4 on the Fujita Tornado Damage Scale). This was the first tornado to "officially" be rated an "F4" in the State of Maryland. The National Weather Service adopted the Fujita Damage Scale in 1973. The total damage path of the Frostburg tornado was over 25 miles long (8 miles in Allegany County) and up to a half-mile wide. Along most of its path, it was producing winds over 125 mph (F2 or stronger). The damage path was continuous as it moved up and down over 2000-foot mountain ridges. The fact that no one was killed in Maryland was attributed to 5 to 10 minutes warning that was well communicated to people in Frostburg over television, radio, scanners, telephones, and sirens. People took quick action to move to their basements. A mother and child rode out the storm as it destroyed their house hiding under a table in the basement. They were shaken but unharmed. A jacket from a Frostburg home was found 25 miles away. A diploma was found near Winchester, Virginia, 60 miles away and a bill was found near Sterling Virginia (about 100 miles away). 2008: Several supercell thunderstorms rolled southeast from northwest South Dakota into central South Dakota, bringing large hail, damaging winds, and flash flooding during the late afternoon and evening hours. The large hail, up to baseball size, and high winds killed a large number of birds, pheasants, and rabbits. The large hail also knocked out many windows and damaged the siding of buildings and homes in both Stanley and Hughes counties. Very heavy rain of over 3 inches caused flash flooding in many parts of Pierre into the early morning hours. A Federal Disaster Declaration was issued for Hughes and Stanley Counties, mainly for the flooding. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

60 / 46 off a low of 43. Out of the cool/wet pattern and by tomorrow quickly to summer, Low 70s/mid 70s today - low 80s / mid 80s Tuesday and upper 80s to low 90s Wed - Fri / cooler coast.. 850 MB temps >17c Thu and again on Sunday could make a sneaky overperforming highs day pending on clouds/storms in between. Frontal boundary linger by Friday nigh - Sun AM so could see some pop up storms in the period and debris clouds Saturday (another weekend cloudy day potential). Sunday looks like the better day. Overall, warmer 6/9 and beyond.

NYC MONTH 2024 ------ 2025 JAN: +3.3 -------- -2.5 Feb: +4.1 --------- -.08 March: +5.2 -------- +4.0 April: +1.9 --------- +1.6 May: +1.8 ---------- -0.9

6/4/2023 LGA: 70 / 51 JFK: 70 / 49 NYC: 69/49

66 so far today here as its clouded / smoked up since 1pm

NE-NJ and CNJ and parts of SI run closer to EWR than NYC

yes if blockbuster means 40+ 90 degree days and not the 3 months as a whole, yes. 2016 , 2020 were very hot summers as well. Lets see who gets to 90 east of the Hudson and Narrows Wed - Fri to start tallying and tacking on this year albeit late but a start.

Peak heat could be later in Jul - and focus in August but suspect we follow an overall above normal temp wise and likely rain - wise. 90 degree days range id expect EWR / C-NJ , NE-NJ : >30 days NYC: 20 days LGA: >25 days

There have been several In Jul 2016 LGA had 13 of 15 days above 90 with a streak of 9 straight with 5 straight highs of 94 coupled with a 98, 99. 2022 LGA has 6 straight 95 +. There has been that onshore component the last 4/5 years limiting head east of the Hudson if the (we) is NYC/LI.

Smoke coming north now cue Smoke from a Distant Fire - Sanford-Townsend Band

2025 Projections 90 (+) degree days. Core of the hottest Late Jul - Aug Ranges PHL: 32 - 37 EWR: 30 - 35 TTN: 22 - 27 LGA: 21 - 24 ACY: 30 - 35 TEB: 30 - 25 NYC: 18 - 23 JFK: 12 - 17 ISP: 10 - 15 New Brunswick: 30 - 35 Specific EWR: 34 NYC: 20 LGA : 28 PHL: 36

You are using two examples of a records heat wave (sustained heat) and saying like we used to get, when it only happened those two years, when there were many years in the 40s and 50s that had less 90 degree days than normal. Those streaks are rare but the area (mayne not the park) came close in 1988, 1991, 1993, 2002, 2010. Outside the park, Bluewave has shown overall temps and even # of 90(+) days have increased vs the 40s/50s. There has been a tendency 2021 - 2024 for onshore flow limiting heat east of the Hudson, we'll see how this year evolves. For the summer weather lovers, those type heat streaks are welcome .

