CarlislePaWx

The Dynamic Duo is back??

It looks worse than it is. The main precip for you and me is modeled to be winding down substantially by 3-4am. When the snow gets really light there sometimes can be freezing rain/drizzle mixed in. I would say 99% of the entire event is all snow for both of us. I also have no idea why they are calling heavy snow, snow showers. I can almost guarantee you that once they issue the winter storm warning tomorrow the verbiage will have just become "snow".

Nice. Basically the same here...light snow continues, 32.7 degrees with 0.3". Nice solid whitening (that doesn't mean the grass has disappeared).

By the way, I forgot to mention that I recorded 0.48" of rain before the changeover. Back around 5am I woke up hearing heavy rain.

Wow. I haven't seen the probability maps. Cumberland county was the epicenter of the Jan 2016 storm. I got 35" out of that one. Temp 32.7 with a good moderate snow falling as more areas are turning white.

Finally all snow here and approaching moderate intensity. Temp 32.9 degrees. Just beginning to whiten the ground and mulch. Looks nice.

Incredible...both 18Z Nam's have my snowfall at 5" again...second time in a row. All the globals had given up on tomorrow with none of them having more than 1" in the LSV. Shouldn't we expect the NAM to be the better model 24 hours out??

Canadian---10:1 first map, Kuchera second map. It gives all of us less than 1" with tomorrow, so the storm total is pretty much all from Wednesday-Thursday

Wow...both NAM's give me 5" of snow tomorrow. Will it come to fruition is the question?

Yesterday I mentioned Larry Cosgrove's winter forecast which contains a bunch of analogs of waning Nina's through winter. He gave double weight to several years which included 1995-96. Back in December of '95 I still lived in northern NJ. I distinctly remember a significant snowstorm just a week before Christmas. Actually, it was December 19th and I measured 13" from that storm. It was very cold and that kept a good chunk of the snowfall still around when the blockbuster January 6th storm hit. That winter the snow started falling in November and didn't stop until the middle of April! I measured 92" total snow for that record season which still stands for me as the greatest snow season of my life. I just think it's interesting to watch things unfold in the coming weeks.

You appear to be the big winner with 2-storm total of 24". I only get 18"...lol.

Larry Cosgrove, in his analogs for this winter has a very memorable La Nina winter in it....anyone remember '95-'96?

Was the NAO ever negative for more than a few hours last winter??