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pondo1000

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    Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    8 hours ago, OHweather said:

    I'm very happy to be back where I'm from at a job I always wanted...still busy getting settled in and briefly living at home to save a bit of money and take my time finding an apartment, which let's just say is an adjustment after being able to do whatever I wanted whenever I wanted for 5 years living on my own. But that stuff will work itself out, very happy overall to be back. Not to hate on NJ but it wasn't home and NW NJ isn't all that exciting (aside from surprisingly hilly and wooded terrain to do outdoor activities in). 

    Cool. Well welcome back to Ohio and good luck with the apartment hunting!! I lived at home for a while after graduating college & saved a ton of money. Definitely an adjustment though after being on my own for 4 years. 

    Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    30 minutes ago, OHweather said:

    The be frank, the pattern through the next 10 days or so looks like horseshit for snow potential here in the Midwest, outside of LES belts now and later this weekend into early next week. Pacific puke floods the whole country after the Arctic blast early next week. But, the ensembles are in pretty remarkable agreement for so far out in retrograding the ridging after mid-month as the Pacific jet backs off a bit, putting it just off the West Coast and building it towards AK. Also signs of a somewhat more active sub-tropical jet too. With a neutral to even positive NAO and ridge just off the West Coast, it would turn more active in the Midwest somewhere between January 17th and 25th (with some LES possible slightly before it turns more favorable for larger system snows). The GEFS could be colder and maybe give places along and south of the Ohio River a better shot at snow, the Euro may be more of a mid-Mississippi Valley to Great Lakes deal for where it'd be snowiest. Anyways, let's see if this look can move up in time on the ensembles over the next several days. 

    EPS:

    806644750_14-kmEPSGlobalNorthAmerica500hPaHeightAnom.gif.9c2ccdede7562cc3371b248ed1f5447f.gif

     

    GFS ensemble: 

    929129128_GEFSEnsemblesNorthAmerica500hPaHeightAnom.gif.ddc40305efccd3c2577c03f810d13ecf.gif

    Thx man! Always appreciate your insight. Like being back in Ohio or do you miss Joy-zee? 

    “Let’s Talk Winter”

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, LakeEffectOH said:

    Warm tongue of death (WTOD): eastward moving warm air hits the west Appalachians and is forced northward.  Especially bad in the eastern 2/3s of OH.  Storm doesn't necessarily have to be a Cutter to do this...

    It’s why every winter I yearn for a good clipper pattern. We haven’t had that type of pattern for years, but it really is the only way to get snow around here. Small amounts, yes typically, but I’d take a clipper every 3 days or so to lay down some snow. Plus, there’s always a chance one or two over perform which can be a nice surprise.  

    • Thanks 1

    “Let’s Talk Winter”

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, buckeye said:

    I hate to say it but the gfs seems to make more sense to me.   That first storm in front of it moving through the upper lakes delivers the cold, but the spacing might not be enough to allow the follow up energy to amp much.... IOW, washed-out turd.     This may not even be a matter of the gfs and euro meeting halfway, probably one is going to score the coupe.   Gfs scored the coupe on the MA storm, so there's that too unfortunately.   

     

    Every party has a pooper….

    LOL!!!

    Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    51 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

    Looks like the Indiana and Ohio peeps will get in on the action with next Thursday's storm system.  New Euro blasts Ohio with a warning criteria event.

    EDIT:  Nevermind, forgot Ohio has it's own special segregated thread where this is already being discussed.  Guess no need to talk about it here.

    Make your own thread then. EVERY system is a thread the needle system for us here in central Ohio. We are reminded over and over by your kind that our climatology sucks for snow. God forbid we have a little excitement for a rare maybe couple of inches of snow. 

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    “Let’s Talk Winter”

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, jbcmh81 said:

    December '84 was very similar.  Aside from a fluke storm at the beginning of the month, it was very warm and snowless.  After the New Year, it got cold and it was wall to wall winter for the next 7 weeks.  

    Wow, that would be nice!

    2021-22 Winter Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    3 hours ago, StormfanaticInd said:

    Would really love snow for the holidays. It's been a while 

    We had a nice one last year, about 3 inches Christmas Eve into Christmas Day. Snow showers all day as well. Pretty nice. That pretty much guarantees us here in central Ohio see no snow for Christmas over the next 20 or so years! LOL

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