hazwoper
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Everything posted by hazwoper
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well, one thing is sure, Paul was right with his prediction of the earlier change. I should have known better, we all know the warm noses aloft come in quicker then modeled. Still a lot of storm left.
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that sleet/mix
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Trying to switch back to snow here now
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It is, but off and on and much lighter.
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All sleet to the NW of you here
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mixing line is right at Ralphs doorstep and soon after mine.
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That mix line is rocketing NE and will definitely flip snow to sleet from Wilmington through PHL soon.
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wow, interesting. CC shows it as mix there. Actually WIL is right o0n the edge.
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Its most certainly sleet, thus the higher returns and the fact CC shows it pretty well. Remains to be seen where it will shift back to snow. Thinking just north of city for some time. The rates shown on radar will drop where it switches to snow.
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How do you have 6" with the sun cutting down on accumulations? I kid, I kid....
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CC shows the sleet line dropping south/holding steady
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It’s snowing in Hazleton
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HRRR continues to keep PHL snow through 1PM. It usually is late at detecting the warm layer aloft so let’s see what it does as we get closer.
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It’s more due to less qpf. Shift south in qpf overall
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Huh????
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Perhaps living on the edge, but Philly ends up better in the end. It’s a good run all things considered
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0Z NAM is warmer at first, but then crashes temps as rates increase. All snow at PHL through 1pm (changeover for a bit just over the river)
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Look forward to comeback to this tomorrow lol if rates let up early, sure, but I don’t know. Plus, everyone seems to be missing the point that I was speaking about an actual model output. Jeez
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Solar radiation always exists. It’s not about the sun angle at this point. If you have low rates in the middle of the day solar radiation will always do a number on snow accumulations in dark surfaces
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Winter Storm Warning posted
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It always says that...come on guy. Also, as I stated, there is no sleet from PHL north up to 18Z
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No it doesn't. From PHL on north it only turns to sleet from 18Z onward. The map he posted was total snow as of 18Z
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GFS look anemic
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12Z RGEM has only a 3 hour period of sleet tomorrow late afternoon then flips back to snow (this is for SEPA)
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0Z NAM further south and colder
