Baroclinic Zone
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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone
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No where close to 2011/12. 14.80" that season. Over 22" now.
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Step 3
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It's what the snow starved here are hanging onto.
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Define major. GFS/Euro are less then 1" for most.
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How those 850 progs looking now?
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MTD dropped below +7.0F finally.
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That's what it looks like for now. But my skepticism of the pattern actually flipping for us are low.
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Wut? Long range modeling showing pattern changes to a wintrier pattern have fallen flat every time they've shown up. It's the winter of modeling showing a pattern change perpetually in the 10-14 day range.
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How’s the long range worked over the last 6 weeks?
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Aren’t we on or around the date DIT said the pattern change was?
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Given antecedent airmass and tenor of the season over the last 6 weeks, this has felt like a C/NNE threat to me. This is not to say western and higher terrain of SNE can’t score some love but nothing noteworthy to me.
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Summer EF-3
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Would be a nice front end thumper if the antecedent was there.
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For hinterlands is a nice solution.
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Dryslot approved solution.
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It really is. Nice rounded ULL hits that confluence and gets squeezed
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It isn't. ULL rides west of us and we are flooded with warmth.
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high to the north is a bit further south so we get the squeeze play.
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I like the early ULL look.
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We'd be talking prolific totals for just about everyone if we had some semblance of an Arctic air mass. As it current;y stands, we are lying all the dynamics of the storm to draw in the cold air aloft down to the surface.
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I'll defer to the masses but given how strong a storm signal this upcoming one is, I'd be fine with a separate thread at this point, even though we are 4-5 days out.
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Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
Baroclinic Zone replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
Doesn't appear as though people will be able to pond skate around these parts this year. -
It's why we have/use Ensembles. With the increased resolutions, you need to have the different permutations to smooth out a mean.
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Few inches of rain? We'll see, but the Euro was only about 1" of rain.
