Terpeast

love how the ens mean hooks the 1.5+ back into the DMV. Could be another potential overperformer

Yeah, details are up in the air, but both show a ss wave coming up into cold air nearby. That’s something we haven’t seen much of in these parts around here lately.

Yep, I’d lean more on the mesos and even radar as its more of a nowcast situation

Gfs ice storm and euro slider, lets split the difference

Same

12z gfs is less out here but given low qpf to begin with, its mainly noise. Temps may be cold enough to maintain decent ratios west of the beltway though

Hoping I get 1.5”+ tomorrow

Similar amounts here judging from the pic, some whitening in the shortest grass spots.

Nailed it. Temps have not been an issue, it’s just moisture or lack there of. Hopefully that changes in the next 2-3 weeks.

I noticed nam 3k tries to paste a couple inches out here this way. Ashburn, about 4 miles east of 15

Acceptable. I do that.

Euro weeklies trended much better for us in feb even! It wants to keep the good pattern going through feb until losing it around 2/23

Back to graupel, but temp is 33 so its sticking better

Yeah I was concerned about pac energy breaking apart the +pna and torching canada, but recent ens runs stop short of doing that and still maintain western ridging. Canada will warm up yes, but we may stay NN/BN in the east and during this window that’s all we need.

Great shot!