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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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About Terpeast

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KIAD
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  • Location:
    Ashburn, VA

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  1. Terpeast
    Been averaging 12-13” a winter since I moved back here including the 2022-23 rat. This prediction triples that, so I’d love to see it actually happen. I’m a tad more bearish but we only need one storm!
  2. Terpeast
    Another possibility is that the stronger mid latitude ridging (which also contributes to the NW Pac marine heat wave) is behind the strat warming. No science behind this, just speculation.
  3. Terpeast
    Yes. I would personally love to run the 25-26 analog back again, even if two KUs had missed my area. Flip side, running 09-10 again might not produce a record snowfall.
  4. Terpeast
    Or if we’re lucky, another Dec 5th snowstorm
  5. Terpeast
    I think the more interesting question is whether an early SSWE usually leads to another strat event/PV disription later in the season. Especially during el nino winters.
  6. Terpeast
    34 for the low
  7. Terpeast
    NAO probably won’t save us with a pac like that. But if we get something (like a strat warming or -AO) to buckle that pac jet and allow cold air to get down here, we could time it with a STJ wave and that’s how we score big.
  8. Terpeast
    Yeah. With how east based this is, i think it will try to default to this pattern. Maybe the strat warming will somehow shake this up and give us something better
  9. Terpeast
    A bit west would have more ridging into AK which would help us with cold air
  10. Terpeast
    This is what I mean when I say goa low butting up against the west coast and zonal flow across the east. I think winter will look something like this
  11. Terpeast
    That stupid tie feels worse than any other losses
  12. Terpeast
    That's the best case scenario. The worst case? well... I'll be in Quebec during the holidays. Even if it torches in the east, it'll still be cold enough there for snow.
  13. Terpeast
    If we're getting a minor warming soon, the PV will probably restrengthen for December and we'll torch. But after that, we may get another warming in time for some blocking in Jan/Feb. That would be our window if it pans out.
  14. Terpeast
    https://x.com/bennollweather/status/2112536814758121610?s=46 warmest subsurface in east pacific is up to 92 F where its 12c above normal. Crazy
  15. Terpeast
    So would I for blizzards. But from their message, I wonder why they didn’t include flood warnings. I would think that flood warnings would be a top case for that kind of wording.
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