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Posts posted by Caveman

  1. 26 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

    I know this is not priority at all at the moment haha but I will ask again, did anyone receive measurable precip during the last 24 hours?

    0.01" of snow, IP, and rain; Valley Green, Etters PA. The "bulk" fell around 6 pm Thursday...

    • Thanks 1
  2. 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

    Yep, short term drought is over for the Northeast/MA in my opinion. 

    No doubt!  I'm in northern York County and "play" in the middle of that "abnormally dry" region in south central PA...and frankly, for this time of year, it's abnormally wet.

    Screenshot 2024-01-10 at 2.43.13 PM.png

  3. 57 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

    This sim radar shows a fairly disorganized area south of us.  UK maps are always hard to garner exactly what is going on without the whole view.






    It also shows a deep tropical connection w/ the water vapor; one thing for sure; the weather pattern has certainly turned from our dry late summer and fall!


  4. 1.03" total liquid and 3.6".  Had a lull from 2-3 pm here; then the notorious mixed bag until it ended in the evening.  Good initial 4 hours gave us the bulk of our accumulation; then again about 3-5 pm for another inch of slop...that ocean off the mid-Atlantic is warm...3-5°C warmer than normals for 5 Jan 2024...enhances precip but any storm strength will bring warm air in as well...

    Screenshot 2024-01-07 at 9.35.34 AM.png

    • Like 2
  5. 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

    Family in Etters said they have less than 1/2 inch.....snow mostly melting there right now.


    I live in Etters and we are at 1" and roads/pavement are snow covered.  I just drove from Lancaster and plows were clearing the shoulders of route 30.  My visibility as I type is 1/4 mile.

  6. 2 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

    I always felt that Lancaster, York, Dauphin, and Lebanon were afterthoughts for the State College NWS.


    The NWS office used to be located in the Federal Bldg in Harrisburg before politics moved the radar up in the center part of the state and thus felt the office should be located there as well.  The "old" radar was atop a mountain WSW of Mt. Holly Springs...That's when wx models were dot matrix plots! 

  7. 11 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

    To further on what Anthonyweather shared a couple posts above from DT about the miller A vs miller B scenario, the Miller B scenario in this case would have been best for a longer duration system and more of a broad shield of precip across PA. The A solution that most guidance has settled upon shortens the duration and tightens the band of best QPF up since the system itself isn’t progged to be overly strong anymore. So the folks that see some of the best amounts are probably gonna be living dangerously in terms of the proximity to that changeover line. 

    Gotta smell the rain to get the heaviest snows!

    • Like 1
  8. 15 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

    Canderson Holiday Express Storm fights on - a few too many L's on that map NW of us for my liking. 

    I think the ensembles are showing a storm going up west of the mountains transitioning vorticity to the coast for a coastal development...very common in these parts as you are all aware.  If the antecedent cold is sufficient, that makes for a nice winter event in these parts...albeit possibly a tad sloppy or heavy...?  Storm to Pittsburgh, overrunning precip; then coastal take over...hammer time!  That model posted is 234 hours out...Thoughts?

  9. 6 minutes ago, Atomixwx said:

    This storm, for those who see white from it, would likely seal a White Christmas, would it not? I haven't had the time to look too far out but I was under the impression this storm brings the cold.

    Sent from my motorola edge 5G UW (2021) using Tapatalk

    20°F+ surface T anomalies for a couple of days with Td >32°F will erode snow cover quickly if that indeed occurs as per the Euro...

    Screen Shot 2022-12-13 at 3.17.35 PM.png

  10. 57 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

    It's a cutter on 'roids. If the Euro depiction happens, I know someone whose AC will be humming on 12/24...

    Christmas Eve and early Christmas morn 2015 was awesome!  It was warm and humid!  As a young kid, I would've been depressed.  Now, I loved it!  I believe the maxT was 70F at KMDT on Christmas Eve!

  11. 16 minutes ago, sauss06 said:

    I'd just like to have a good old fashion fall. I dislike fall when we have overly hot days or even snow.  

    absolutely fantastic sleeping weather 53 this morning

    have any of you ever done this ride? i have always wanted to, maybe i will this year


    Be ready for a heavy traffic and numerous people.  It's worth the experience if you've never done it; however, I will warn you that it was very busy the ONE time we went years ago.  I prefer to ride my bike up the rail trail.

    • Like 1
  12. 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

    And you were the big winner.  My dad near valley green and had water in his basement. 

    Yeah...at one point according to Newberry Twp police website, there was no way to get in/out of my location via road.  I never left as I was trying to divert water from house and not have to clean up basement...again!  I use a standard 10:1 COCORAHS type rain gauge and was measuring about every hour or so throughout the day.  From 3:30 pm to about 5 pm was the greatest rate (but even the "moderate" rain was heavy all day!).  I've been measuring precip for COCORAHS since 2010 or so.  It's easier now for me to go out and get soaked by a tropical rain than melt a column and get the liquid equivalent!  When I was younger, I'd do snow angels and pack snow against the tent.  Now I'd like to have weather every day like what we had today; Sept 2, 2021!  I love weather...and moreso, I love the meteorology and the outdoors!

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