MANDA

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

 

Just gotta get that upper low to dig baby dig into Virginia and belly under and capture the surface low before it can escape so we get the whole shebang.

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

I'm excited

 

I'm interested.

12 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

EPS with a 6-8” mean for NYC

That is a good looking EPS mean this far out.  Gotta keep these trends in tact next several days.  Or at least something close.

X has been smoldering for last few days.  Expecting it will go to four alarms later this morning.  
 

Finally something of substance to track.  Would like to see these trends continue over the weekend.  Looks promising but final outcome TBD.  I love the look from 00z modeling.   No denying it has potential.  Hopefully we have this look from 12Z Sunday runs as we move into the mid range period.

Would love to see a good cold, windy and widespread 12”+ event forum wide!

11 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:

I think every snow event I have had this season has been at night. Anyone else notice that ?


.

Pretty much! 

Most of them have started after dark and ended before or just after sunrise.  There were 1 or 2 exceptions, I think.

Per weather buddy in Mt. Laurel, NJ  2.9” so far.  

6 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

Wish I knew how to compress images. Dad sent a pic, he lives northwest of Lexington, VA and had 10” at 5:00; he’s over a foot now. 

He has bested my largest storm total this season by 100%!

4 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

For reference, clusters for New York City's 6" or greater snowstorms during the second half of February since 1950:

With shortening wave lengths, it is perhaps not surprising that the biggest storms have featured a deep trough extending from just off Pacific Northwest into the Gulf of Alaska.

Great stuff.  Thanks.

9 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said:

like I can't look at this and not get a little excited. it has every synoptic feature you're looking for

Get this to within 84-96 hours and I will be giddy!

Some great video of the snow in NYC last night.

https://x.com/i/status/1888449741647904796

Some great video of the snow in NYC last night:

https://x.com/i/status/1888449741647904796

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Can't wait to hear what the Central Park total is

They should be measuring right now because will be sleeting very soon.  If they wait until 1 a.m. forget about an accurate reading.

Streets in Times Square now covered. 

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/newyork/timessquare/?cam=tsrobo1

https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-states/new-york/new-york/new-york-manhattan.html

Just came in from measuring and was literally outside for the change to sleet.  Now 90% IP falling, light to moderate.

Temp 23.8

2" exactly.

Expecting periods of sleet and / or freezing rain next couple of hours then it essentially should be done.

Was thinking change to sleet 2 to maybe 3 hours after start time.  Started a little after 7:30 and based on radar looks to lighten up and mix between 9:30 - 10:00 latest.

Going to take a measurement now.

Snowy scene in Times Square.

Streets mostly wet but everything else covered. 

https://www.earthcam.com/cams/newyork/timessquare/?cam=tsrobo1

Temp 23.2.  Moderate snow.  Just measured .6”. 

Light to moderate snow.  Small flakes coating on everything.  Temp has fallen to 24.6 with heavier snowfall.

Light snow started here about 7:35.  Some pingers mixed in but mostly light snow / small flakes.

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah places in lehigh valley are starting as sleet and flipping to snow. Hopefully we can squeeze out an hour or two

Not sure it will be much more than that.  I doubt it.

7:30 start time looking on target for my location.

Temp up a bit to 27.9 from 27.0 about 90 min ago.

Walt, keep us posted on ptype your location.  Not particularly happy that you are reporting IP.

2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Either the Euro or NAM will end up correct, both show no precip here til 01Z but the Euro goes insane from about 0130-0330Z with like 2-3 inches of snow in that period.  The NAM has little in here til 02Z or so and its sleet right away

We’ll know soon enough who the winner is.  Interesting stuff.

Currently 27 here.

Sticking with my forecast of 2-4” (snow / sleet total) here.  

Very fast moving and fully expecting sleet here within 2-3 hours tops of start time. Heaviest and steadiest precipitation should be pulling away around 3 a.m.

Per radar start time here about 7:30.

Final call for my location 2-4.  The 4 would be a gift.  I think 2 to 3 will be closer to reality.