Terpeast

Despite the yellows over us, this isn't exactly a warm look. Anticyclonic ridge out west where we want it, and broad cyclonic trough over midwest/east/NE. Trough NW of Hawaii with -EPO/-WPO and hint of GL blocking, with continued Scand ridging. Second half of Jan could be fun.

Fell short of the forecasted high of 51, only made it to 48.

Yep, h5 pattern seems to be trying for some light to moderate events for MA-NE. Maybe a 96-like big dog can happen, but extremely unlikely.

After a low of 13.5, temp is 41 which feels very comfortable compared to yesterday.

Torch moved to boxing day. That i am fine with. Just keep xmas eve and day cooler

I don't think so. Today: 2 weeks from now: Still on our side of the globe and not too far from a widespread cold snap that could extend at least a couple of weeks down this way in January. Yes, it's one ensemble run, but the source/placement of cold air hasn't really changed all that much from run to run.

Yep I see WH forcing in the hovmoller's forecasts, of which GFS is performing well lately. It's trying to go into phases 1 and 2, with a bit of ensemble support.

Quick check on the ensembles today looks like a solid -pna pattern for at least the next two weeks with no credible snow threats for the MA. Perhaps some cold shots over the NE and MA. But we’re gonna have to wait this out a bit before the scand ridge retros into a GL block around new years.

26 for the high. Legit cold

I’m glad the models are fading the warmth around the holidays, but as long as the PNA is negative its an unfavorable setup for snow in the MA. Maybe we can sneak in a wintry mix event.

Low of 16.7

Similar thoughts. We’ll probably lose the first week of Jan, but second week may get more interesting with tracking threats.

This December hasn’t been too shabby in general, though some were unlucky for their back yards. I tend to agree that a ratter is an extremely unlikely scenario.

Seeing lots of CAD setups in this set. Maybe we can sneak in a wintry mix event before new years

22 F, feels like 13, little if any melting. Frozen inch everywhere