WNash

Don’t both Watertown and Buffalo require a flow from around 245 or 250 to get a solid LES hit? It shouldn’t be as hard to get that in Buffalo as it has been in recent years.

Agreed, but I feel like KBUF has been soft-pedaling forecasts recently, erring on the low side. We've had a garbage winter, and even when they're wrong, we haven't been able overshoot their call by much, but it's an issue that they've taken a turn towards the cautious lately.

Maybe I'm wrong about this, but it seems like the Buffalo WFO is recently very reluctant to issue WSW for the Buffalo metro unless the low probability (10%) scenario meets WSW criteria. Didn't the November events get only advisory notices, even though at lease one met WSW criteria?

This would have been a beauty about six weeks ago.

I went out to shovel to burn off some frustration from watching the Titans let Mahomes walk in at the end of the first half. We had around 6 inches since Friday night, but yesterday’s accumulation got rained on then froze. Had everything completely clear, even had the last of the sun shining down at sunset, then we had a heavy burst that put down another half inch.

I went out in the drizzle at 5:30 to shovel about 4.5 inches of mashed potatoes. Too much to melt overnight, and whatever is left over is gonna freeze solid tomorrow night.

I got a state job, took a big pay cut, but the benefits are 100x better. And a pension is so hard to find in the private sector that you might as well be dreaming. People in my dad’s generation got pensions, and they’re doing well, but the people who run things took that away from us and put the money in their own pockets.

It’s dumping here as well, about 2 miles SE of the village of Kenmore. Not even a hint of taint.

Bah gawd, that's @tim123's music

I was well into my 40s (and my wife well into her 30s) before we had a kid. Fertility issues required a specialist, which took us years to get around to, but conception didn't take long after that. Certainly something to consider if you/your spouse is older than optimal fertility age, though without sharing too many details age didn't have a lot to do with our situation. But then we had a very preterm delivery and a long NICU stay, which was difficult at the time but we got through it. Our child is two now and has no issues. It did change our lifestyle a lot, but the emotional rewards have more than made up for it. We're not going to have another... it was hard on all of us, and we might not be as lucky next time. Certainly my wife's employer (who gave her a generous leave on full pay) might not be as accommodating next time!

One can only dream. The source of this moisture is the Gulf of Mexico, right? It's not impossible for gulf moisture to fall as snow, but it's not a frequent occurrence. More likely, when we get crazy PWAT it's accompanied by warmer air with a higher PWAT value. I guess I prefer a downpour to an overrunning scenario with that water falling into 32F surface temps, but it would be cool to get true snowstorm from moisture like this.

Just give it a couple thousand more years!

Verbatim, RIP Cleveland.

It’s a mix up here near the Buffalo/Snyder/Cleveland Hill line. Accumulating a little bit, though. I think this will show as a trace, unless the airport gets a bigger burst.

How embarrassing for you to contort logic and language into an attempt to justify actions that are both authoritarian and unhinged. What hilarious is that you frame anticipated objections to your utter nonsense as an issue of “popularity,” as if you’re a brave truth teller instead of a coward who is willing to bend reality to the fantasies of a very powerful and very unstable man.

Sorry about your brain worms, get well soon

If someone posted a map like that on this website, they would get a weenie tag

There are a lot of weather hobbyists, and the hobby takes many forms, but some forms seem weird to me. Interest in chaser personalities is not my thing, but he has really cultivated an image and brand. I'm a little grossed out by referring to cyclones as "sexy" and "hawt" but clearly I'm not his audience. That said, you make a great point about how legitimately terrifying some hurricane videos are. Being trapped in an attic as the storm surge rises seems like a particularly awful way to spend your last few minutes on earth. But I was already convinced by the famous Katrina warning issued by the WFO in New Orleans that I would not want to be anywhere near a major hurricane.

He's a videographer, not a livestream chaser, so it's a little ridiculous to see all these prayers for him on Twitter. Getting online wouldn't be his first priority. To his credit, he hasn't tried to finagle a quick trip out of devastated areas in the past, when authorities are left counting the numbers of the living and seeing if civilization can ever be restored. Besides, he is enough of a showman to appreciate the drama of his re-emergence after a couple of days incommunicado.

We have had probably 20" this winter, about half of which came in one storm. The rest has fallen in small increments, while areas to the south have gotten huge amounts. By contrast, 25 miles south of here, they're over 100 inches with half the winter still to go. Part of it is geography amd part of it is bad luck. Point is exactly what you said, the snow is always deeper on the other side.

I moved from Tennessee to Buffalo about four years ago, and I can tell you that I have seen the snow clouds for epic multi-foot storms, including the Nov 2014 70" storm, just 3-5 miles south and never come any closer. I have to live where I live for work, and in my part of the area we do get some decent snow from time to time, but even up in the Great Lakes you would be amazed at how often you can find yourself in the screwzone.