Jump to content

CaryWx

Members
  • Posts

    2,832
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. The NWS only updates every 8hrs or so right? They are not going to nowcast like the TV broadcast mets do on model run cycles. Let's see where they are on the next update cycle.
  2. Think AH is going to broaden the 'A' section further northwest possibly.
  3. Following weather models is a 'what have you done for me lately' exercise
  4. Triangle looks to be in a good place this evening with that line of banding totals around I-95. You can see the precip trend on some of these hires models. If the NW trend is viable here it will move to over the Triangle or just west in last 24hrs. Who really knows how this will unfold though.
  5. Even if you remove those outliers the cluster in the middle is not concentrated. Spread is still 5"-15" of snow
  6. Lines up with RAH afd about the band setting up around or just east of HW-1. Just need a little NW trend over next 24hrs.
  7. It would suck for them to have to back off these numbers. I suspect they will not have to
  8. That was a total broadcast met fail if I recall. Right up until gametime
  9. Are we sure the ensembles aren't just smoothing things out? As we get closer to the event they become less relevant I would think.
  10. When this ULL wave gets over Tenn. it will tell the tale one way or the other on the coastal performance sounds like. At that point we'll know right? When will that be exactly?
  11. NAM is the first of the 0z suite. I wouldn't just toss it yet.
  12. I'm thinking worse case the Triangle changes over to heavy sleet in the middle briefly maybe and finishes back off with more snow.
×
×
  • Create New...