-
Posts
6,773 -
Joined
-
Last visited
About Terpeast

Profile Information
-
Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KIAD
-
Gender
Not Telling
-
Location:
Ashburn, VA
Recent Profile Visitors
The recent visitors block is disabled and is not being shown to other users.
-
October snows are a bad omen
-
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Terpeast replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It looks like the strong +AO pushed the mid-high lat ridges further south -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Terpeast replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
With that in mind, the pdo stopped falling per WCS. Lowest it got was -1.8, now its up to -1.64 today. Should get back to near neutral in a month or so -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Terpeast replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The PDO drop back is unfortunate. It’s now around where it was at this time last year, and there is still some time for the PDO to rise back up to near neutral once the marine heat wave area cools off with the season change. But I think +PDO territory is off the table, and the clock is ticking for us to even get back to neutral. -
Hail commanders!!!!
-
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Terpeast replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah, most of the tropical convection is very east based with the MC completely shut down (finally, after 10 years). Interestingly there is some remaining convection right around the dateline or just to the east of it. If I loop the forecast forward, that piece stays there. I think it may actually help us a bit this winter if it keeps going. If not, and it stays this east based, that won’t be good news for our cold/snow chances. -
Rain starting in ashburn. 58
-
What a fabulous day today, wish we had more days like this
- 802 replies
-
- 13
-
-
-
2.5” event total in Ashburn, that was good. Feels like fall, finally
-
2.33” total yesterday and today, closing in on 4” MTD. And it was supposed to be a dry month according to the models
-
Haha i actually use TT most of the time it’s most mobile friendly. I like pivotal for desktop analysis but its not as mobile friendly
-
I don’t even check the surface for cfs maps, just 500mb and draw my own conclusions
-
In a super nino year, if I could get one big dog that beats my PR of 30”, the rest of the winter can be in the 60s for all I care.
-
1.08” yesterday and 0.77” today
