Terpeast

Personally I wouldn’t take that drive. Save it for later.

91 imby

December 23. That’s when I’ll be out of town, so we know when to book that first snow

Euro and AI Euro ensembles are switching to -NAO around Oct 22, fwiw, after +NAO for several weeks

I wouldn’t read too much into this event since it had tropical origins, but either way I’m glad we’re getting more rains and that the heaviest was along the piedmont and mountains. I wouldn’t be surprised to see qpf fields like this throughout the winter. Could be a big year for the ski resorts, and mostly rain for the lowlands outside of (maybe) a well timed storm with cold air.

Surprised to see 4.53” final total when I woke up, by far the biggest event since I got my ambient

3.37”

That last cell pushed me over the 3” mark

2.78”, becoming more drizzly and showery

Yes thats what i was also thinking. Even for here just east of 15

2.5” in ashburn!

Euro AI ens maintains a +NAO through most of its run, may be able to shock this winter back to life

Fog

Looks a lot like 97-98 in terms of snowfall where the apps and interior get dumped on while coastal plains get below climo. But we only need one! (Speaking for the MA)

All good. With lack of time to do these analyses myself, I tend to make these one off comments going only by memory. But I probably shouldn’t do that, since I work in a different field now and my memory isn’t what it used to be