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About jpbart

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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
jpbart replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Columbia SC here, this is a dark oblivion for snow. It will snow in the mountains and the coast, not here. Flurries would be remarkable, 2 inches would feel a miracle and if we hit on the max levels it would be a joyous disaster! Milk and bread have been cleaned out already and the whole place is tense with anticipation. -
Lurking here from Columbia SC. This ice storm scenario worries me. Might have to buy a generator to mitigate stress.
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Quick question, does anyone have suggestions for good YouTube weather forecasts? I watch WXrisk with DT. I was wondering if anybody had other people who do the overall picture as well.
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I was curious who everyone's favorite weather YouTuber is? I am in the South East (SC), and I watch a lot of WxRisk with DT. I was wondering if anybody else gives a big picture to the nation's weather, and or the South East.
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Asheville-Oct 31 Charlotte- Nov 2 Raleigh- November 1
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It's called having a mortgage payment and kids in school, highly effective anchors.
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jpbart started following Wind Favors Hail
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Below is a statement from the NWS and I was hoping somebody could fill me in on what this forecaster is talking about here. Trying to learn a bit about all of this. Any instability that develops should be driven by steep mid-level lapse rates in association with the deepening upper trough. Why is this interesting? I`m glad you asked - it is primarily owed to the wind profiles this afternoon being quite favorable for severe hail. It is unlikely that we have even low amounts of instability advect into our forecast area; however, if a strong storm can sustain itself east of the better environment, it wouldn`t be surprising that at storm or two produced marginalia-severe or sub-severe hail.
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Try living in Columbia, SC. Complete failure while others score is the new normal. We did get something like 1/2" that lasted about 3 hours and there was much joyous celebration over that. Otherwise, cold rain is our normal winter outcome, with some black ice when the cold arrives after the main event.
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Around Columbia SC we had several tornado signatures on radar (3 or 4?) and tornado warnings posted. Storms overperformed a bit in the sever weather dept.
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Hoping for a long spring with sunny days but not needing the A/C 24/7 until June. Yeah, I know. A man can dream, a man can dream.
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Question: I want to access the various computer model outputs like a lot of members here appear to do. Is that possible and how do I do that? Site recommendations, any help, or advice would be greatly appreciated.
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Yes, that may be a factor adding instability to the current climate and changing things so previous analog years are less predictive. The effect is likely small over time currently but it is not well understood so it's effects are hard to pin down. General consensus is it makes things more extreme, droughts a bit more intense etc.
