Terpeast

They may be going with a blend of the Euro and GFS. Which isn't entirely unreasonable, just not something we would run with ourselves.

I’m right on the navy blue line just NW of IAD, and 7-12” is consistent with what I was thinking.

10” would be fantastic!

Also think of it this way… we’re finally getting a classic N&W storm

If I can beat my 7.6” in last year’s storm, I’m good.

I think a blend gets us to 6-10" DC metro, 8-12" NW, 12"+ out up in WV panhandle through PA SE of DC 4-8" with lots of sleet, and south of EZF start to see icing (subject to change ofc)

It was awesome. Started out raining briefly, then flipped hard and the rates - oh man. I stayed up the whole night. Worth the sleep sacrifice.

We've got another busy week coming up on the heels of this upcoming winter storm!

Good luck and stay safe/warm. We appreciate your work.

This is where the mountains help us with CAD.

I’m hoping for a compromise between gfs and everything else. But i suspect the gfs will cave by tomorrow

Main takeaway is the NAM puts itself in Euro's camp, even though it trended a touch colder.

He’s comparing two different models, not two different runs of the same model.

Looks like the warm nose starts at 700-750, then later 800-850

If we could coax that high more west and raise SLPs in WV, we could tip the seasaw in favor of the coastal. Even better for us.