pasnownut

sounds yummy...

thats what i did w/ my eagles last weekend (and likely more weekends in the future).

like a strip club..........

true dat.....buuuttttt...........there's nothing better then getting a good ol' NAMing ya know......we ARE a weird bunch aren't we?? If we are weird, then so be it....I'm down w/ hanging w/ my weather pals

Dude, I go outside for 10 min.....I come in a quart low........ I miss bats.

nooners - Just a fun spin on calling them midday runs....think weather porn and come to your own conclusions Like Sauss already has....

He posted the snowmap first....so if it happens, he gets his name on it....

absolutely. It cant be cold everywhere at once, and we just need a pattern flip to get our turn. Wouldnt expect a permanent flip, but transient cold fronts is what normal autumn is all about.

I think you'll end up right. Even if the zonal flow being advertised comes, the occasional blue bowling ball (like the one Tims snow comes from) will make for a much more autumnal feel for us here in the east. See the blues blowing up out west w/ the upper air pattern moving forward tells us just to be patient.

queing blizz and paweather in 3.... 2.... 1... hehe. Even if it is a false positive, it tells us were getting closer and thats good enough for this guy.

look north. its coming. Finish the loop and watch the trough get forced under. 4 days later, its deep autumn. Blue precip east of the Miss. as well. Mind you this is parsing a 300hr panel of an op run, but even Ens guidance blows the stickies back to bermuda...where they belong.

To add, if we remove the humidity, there would be a lot less bitching and worrying about temp departures from normal. 75 and no humidity....where can i sign?

yeah its rather crazy to think that for the next week that we will not see a nighttime/daytime temp swing of > 15-25 deg, but if one looks at overnighters, your statement is correct. In keeping hope alive, our first shot at autumn looms post D8-9 as we look to change the regime to a rather boring/zonal one as UL ridging turns into a pancake, and verbatim it extends through the rest of the Ens runs. GEPS a little less bullish, but overall consensus seems to be headed that way. I'll take some boring W/E flow any day over the sticky shit.... I've really...really had my fill of it.

looping current pattern has that ugly super cutter pattern w/ S/SW flow. I've really come to hate that look.

was low to mid 70's at Dewey

started looking like that yesterday morning as well. Didnt look at overnighters, but like sauss, I want a dry weekend.

CTP says MEH..... Clear skies tonight with light/calm wind. Some valley fog is again expected across many of the valleys. Frost potential is still there, but may only be worth mentions of patchy frost due to the potential for sct-bkn lower clouds to be around across the north where temps should have the best potential to get into the m30s. However, it could be colder along and a bit south of I-80 where a clear sky is more-likely. Will revisit frost potential after more data arrives and collab can happen.

Hope you enjoy the fall weather. Send pics.

want my nice answer......or my real one. Boring and season is WAAAYYYYY too long for me to hold interest. I laugh when baseball peeps in May are cackling how there team is in trouble. I tell them, you still have 120+ games to get it right.....

They are just for fun and most know that. Do they give false hope....yes and no. They are sort of like baseball talk in a weather forum.....something to do while we wait for the weather we enjoy....baseball talk does nothing for me, but for those that enjoy, it passes the time. At least they are related to what the forum is here for. In defense of snow maps, I think those of us that "use" them, do it more from a probablity perspective, and when NAM is spitting out crazy colors, we usually dont buy in to anything more than the fact that the likelyhood of something happening is increasingly likely. Thats how I use them anyway. Now back to baseball.............

Yeah, but that might be a little challenging on 10/2. :). I'm old enough to just appreciate a good time w/ good people....no matter where or when....it's all good.

Dude is legit...

you bet. Just given choice I'd be in colorado seeing my kid (or somewhere out West) and seeing the Aspens and autumns splendor in full view. 28yrs for me.

friggin hillarious. This is classic (and one reason I dont venture). Not at all afraid of someone w/ a big eog/head, just dont need that shit anymore.

My anniversary is Saturday, so I agree. Unfortunately she wants to do the beach thingy.....see how well I compromise? Not really a beach guy.