MANDA

17 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Sad last 3 months. Let’s get it out of here. 

Well, to be fair I am just shy of 30" for the season so I'm not going to call it entirely bad.  However about 40% of that total was 1-2" events so I'm not going to call it stellar by any means.  I found the winter to be more annoying than anything with useless cold, wasted opportunities, high heating bills and tons of unnecessary salt on the roads.  I agree,  I am ready to kick it to the curb.  Don't need 80 but 60's -> low 70's are more than welcome.

31 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

Just had a snow shower. Lasted 3 minutes. 

Same here, was brief but there was snow in the air. 

That is twice this month we had a trace of snow.  Monthly total = Trace.     Sad.

https://www.youtube.com/@WEATHERLEGENDS-METRONYCREGION

Great link.  I think they will be doing a video once a week.

Was a Weather Watcher for Bill back in the day when I was a young teenager in Bergen County, NJ.  What a great guy and taught me so much.

Still love his low key, measured and no hype style.  Just a great guy and not full of himself.  Was very welcoming and supportive. 

Funny story is I went boating and flying with him and got seasick (heaving over the side of the boat) and airsick (just queasy).  Flew from KTEB to KSWF for lunch (ginger ale for me).  Thankfully the trip back was less bumpy although I still could not look out the window without getting a little green.

I hope when the weather gets interesting again they will do some videos about any potential upcoming bigger events.

Did better today on rainfall than I was expecting.  Picked up .21" between 8am and 4pm with periods of light rain.  Event total = .25".

Was cold and raw with temperatures hovering near 40 all day until about 5:30 with temperatures popped into the mid and upper 40's briefly as the sun poked through the clouds.

Interesting solutions for temperatures this upcoming weekend.  Leaning towards the cooler solutions for CNJ on north and east.

9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Areas just to the NW of the city getting skunked on the rain-ending up a bit further SE that modeled last evening

Yeah, for sure.  Only .04" here as of 8am.  Not expecting more than .10" for the rest of the day.

25 minutes ago, Picard said:

It's damn lucky the outcome wasn't worse.  That bus is destroyed.
This wind is becoming tiresome.  I don't recall seeing any wind advisories posted.

Beyond tiresome and very annoying.  So freaking windy last few months.

Stunner of a day today.  Was fine with shorts and a t-shirt.

Disappointing to see guidance backing off on the rainfall totals.  Seems like the norm lately.

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Very sad times

Today is the last day of winter

Cheer up Anthony.  Look at it this way.  We are half way to the longest daylight of the year.  In about 90 days we start the crawl back to Winter.

We'll see what Winter 2025-26 brings.  Time marches on.  Better snow times ahead....gotta believe. 

Event total here = 1.00".

Just now, Tatamy said:

Strong winds out here this afternoon.  I am seeing gusts of 35-40 mph.

Same here.  Very gusty out there.  Humid feel as well.

25 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Heaviest rains have been finding a way to favor closer to coast since last summer but all areas have been very dry.
 

 

Thanks.  Yet according to some nothing to see here.  It has been dry and we need to start turning this around or we will be running into assorted  dryness  issues within 2 months.  Going into the Spring and Summer 9+" down is not a good thing.  Not an issue right now but it will be if this does not start reversing.

1 hour ago, steve392 said:

4 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

so sorry to hear that, what kind of surgery if you don't mind me asking?

Gastric bypass.  Worst thing I've ever been through. Only had it because of how bad of a hiatal hernia I had.  Was only way to fix it. 

Sounds like a rough go.  I hope you are doing better now.

Currently 66 - amazing day!

37 minutes ago, ag3 said:

Up to 65 here!

Glorious day!

Up to 63 here.  Really nice out.  The wind of the last few days is gone and the sun is warm.

Not sure why anyone would be looking for cold and snow at this point.  Let's move on.

Of course I would never be opposed to having an April 82 type event.  Anything less forget it. 

February 2025 and Winter 2024-2025 summaries for NJ:

https://www.njweather.org/content/nuisances-not-blockbusters-february-2025-winter-20242025-recaps

10 minutes ago, Sundog said:

I have to say this is a very good post and exactly reflects my thoughts that I have been sharing to others. 

