MANDA

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

There are no indications that this winter will be a shutout.

 

I'll go out on a limb and say CP will see twice the amount of snow it saw last season. 

Per friend in Trenton moderate snow showers ongoing.  Radar supports this.   Dirt is white and starting to stick on the grass. 

1.46" rain for the recent event.

Keep expectations in check and just know it has to be better than last year !  I am not expecting much from December based on current trends and guidance.

No notable wind here but a solid soaking.  Will measure shortly but eyeballing the gauge from a distance I'd say about 1.5".  To be confirmed shortly.

55 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Nam back to drencher for tomorrow night

 

Like I said yesterday....gonna be an interesting winter to forecast.  Guidance has been flip floppy for months on most major precip events around here. Sometimes even within 24 hours and that includes the EURO.

21 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Models all over the place for Sunday night. Cmc gives us 1 to 2"+. Euro <.25" west of city

Going to be a fun Winter. 

16 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Yeah, the model graphics off of the old Alden Difax machines were primitive compared to what we have today. Plus the accuracy of those old models was so low that it was the era of nowcasting many big events. I can remember all the paper jams in those old machines. But the April 1982 blizzard still stands as one of my favorite snowstorms of all time. Starting as rain and then changing to blizzard conditions with some of the most lightning I have ever seen with snow. To have early April heavy snow stick on the pavement in the afternoon with no trouble after rain with highs only in the 20s was like something out of the 1800s.

Waiting for the paper to dry before doing an analysis!  Hitting refresh every 30 seconds waiting for the FOUS to arrive. 

Checking for the latest PREXTD discussion (WSI) when something was pending and hoping that Weinbrenner or Ships wrote it. 

59 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

I vaguely yremember the April 82 Snowstorm.  What I remember most about it was filling in for George Cullen at CBS NY Weather.  I made an awful gaff for predicting a daytime temperature for the city of Chicago that Steve Deshler was not happy about.  However, I noticed the LFM picking up the snowstorm.  Irv Gikofsky laughed at my analysis.  

Remember that weather office well!  Small and rather cramped.  Was there (WCBS TV) late 83 to early 86.  Started on weekends working with Tom Chisholm and when Frank Field came over from NBC Irv was bumped to weekends and Tom was let go.  Tom was great.  George was a great and very funny guy.  Ran into him many times as I was leaving on Sunday nights and he was coming in.  Steve Baskerville was also quite humorous.   Also worked with John Coleman on occasion.  Nice guy but a bit of a loose cannon when it came to forecasting.  Tried to reel in in a few times but he wanted no part of it.  I was right every time but it went unspoken about.   Moving from the old office to the new one was a refreshing experience.  We got a WINDOW !  Many stories I could tell.

27 here.

Cold morning with frost.  Low of 32.  Nice weather but I'd rather watch oil based paint dry.  Boring pattern continues.

NJ October weather Summary:

https://www.njweather.org/content/tranquility-october-2023-recap

Seems like November continues the trend of October.   Zzzzzzzz for at least the next week to 10 days.  Nothing resembling a good cold shot in our immediate future that's for sure.

18 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Zzzzz this month

You aren't kidding.  At least for the next 7-10 days a real snooze fest.  Boring.

Low this morning was 24.8.  Heavy frost and killing freeze.

Overnight low of 36 here.

Rainfall for October at my location was a rather scant 2.12".

Wet year to date at 49.80".

Low of 37 here.

Received .58" rainfall last two days.  Kind of needed it to moisten the soil, been on the dry side last two weeks.  Enjoying the cooler weather after the warm days. 

Late week warmth is coming but still nice to see this.

Snooze fest right now.  Temperatures are pleasant with chilly nights but overall the pattern at least for now is boring.

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

The Northeast is on track for another warmer October. Some parts of Maine are close to +10. Next few weeks look like more of the same.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Been a common theme for a while.  Above normal around here with the warmest departures to our north...and is some cases a lot warmer relative to averages to our north over Maine and southeast Canada.

11 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Nam vs rgem

Prozac in an IV drip for winter !

List of stations in the NJ Weather Network (Rutgers) that dipped into the30's this morning.

First 32 of the season I believe.

2 hours ago, Volcanic Winter said:

First 30’s of the season! Hit 38 this morning. 

Same here had a low of 39 degrees. 

58 minutes ago, bluewave said:

NYC is on track for another 50”+ year with numerous sites around the area already over 50”. 
 