Next rain will come between Fri-Sat with frontal boundary storms but otherwise drying out and heating up after the 12 days cool/wet period

Records: Highs: EWR: 95 (2011) NYC: 96 (1895) LGA: 94 (1987) JFK: 93 (1989) Lows: EWR: 41 (1938) NYC: 46 (1945) LGA: 46 (1945) JFK: 45 (1967) Historical: 1812 - Apple trees at New Haven CT did not blossom until the first of June, the latest such occurrence during the period beginning in 1794. Snow whitened the ground in Cleveland OH and Rochester NY. (David Ludlum) 1903 - A strong tornado just 50 to 75 yards in width killed many persons around the Gainesville GA Cotton Mill. The tornado strengthened and widened near the end of its four mile path, killing 40 persons at New Holland GA. A total of 104 persons were killed in the tornado. (The Weather Channel) 1903: During the early afternoon, one of the most destructive tornadoes in the history of Georgia up to this time, struck the outskirts of Gainesville. The track of the storm was about four miles in length and varied between 100 to 200 feet in width. The tornado touched down about one mile southwest of Gainesville, striking a large cotton mill at 12:45 pm, Eastern Time, just 10 minutes after 750 employees filed into the great structure from dinner. On the top floor of the mill were employed 250 children, and it was here that the greatest loss of life occurred. 1919: Snowfall of almost a half-inch fell at Denver, Colorado. This storm produced their greatest 24-hour snowfall recorded in June. Two temperature records were set: The low temperature of 32 degrees was a record low for the date, and the high of only 40 degrees was a record low maximum. Cheyenne, Wyoming recorded 1.6 inches of snow, which is one of only six times that at least one inch of snow has fallen at Cheyenne in June. 1934: June started off on a warm note as high temperatures surpassed the century mark across parts of the Midwest. Several locations tied or set a record high temperatures for June including: Rockford, IL: 106°, Mather, WI: 105°, Hatfield, WI: 103°, Mondovi, WI: 102°, Chicago, IL: 102° and Grand Rapids, MI tied their June record high with 102°. 1947: Air Force weather flights into Pacific typhoons commenced on this date. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1969: For about three seconds, a brilliantly white and apparently spherical ball of fire occurred at tree-top height, vividly lighting the area near the Cabin John Bridge exit of the Capital Beltway in Maryland, just northwest of Washington, DC The eerie phenomenon was ball lightning from a thunderstorm. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1971: 8 inches of snow fell at Rainier Park Ranger Station in Washington state at the 5,427 feet elevation level. This ended up as the final snowfall of the 1970-71 winter season and brought the seasonal snowfall total to 1,027 inches to set a new record for the U.S. Despite this huge amount of snow, even more fell in the 1971- 72 season. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1980 - A man from Falmouth ME was struck by lightning restoring his eyesight. The man had been blind and partially deaf since a truck accident in 1971. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Severe thunderstorms in the Upper Mississippi Valley and the Lower Ohio Valley produced wind gusts to 81 mph at Albert Lea Airport in southern Minnesota, and baseball size hail around Otterbein IN, Sarona WI, and Danville IL. Two inches of hail totally destroyed 5000 acres of corn and soybean north of Danville. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms drenched north central Texas with torrential rains, with more than 14 inches reported in Commanche County. Afternoon thunderstorm in New Jersey and Pennsylvania produced wind gusts to 70 mph. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing during the afternoon over the Southern Plains Region produced severe weather through the evening and the night, spawning nine tornadoes. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Alpine TX, and baseball size hail at Balmorhea, TX, Fluvanna, TX, and in Borden County, TX. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1999: A tornado with an intermittent damage path destroyed 200 homes, businesses, and other buildings in the southern portion of St. James, Missouri. Of these, 33 homes were destroyed along with the St. James Golf Course clubhouse and two Missouri Department of Transportation buildings. The tornado then moved east, south of the downtown St. James area and intensified. F2 to F3 damage occurred with a 200 to 300-yard damage path. Several homes and farm buildings were severely damaged or destroyed. Further north, severe thunderstorms produced many tornadoes around central Illinois. The most intense tornado touched down in Montgomery County south of Farmersville and moved into southwest Christian County. One person was killed when a semi-trailer overturned at a rest area on I-55. Across eastern parts of the state, high winds up to 70 mph caused damage to trees, power lines, and some buildings. The Mattoon area also reported flooding from these storms, producing $3 million dollars in damage. 2012: At least 11 tornadoes touched down in Maryland and Virginia during (June 1, 2012 Friday's) storms, according to the latest figures. A severe thunderstorm with a confirmed EF1 tornado, high damaging winds and very heavy rains caused white-out conditions on Friday afternoon, June 1, 2012 in the Finksburg 2NW area. This was the same thunderstorm that affected Mt. Airy and Gamber earlier. Attached are a few photos of the damage. I also have some maps of the damage area NW of Finksburg, Maryland. My rainfall at Manchester 1SW as of 11pm was 3.07" . Storm total was 3.13 inches. No wind damage at Manchester 1SSW.( By Ref. : Herb Close)

60 / 42 breezy off what should the coolest low of 47 (for a while / Sep). Step up warm up to 70 today/ mid / upper 70s Monday, low 80s Tuesday , Mid - upper 80s or 90 in the hot spots Wed, Low 90s or better Thu. Hotter spots could get 3 day litttle heatwave to get back into the summer regime. Storms Fri late or Saturday with weak front, otherwise warmer than normal next weekend. 6/9 and beyond looks overall above normal with perhaps brief pieces of heat surging into the area but storms could follow routinely - more classic mid summer look. GFS has been adamant on a Tropical system into Gulf states.

May Rainfall totals: Site / Actual (normal) JFK: 4.39 (3.72 N EWR: 4.81 (4.02 N) LGA: 5.14 (3.72 N) NYC: 6.58 (4.03 N)