pondo1000

Just now, jbcmh81 said:

At this point, no one should bother until it starts snowing.  

Hah, so true!

9 minutes ago, buckeye said:

I'm not throwing the white flag til morning on this one.   I think the bigger bust threat on Thursday is weak/sheared vs. another sleeter

Hmmm, that scenario sounds familiar! LOL

2 minutes ago, buckeye said:

Whose first up to kick when Lucy tees it up Thursday?

Writing is on the wall I guess huh? Only hope would be this storm crushes heights ahead so it won’t go as far west?

Just now, OhioWX said:

I'll tell you what, the sleet accumulation (probably a little snow mixing in) has been quite impressive.

Right?!

So if that high pressure would have been more due north of us vs. northwest/west, would that have helped us? Trying to figure out why a storm that looked to have had a perfect track/set up could’ve wound up w/ so much taint versus straight up snow.

4 minutes ago, dilly84 said:

Back to trash here. Doubting Thursday storm too. Same outcome I'd guess.

Hard to bet against that.

Just now, OhioWX said:

As disappointed as I am about the snow, the sleet has been very impressive I must admit.

Telln ya, 4 inches of sleet or bust!!! LOL

Thursday storm is ours!!! 

Just now, dilly84 said:

Hammering snow here right now. Hear a few pingers but it's definitely mostly snow.

Heluva sleet storm here. One for the ages!

5 minutes ago, dilly84 said:

22, windy, freezing rain in knox county. 

Unreal. Effin NAM was onto something!

4 inches of sleet or bust!!!! LOL

Just now, buckeye said:

moderate KS here in lewis center

What is KS? Sleet?

2 minutes ago, HighTechEE said:

Finally have gone over the moderate snow here on the SE side of Dayton, whitened up everything very quickly, so there is hope.  OHweather is right! 

One of the best! Great guy!

First flakes here

1 minute ago, dilly84 said:

Idk the accuracy of em but simulated radars keep the sleet/zr to the southeast. 

It’s gonna b super close. Time will tell. Hopefully we pound for a few hours at least of 1-2 inches per hour. Could b fun!

14 minutes ago, dilly84 said:

Has anyone else noticed ground temps? I'm 4° warmer than my forecasted high.

Yikes. I haven’t really paid attention to ground temps tbh.

1 minute ago, jaf316 said:

Even the euro now brings in the sleet for a couple hours this evening. Why do I do this to myself? 

Because we can’t help ourselves! LOL

3 minutes ago, buckeye said:

ALL TOGETHER NOW:   it's colder....it's warmer...it's north...it's south...it's colder...it's warmer...it's north...it's south....we're fcked...we're good...we're fcked...we're good....    

You guys gotta stop hanging on every meso run and panel.....storm's gonna do what storm's gonna do, especially when things are so close.   Just enjoy watching it unfold....

God I miss Farley!

5 minutes ago, buckeye said:

What do you guys use for a good radar site?   I can't stand the NWS update....wth were they thinking?

I use an app called MyRadar

9 minutes ago, jbcmh81 said:

I don't know if the low moved further NW, but it is showing the mixing line a bit further NW, so yeah.  Same result.  Still the warmest model.  Low through central WV looks most likely, with mix at or near 71.  It's going to be really close and will be the difference between 4"-6" totals and 8"-12" totals.  

Gotta ride the old, “If you want the heavy snow, you gotta smell the rain!”

I know it’s nowcasting time, but 12z NAM went further NW

12 minutes ago, jbcmh81 said:

Anyone want to change their calls?  First round underperformed I think, not that it was supposed to be much.  Most of the models now have the mixing line reaching 71.  As mentioned last night, I thought Columbus might bust too high because of that danger.  I had them at 8.5", but now thinking no more than maybe 7".  Still something to watch, but yeah, you can't beat climo too often in these situations.

Trends overnight not good

6 hours ago, buckeye said:

  yup, 25 years plus with some of us.

20+ for me. On here (started as Eastern I believe?) back when some of these guys were in diapers!

11 minutes ago, jaf316 said:

That's a purdy map

Sure is!

Just now, Chicago Storm said:

18z Euro didn't really shift much...But was drier/weaker.