Data for January 1, 2023 through October 6, 2023
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

State	Name	Station Type	Total Precipitation
CT	SEYMOUR 1.2 WSW	CoCoRaHS	57.56
NY	WEST POINT	COOP	56.70
CT	ANSONIA 1 NE	COOP	53.38
CT	PROSPECT 1.9 ENE	CoCoRaHS	53.11
NY	PEEKSKILL 0.4 N	CoCoRaHS	52.92
NY	STONY POINT 0.7 NW	CoCoRaHS	52.56
CT	NORWICH 2.5 NNE	CoCoRaHS	52.48
NY	THORNWOOD 0.7 NW	CoCoRaHS	51.99
CT	NORTHFORD 0.8 SW	CoCoRaHS	51.99
CT	EAST LYME 0.5 SW	CoCoRaHS	51.82
CT	WATERBURY 1.3 WNW	CoCoRaHS	51.72
NY	NEW HEMPSTEAD 0.6 SE	CoCoRaHS	51.51
CT	BROOKFIELD 3.3 SSE	CoCoRaHS	50.76
CT	GRISWOLD 0.9 N	CoCoRaHS	50.61
NY	SHRUB OAK	COOP	50.59
NY	BEACON 4.2 ESE	CoCoRaHS	50.37
CT	MIDDLEFIELD 0.6 SE	CoCoRaHS	50.14
CT	PROSPECT 0.5 SW	CoCoRaHS	50.00
CT	NAUGATUCK 1.7 NNE	CoCoRaHS	49.50
NY	CARMEL 4N	COOP	49.46
CT	MERIDEN 2.8 WSW	CoCoRaHS	49.39
NY	SOUTH SALEM 2.1 NW	CoCoRaHS	49.26
CT	BETHANY 1.3 SW	CoCoRaHS	49.26
NY	PORT JERVIS 2.9 ESE	CoCoRaHS	49.22
NY	SOUTH SALEM 0.8 N	CoCoRaHS	49.10
CT	COLCHESTER 0.6 ENE	CoCoRaHS	48.99
CT	NEWTOWN 4.6 SE	CoCoRaHS	48.98
CT	HIGGANUM 0.8 NE	CoCoRaHS	48.68
CT	DURHAM 1.2 W	CoCoRaHS	48.64
CT	WALLINGFORD CENTER 1.9 WNW	CoCoRaHS	48.62
CT	RIDGEFIELD 2.4 NNE	CoCoRaHS	48.35
CT	NEW CANAAN 1.9 ENE	CoCoRaHS	48.17
NY	BROOKLYN 3.1 NW	CoCoRaHS	48.10
NY	ELMSFORD 0.8 SSW	CoCoRaHS	48.09
NY	ARMONK 0.3 SE	CoCoRaHS	48.05
CT	OAKDALE 2.6 WNW	CoCoRaHS	47.88
NJ	RINGWOOD 3.0 SSE	CoCoRaHS	47.73
CT	HIGGANUM 0.7 N	CoCoRaHS	47.50
NY	PINE BUSH 3.4 WSW	CoCoRaHS	47.34
NJ	WAYNE TWP 2.3 ESE	CoCoRaHS	47.31
CT	SOUTHBURY 2.3 W	CoCoRaHS	47.25
NY	LITTLE NECK 0.3 SE	CoCoRaHS	47.15
CT	JEWETT CITY 3.0 ESE	CoCoRaHS	47.10
CT	WALLINGFORD CENTER 3.3 NNW	CoCoRaHS	46.92
CT	SHELTON 1.3 W	CoCoRaHS	46.62
CT	NORWALK 1.4 ENE	CoCoRaHS	46.48
CT	OLD LYME 3.4 ESE	CoCoRaHS	46.42
CT	BETHEL 0.5 E	CoCoRaHS	46.33
CT	RIDGEFIELD 3.6 N	CoCoRaHS	46.13
NJ	GLEN ROCK 0.7 SSE	CoCoRaHS	46.12
NY	LAGUARDIA AIRPORT	WBAN	46.00
CT	OXFORD WATERBURY	WBAN	45.98
CT	MONROE 0.8 W	CoCoRaHS	45.98
CT	NEW CANAAN 3.8 N	CoCoRaHS	45.97
CT	NORWALK 2.9 NNW	CoCoRaHS	45.90
CT	SALEM 3.6 SE	CoCoRaHS	45.78
NY	NY CITY CENTRAL PARK	WBAN	45.73

47.68" here as of 9-30-23.

Signs of the coming season. 

Wintry in Barrow today and currently 0F in Eureka, Nunavut, Canada.