Terpeast

LCPS 2 hour delay 27.9/23.1

Temp drop is slowing down. 28.6/22.6.

Just checked all the mesos forecasts of 2m temp at valid 00z 12/2 (which is right now), and they are all too warm. The closest one is fv3 Doesn’t mean anything about upstairs, but surface is colder than forecast.

My high was 45, and then dropped like a rock.

29.8/23, still clear

Yes but nam 3k had me at 36, so who knows. Once the clouds roll in, we may rebound a few degs

34.7/24, wb 29.5. HRRR sounding has me at 38 at this time.

Awesome, UVA is a great school and really nice to have the in state price. You’re doing great with your met analyses! Keep it up.

You’re in cville now? UVA?

Dropped 3 degrees in 25 min. Now 37/22

40/23, still clear

I was expecting a mid-month warmup, but that's looking more and more temporary.

Yep, some really good ones out there! I don’t like to drink alcohol during week nights because I get up early for work (like 4:30 am), so I love NA brews because I can get my fix anytime not just on weekends. 44 and blazing sun. Can’t be good for temps in a marginal situation.

Reminds me of Jan 2024 when we got two northern stream waves that trended south with the PV push and hit us with a pair of 2-4"/3-5" snowfalls a week apart. And that was during an el nino winter, ironically. This is likely the best case scenario in a NS-dominant regime as depicted above.

The deamp trend is still alive and well. Maybe we should start looking for "cutters" along with blocking and... "right where we want it at 6 days out"?