The message isn't usually received positively lol

I think the snow seasons over the next 10-15 years will be telling in terms of where we are truly headed or if this current period is just a temporary downturn.  I suspect through that we are slowly and steadily trending downward.  At some point it should hopefully revert to something better but I would not want to guess when that might happen.

1 hour ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Any way to do both?

I know you obviously understand the difference, but I'm not sure everyone gets the difference between a six inch calendar day and the time period between six inch events, overlapping midnight. The same for four inch events. 

That would be great if Don can do it.

52 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

I thought the question concerned consecutive days without 6" or more snow. Obviously, the intervals between 6"+ storms is shorter

Don.  Yes that was my original question.  You are correct.

Do you have the ability to make a chart for intervals?  Both for 4" and 6"?

14 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Don how is 1917-18 on this list, wasn't that an exceptionally cold and snowy winter?

I see how three prior periods of my life are on this list though:

 

1983-1986

1987-1990

1996-2000

 

Without a couple of storms, 1983-1990 could have been number 1 lol.

 

That chart is interesting in many ways.

Not the least of which was #8 was broken by the Blizzard of 1888.

Lots of great stats inside that list.

Found it really interesting.

28 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

NYC is still far from its record:

Thanks very much.  We'll see how this plays out as we move through next Winter.  We will make it to #4 for sure by the end of this coming November so #3 could be in play without too much trouble.

The #1 position is interesting, would not have guessed that.

15 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

It will be cooler tomorrow through the weekend. However, it will turn noticeably milder early next week. Parts of the region could experience their warmest temperatures so far this spring. The unseasonably mild weather could then continue through the remainder of next week.

The risk of a moderate (4" or more) or larger snowfall in the New York City area remains low through at least the first half of March. The March 10-17 period could feature a bout of much above normal temperatures.

The strong PNA ridge that predominated for most of the second half of February has now broken down. However, the peak magnitude of that previous PNA ridge suggests that the New York City area likely won't experience any major snowfalls for the remainder of the 2024-2025 snow season. The historic experience hints that the rising warmth of spring becomes too great to overcome by the time an otherwise favorable pattern for such snowfalls develops.  

The PNA reached +1.500 on February 19th and remained at or above +1.500 through February 23rd and at or above +1.000 through February 28th. In all 12 years that saw the PNA reach +1.500 or above on February 15 or later since 1950, the remainder of winter saw no 10" or greater snowstorms. If historic experience holds true yet again, that would make the 2024-2025 snow season the fourth consecutive snow season without a 10" or above snowstorm in New York City. The last time that happened was during 2016-2017 through 2019-2020. Most of the 12 cases cited above went on to see some additional measurable snowfall with a few seeing a 6"+ storm.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around February 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.35°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.52°C. La Niña conditions will likely give way to neutral ENSO conditions during early spring.

The SOI was +1.15 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.700 today.

 

Don-

Where is CP in terms of 6" snowfalls?  I know they are working on a longest streak without 4" which will most likely be broken in late November this year I think?  What about longest streak without 6"?  Where do they stand on that one?

Thanks in advance.

11 minutes ago, Picard said:

Where everything is planted is in direct sunlight all day this time of year.  It only ever takes about three sunny days in the 40s come late February and there they are.  I had shoots in late January two years ago during a mild stretch.  They actually made it all the way through to bloom.

Same here.  South side of house, full sun and all bulbs have broken through the mulch.  Everything else in shadier parts of the yard = nothing.

Grass is still very much dormant.

Received 1.35" rainfall.  Much needed and so glad to get rid of all the disgusting road salt.  A car wash is in the cards this weekend.

Ready for Spring.

February precipitation = 3.14".  February snowfall = 5.70", spread out over 7 events.

Not sure any of that was worth buckling up for.

Pretty sad if you ask me.

44 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

it's crazy how all the precip finds a way to miss

For the most part the trend since the late fall has been to show wet events only for it to gradually back off as the events near.  We'll see what happens with the event mid next week.  Right now looks wet, 1" plus but we'll see how it progresses as we get closer.  Pattern has been overall lacking in precipitation for months now.  Drought Monitor issued today showed no change over the last week with still widespread dry to moderate or severe drought Mid-Atlantic and New England.  Not a big deal now but two months from now if the dryness has not eased drought conditions will ramp up quickly once into May.  We need March and April to deliver with above normal rainfall over a pretty large area.