Stash

It can happen wherever the deformation sets up, but this is a relatively quick mover. Been in ENY more than 20 years now, and have seen at least 6 or 7 storms of over 20", in between all the whiffs, usually to the south and east. That number includes the back to back storms in 02/03, and two more the past two Decembers. I'm glad to see WNY getting in on the fun this time.

Barring future corrections, I doubt I see 6" this far east, but anything over 2" will be my heaviest "storm" this season. So this should be a net gain, even here. I do agree with your max area though, especially towards SYR.

It's very tough to get a forum wide storm, as our forum runs from Buffalo east to the New England border, and up to Quebec. But even here in ENY, that would be a decent front end amount followed by dryslot/changeover depending on the ultimate track.

Same here. It would be nice to get that track over SE Mass to verify instead of well inland over our heads in Eastern NY. It's been a tough start for Upstate (east of Utica). The freezing rain from the other day did turn our 1" pack into a glacier however, so that's not going anywhere anytime soon.

Nice paper, did you write this? MHC was still poorly understood (relatively speaking) when I was in the program there in the 90's.

This has more of a snow to sleet, then maybe some freezing drizzle look to me rather than a real ice storm, even with Euro spitting out a half inch of freezing rain at KALB. Maybe for areas further south and east. Either way, its probably (and hopefully) moving way too quickly to be too disruptive. No offense to our fine friends to our west, but if it were more of a pure ice storm, I'd just root for it to go 200 miles to our NW, so we'd flip to rain and dryslot. This should be a great synoptic week for WNY! Hopefully we can get something again before the end of winter. Even with big storms the past couple seasons, we've had plenty of below average winters lately overall.

It is booking, that's for sure. 9" here, maybe a hair over, but I was about 10 miles W of Alb for this one. How did you do out your way?

Euro close to something big for ENY. Maybe even CNY if we can get it to run over the Cape instead of scooting E-NE off Jersey.

S+ under this band, with occasional blowing and drifting. It doesn't look to be slowing down either, so some you guys further to my west should get into it eventually.

Moderate to occasionally heavy snow out here in ENY. Hearing awesome reports out of that band further to my south in the HV. Similar to what I experienced in December.

Some of that could be mixed precip too. Allentown is reporting heavy snow, but other places near Philly are reporting freezing rain and the dreaded "unknown precip". I hope they do well, they're well overdue.

We'll have a pretty tough time beating December out this way, due to that one biggie. Cloudy skies here after morning light snows. I'm doubtful of heavier totals here for this one due to a combination of strong east winds and subsidence with better banding to the south. We'll see if some of those heavier bands downstate hold together or dry up as it gets thrown up this way later this evening. So there's a lot working against us for any decent totals, We'll see what happens later. My old stomping grounds in western CT over towards northern NJ should get slammed however.

Not terribly atypical for that model. It can be good at sniffing out ideas, but it can have some wild swings at this juncture. I'd have to go back and check, but at one point in the mid-December storm it had me go from 30" to 0" or vice-versa in one run. I think it eventually had the better idea closer to start time.

I would respectfully disagree. No disrespect to her, or how the pharmacy college downtown handled their business back then, but 5" certainly doesn't cripple the city. Its nowhere close to how a town on the Tug Hill experiences snow, but its not NYC, Philly, or DC either. I was in Albany for college in the late 90's - early 2000's, and coming from New England, I was amazed at how little changed with a decent snowfall here. I guess it depends on perspective. Schools might be a little more close-happy today than when I first came to the region, but that seems to be happening most places for whatever reason. Either way, great storm with over 2'. It beat the 24" I had here last December, but that one took almost 2 days to dump. I'm mostly dug out now, and thankfully not crippled

Nice! You're going to beat me by a few getting under that band a little longer. No complaints here though with what will end up being 2'+

Missed a measurement overnight, but a solid 2 feet easily most likely. Still S+, but radar shows that it looks to be winding down soon.

While not as impressive as down in BGM, some of the bands rotating through further to the NE do seem to be taking shape as Ericjcrash mentioned...

LOL, I might need a few hours sleep. Today is a work from home day, so I can't even call in due to the weather.

If you go way back to the Blizzard of 1888, parts of ENY in the Albany-Saratoga Springs corridor had 40-50"

Back to SN+ with radar returns blossoming overhead.

That band is in no real hurry, and will probably just sit and rot. Start taping those rulers together

Its lightened up considerably. Hoping that band to the west can rotate through again.

It looks like that band has been sitting over the area for some time now. I can't imagine trying to drive those hills east, west and north of town tonight.

Definitely. I'll enjoy it while I can tonight. At some point this winter our lake effect friends here will sprint past us while I'm stuck with gray skies/flurries and obsessing over 300 hour GFS runs.

I'm in Guilderland right now, W-NW of ALB. Snow growth isn't as good as it was an hour ago, but its not quite poor or needle-like. Edit: As I typed this, its now pouring snow outside.