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tavwtby

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Everything posted by tavwtby

  1. tavwtby
    canal runner?
  2. tavwtby
    ALY likes the Euro solution, still saying everything on the table still, but leaning towards Euro for this, seeing how it's the best placement, I'll take...WU has upped whatever they use, from 4" to 9" in just a few hours
  3. tavwtby
    I'll take a 2-4" with this one and if I can pull 8-12 on Mon I'll be happy before I bounced back to Florida for a month, if I get more even better, if I can break 40 on the season, that's nearly half way to climo here, so not as bad as 27.5"...
  4. tavwtby
    just hope it holds, I have more confidence in this than anything else this winter, I can say that
  5. tavwtby
    I think the fact we are now ~5 days from go and it's still relatively been steadfast across all suites is a plus this season... just hold serve and I believe most on the forum will cash in on something
  6. tavwtby
    yeah I'll take it, seems to me that there's a few more members out to sea that run, but majority of them seem to be tightening up just off the coast, other than a couple overhead members that is a good look
  7. tavwtby
    still a lot of members way SE, but a nice cluster near the cape I take
  8. tavwtby
    yeah, what made 96-97 worse, until March anyway, was we were coming off a historic winter in 95-96, where it seemed we were getting 3-6/4-8 every three days or so, but I remember a good cold spell in 97, or am I mistaken?
  9. tavwtby
    my hope is for a calm period along the east coast from the 17th to 19th as I travel back to Florida, hopefully can squeeze out a good one next week and then I'll welcome spring when I return!
  10. tavwtby
    I'll take a canal runner, although bad for eastern areas, my area has always done well with those, I'll also take a 4/97 redux, I had 18 in naugy at the time, but remember traveling to orh for work that day and was amazed how much was otg, iirc it was a blue bomb too, no?
  11. tavwtby
    they'll be Dropsonde spitting for a BM bomb... do they actually do drops for non tropical events? I don't recall
  12. tavwtby
    I spend a good part of my job taking data acquisition in various forms and deducing it to present in test reports, so I don't mind it at all, best is I get to spot seasonal trends in the data, and being a big pattern recognition guy, that satisfies me, ha!
  13. tavwtby
    love these stats, I've been slowly in spare time pouring over the data from just my area, dating back to 1897, and putting together plots for all parameters, almost feels like work, reducing data into readable format charts and graphs etc, fun though...
  14. tavwtby
    nothing would please us more than a slow moving, region wide dumper, I'll be happy with this winter if it ended with a solid double digit, crawler with snow for days and wind, yore! they are a bunch of sub 980 lows in that cluster
  15. tavwtby
    wow, went from hope to surpass at least 35" down the stretch to possibly nothing but cirrus, hope next week at least can deliver a few inches to get over 30 on the season, good grief
  16. tavwtby
    despite the nice 50 degree day once sun came out, still have a good 90% of the ground covered...doubt it lasts with any more days like this, it was beautiful this afternoon...
  17. tavwtby
    also, I got almost half my season total from 2/17 on that year, great second half
  18. tavwtby
    iirc, they went right into April, out east was getting hammered with each one too, I think one of those I had hours of sugar while it dumped inches to knees east
  19. tavwtby
    yeah that's it. was just looking at the archives, in March of 18, we had a couple doozies between the 7 and 13th, but the 2019 ones is what I was thinking about
  20. tavwtby
    didn't we also have something similar in March of 18? a smaller event followed by a bigger event a couple days later? I may be wrong on the year but it was within the last few years
  21. tavwtby
    since moving up to Winsted from Waterbury in 13, we've had 4 seasons below 50", avg here dating back before 1900, is 83" but the avg since I've been here is 60", and that's including 3 above average winters...if I exclude 15-16, 18-19, 19-20, and 20-21, it's right at avg. That said, I need 8" more down the stretch to beat 15-16, 19-20, 1898-99, and 1912-13, as the bottom dwelling winters, sorry for the winded post, but in short, I think it's achievable by the looks of things
  22. tavwtby
    the synchronicities that happen in my life lately are insane...was just talking about this song with an old friend we used to make fun of with this song, so how often in the past 30 years has this song come up, now twice in a day.
  23. tavwtby
    yore!
  24. tavwtby
    that hurts...see what I did there
  25. tavwtby
    I know it's been explained before but indulge me here... what's the difference between the Op run and the ensemble mean, is the op just a member that has more weight, or is the mean of them all factored into the op? that aside, this has a great look this far out, and has for days now, doesn't hurt to mention some of our biggest and best systems have come during the Ides of march, just before equinox seems to be a good time for major storm development. let's hope we hold serve and enjoy tracking something
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