mahk_webstah

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I like snowman, but he is one those passive aggressive trolls....its camouflaged, but note the tone of all of his posts...."You had better pray (insert fortuitous development for winter enthusiasts) occurs or you won't have any winter at all"! When do you ever see him say "If that happens, it could be a fun wintry stretch".....he's a little verbiage Jedi always trying to elicit emotion from fans of winter and when he does, he plays the victim.

Good transactional analysis work my friend

2 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

As you can see from this light pollution map, nothing much is going on out this way, lol. Great for astronomy though.

Nice!

15 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Yeah, I'm dropping like a rock here too. 34.3 already. Not an event I really want to be ahead of schedule on.

Nice to have a board member in your location!  I always wonder what is going on out that way. I lived in Webster for many years, and now I am in Boscawen .

Sky cleared this afternoon and is still fairly clear so we’re getting a really fast radiational cooling and drop of temperatures. Got up to 44 but already down to 35.  Would seem to suggest that we are frozen in this event. But I don’t know if we get a push of warm air the surface at some point.

Well this doesn’t start until Sunday late.  A little to declare victory or defeat.  Let’s see where we stand around 1pm tomorrow 

Fascinating with the GFS coming around to what the European was selling for three days and as soon as they did it, European went back to the prior GFS solution. Is it some sort of power struggle?

For my area a few miles south of Dendrite, that is 3" of snow and almost .25 of ice.  That is a significant event.  We are going to have a rock solid pack come next week if this is correct.

2 minutes ago, tunafish said:

You're not kidding.  I haven't been paying attention to it, but yeah, the 12z HRRR keeps even PWM snow through a majority of the event.

The drain from Maine freezes the coastal plain?

Euro slappin the GEM and draggin the GFS by the hair?

1 hour ago, qg_omega said:

GFS taking the lead here, she’s gone

Is you sure?  Cuz I wants ta know...

Noticing that on weather underground, the temperature forecast for the first three days of February have dropped fairly substantially into highs in the low to mid 30s. We’ll have to see when we get a warm-up and how extreme and for how long I suppose.

I’ve been wondering if the thing tonight trends and becomes snow and sleet.

42 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Maybe this time the media will attach

Looks about the same over here in Boscawen but our pack is a little less…4-10

2 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Well of course I'm excited. The much vaunted and infallible ICON has blessed me with a weenie jackpot at my location with its latest run. No way this can go wrong for me now.

Will it be excommunicated for coming north? 

20 minutes ago, dendrite said:

27.2° and -FZRA

Our road is a skating rink. Time for some salt, thanks.

I had icicles hanging off of my hair while shoveling the crusty 1-2” off the driveway. 

Nosostros sombrero

wondering what the mesos will show overnight regarding the thursday night deal up here.  Just plain rain?  Maybe, but close.  Mesos may trend colder.

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

26.7° with a little ZL

1.8” final

2.5 here.  Don't like the looks of that batch of rain moving in from NY/VT.  Going to take awhile to get us above 32.

I think Jeff will be able to get this to come north.

Come to papa....

1 minute ago, Spanks45 said:

Euro has pulled the rug out here within 24 hrs, so grain of salt for now

Yes but as Tip has pointed out, there is metereological reasoning for this move.

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

In case anyone's interested in some analytics instead of just rollin' eyes back in head as the drug plunges into vein ...

but.. .this shortwave below is probably what starts the 'shunting' east in the Euro and stems the translation into SNE of that NE Pa snow bomb...

Is it possible that piece could ultimately phase in if the sw is more amped, slower deeper?

4 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

It also goes the other way...  but weenies crossed

Of course. But tippy lays out a good case.

17 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Meanwhile, that digger around the 2nd is interesting.  Does seem to be some potential there with a feature diving from Manitoba to the Delmarva.

Wasn’t this the time we were supposed to be starting a torch? Least I thought that was the trend yesterday

You know, it is not uncommon for these things to show big a week out back off and then slowly trend closer to the big outcome.

I think we are going to get an extended stretch of decent winter. Just not sure when it begins but hoping for February 5 or sixth for a month.

Nice little east west oriented band sitting over us up here with light to moderate snow and decent snow growth. Looks like a shot at 3 inches if this goes for a little while.