CentralNC

1 minute ago, kvegas-wx said:

Just got back from saving my neighborhood from downed trees.  What a huge mess! Power out everywhere.  Michael has given about everyone a little graze across the groin on his way out.  

No idea what my rain totals are now but given the state of a few local creeks, its a lot.  Never seen them that deep in 17 years of living here.

Bring on fall please! A very dry one!

Same here.  Just saw where 24% of Forsyth is without power.  I'm in the 24%

Really throwin down here near downtown W-S.  I am on 5th floor.  Can't tell wind speeds but I would guess steady 30s and gusts over that.

6 minutes ago, marsman said:

NCDOT: https://tims.ncdot.gov/tims/

Google Maps may also show current closures.

Thanks for that link.  Headed back to W-S tomorrow from Daytona Beach area.

1 minute ago, wncsnow said:

I think it's time for a thread.. The event is only 2 or 2 and a half days away and is on every model to varying degrees. 

I nominate you since you will be in the crosshairs.

1 minute ago, Solak said:

With the potential of more snow this weekend, I wonder what the record for frozen events (significant or not) in the month of March is for central NC?

right off hand I would have to look at 1960.

33 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

It snowed two inches here last year around almost that same exact date. 

It can certainly happen.  Would like to see model consensus before I am in on this one.

3 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

I keep hammering this home but the evolution of this event reminds me a great deal of 3/1/09.

Being 2 weeks later is not going to help us.  Cold air marginal.

9 minutes ago, tarheelwx said:

Let me start a pot of coffee.  Just kidding.  Private met in Richmond.  

Dave Tolleris

Runs Weather Risk

TW

Yeah the guy that loves to bust on Bastardi, yet JB brought out the Ash Wednesday storm analog days ago before DT even sniffed it.

While we wallow in our pity, I thought you would enjoy this read

https://spacecityweather.com/houston-snow-1895-galveston/

JB ranting on Twitter about his snow hole in Happy Valley.  He's just as bad as the rest of us. 

32 minutes ago, tarheelwx said:

The cold earlier this month was notable due to the duration.  I think GSO was aob freezing for around 204 hours straight. However, I think GSO only tied one record low and it wasn’t even during the “streak.”  So, a couple record lows in Feb cold make the case for an even colder period yet to come.

TW

Especially if we can get some snow cover :o)

1 minute ago, Queencitywx said:

I dont remember Feb 1996 being notable when I was growing up but thats probably because the 96 blizzard was so awesome.

For me on Groundhog day big ice storm followed by record cold for several days.

3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

What's good for Mid Atlantic, is 99% of the time, not good for us. Don't remember 13/14 that well for us, but 95/96 was done for us after mid Jan

Not for me.  Both winters had great Febs here.

1 hour ago, mackerel_sky said:

Yeah, I havnt seen rain in forever! Glad I'm up

Hang in there, mack!

Where the heck is everyone!  Wake up people.  We might not see this one again for a while!

7 minutes ago, Poimen said:

Someone said a few weeks ago that this winter would feature a storm that we would not see coming until 4-5 days out. This fits the bill, more or less. Hats off to whoever said that, if this in fact pans out. 

Somebody lucky please start blue turd thread

10 minutes ago, Poimen said:

Well... the 6Z NAVGEM has a similar solution at 120, showing a swath of modest precip over the Carolinas as the trough axis approaches. Interesting. 

EDIT: more precip at 126 across central/eastern NC as the coastal low forms near the OBX. 

These redevelopment types never do well for me here in the western piedmont.

5 minutes ago, november rain said:

I have lived 1/2 a century and have seen some cold weather in my upstate SC area over the years, but never can I recall having 10 days or more of lows between 7 and 13 F  with days hovering near 32 and stepping out into bright sunshine feel not much warmth.  

Just think what it would have been had we had snow cover.  Really amazing.

If you want to eat your liver, go over to OBS thread for NYC metro and check in.  They are getting smoked right now.

1 minute ago, dereknel015 said:

I Agree...Role reversal lol. I was expecting to see higher totals for Richmond on his 1st call map. Hopefully he ups his amounts for Ric on his final call

DT's been wrong before too...

Just now, CARDC79 said:

Trust me, being in DC taught me to keep expectations low.  Constantly on the rain/snow line, and with no elevation.  It was just heartening to read those comments above, especially from a Met. (Believe the PRO FORECASTER icon means a Met)

Lots of good mets here.  HKY_WX is really trustworthy for Triad folks.  His brother (RaleighWX) not too shabby either!

1 minute ago, CARDC79 said:

This will be my first Winter event as a Winston resident.  Moved down from DC this summer.  Maybe this could turn out decent here after all.  Thanks for the good news!

Well take it from a long time resident, keep expectations low...

1 minute ago, Snovary said:

Id think this line will be about 50 miles NW of whats shown for accumulating snow

Not putting too much stock in precip maps after last year's debacle but nice to see the NW shift.  Still think it will be mostly a car-topper

9 minutes ago, griteater said:

Super dynamic storm...strong, closed off 850mb low.  A low that tugged to the coast is normally not good for GSP to CLT

Jan 22, 87 did have CAD the day before storm.  it was upper 30's with NE wind all day.  Not strong CAD but it was there.

1 hour ago, wxdawg10 said:

one of the biggest busts in recent memory.  what made it worse was the constant back and forth by mets as the event was unfolding and still being wrong every single time and getting attacked on twitter. just a sad situation all around..

Makes me wonder if they should just say "there is a winter storm coming, but we really dont know what it's going to do so just be prepared for anything".