MANDA

Just one 90 degree max reported from NJWXNET.

Lots of 87-89 maxes.

9 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

I’ll just take whatever today is for the majority of the next 3 months; that is assuming I had any power to control chaotic weather patterns at all, but I digress. 

Wearing pants and a long sleeve light shirt under partly cloudy skies and a light breeze as I continue to install my new garden. Perfect install weather considering it’s June 1. 

62/38 at the moment. 

I agree.  Nice for just about anything outdoors except for beaching it.  Still warm when the sun pokes out.  

I know some are hating this but for me it is pleasant out and great day for working outdoors in the yard.

With the rain and cool of last 2 weeks my garden is lagging behind.

Smoke lifting north as trof / upper level low lifts out.

Elevated and diluted smoke reaching into SNJ this morning.

43 degrees this morning to open June.  Great sleeping weather with the windows open and the breeze blowing.  About to come to an end.  Not expecting an overnight low of 43 again until the Fall.

Overnight low of 43 degrees.  Windows were open, breeze blowing.  Great sleeping weather for the opening of June.  Won't last much longer.

Had an additional .19" of rain last 24 hours. Event total was 3.05".  

11 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Cooler than normal temperatures will prevail from tomorrow through early next week. Tomorrow morning will be particularly cool with readings falling into the 40s outside of New York City and lower 50s in New York City.

Above normal temperatures will likely develop near the middle of next week. The temperature could reach the hottest levels so far this year on Thursday.

June looks to be warmer than normal on the CFSv2. However, just as had been the case for May, the AI guidance is notably cooler than the conventional models.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.2°C for the week centered around May 21. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer.

The SOI was +0.94 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.381 today.

 

Windows open and blankets up tonight !

25 minutes ago, wxallannj said:

And how many in May 90+

1974	2
1975	2
1976	0
1977	0
1978	1
1979	2
1980	2
1981	1
1982	0
1983	0
1984	0
1985	0
1986	3
1987	3
1988	2
1989	0
1990	0
1991	5
1992	0
1993	0
1994	0
1995	0
1996	3
1997	0
1998	0
1999	1
2000	3
2001	3
2002	0
2003	0
2004	1
2005	0
2006	1
2007	2
2008	0
2009	0
2010	3
2011	0
2012	2
2013	3
2014	0
2015	1
2016	4
2017	3
2018	5
2019	0
2020	0
2021	0
2022	3
2023	0
2024	0
2025	0

Nice period of record you got there - 51 years !  Nice!

Most people don't stay put that long.  

Still nasty smoke plume rotating southeast out of Canada.  For the most part it is rotating under us today around base of trof / upper level low.

As that lifts out we will likely see some affects from it tomorrow and Monday but bulk of it will be directed south and then east so mainly to our south.

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/TextProduct?product=pnsphi

Latest rainfall numbers from PNS out of PHI.

Most guidance and WPC were all over the location of potentially max rainfall for the last 2 days and it worked out well.

Received 2.86" here mid-night to 8am.  Still raining light to moderate as of 10am.  Had a few low rumbles of thunder around 3am.  Didn't see any lightning.

Came down in torrents at times overnight.  Winds became gusty 35-40 mph for a time just before and around daybreak.  Just breezy now.

33 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The location of the upper low holds the key to our first 90°. If it gets out of the way like the 12z run today, then we’ll have our first 90° next week at the usual warm spots. More of a 0z solution then we’ll top out in the 80s. This is a pretty big jump in just one run. But models usually struggle with closed low solutions. 

12z

 

0z

 

 

Have to believe that 12Z type solution is going to set up sooner rather than later.  Hard lean from me on first 90 at usual warm spots mid to late next week.  Pattern is going to flip and hold very soon.

7 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Humid and 79 here.  Storms building to my Wnw.  Getting dark that way. 

yeah, distinct mugginess to the air for first time in a long time.

Off topic for this sub forum but that is some nasty smoke over the northern plains.  Thankfully the prevailing flow will keep it away from the Northeast at least for now.

1 hour ago, ForestHillWx said:

The positives are low utility costs. I’ll enjoy it as long as possible. 

Yeah, especially with 20% electric rate increases kicking in starting Sunday for all utility companies serving NJ.  

Also got a letter last week from home Insurance company (Chubb) that they have applied for a 12% increase.  They were not shy in stating why.  In a nutshell if approved I'll be paying 12% more for California fires, Florida hurricanes and any other weather calamity they want to throw in there.

4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Probably our last 40s for lows until mid-late September coming up. Models transition into full summer mode after this weekend 

Yeah, thinking last night was the last time until Fall that I'll be sleeping with the windows open and the blankets up.  Not saying 90+ but warm enough to not make it pleasant to sleep with windows open.  Bit humid out there this morning.

17 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

NAM is very wet

Latest Excessive Rainfall Outlook 12Z Fri. - 12Z Sat.

Slight Risk perhaps suggesting max rainfall centered a little further west of latest NAM totals.  Or maybe just Flash Flood Guidance is indicating lower tolerance for heavier rains / some flooding further west.

1 hour ago, winterwx21 said:

Another good soaking with 0.66" here. I haven't had to water the vegetable garden much lately. 

Had .39" here and same, not much watering needed lately.  Needs to dry out a bit or fungus is going to start in the garden.  Already have some red thread going on in the lawn.  The rain is welcome, I'm not complaining but just need it to dry out and get sunny for a few days in between the events.  Can't have everything so I'll take the rain and shut up.

30 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Euro still likes the big noreaster idea for our area

WPC has beefed up totals covering the next 7 days. 

No rain showers here yesterday.  A bit cloudy at times and coolish when the wind blew but not bad.  Sunnier, warmer and less breezy today.

Remembering all those who gave their life for our country this Memorial Day. 

My great uncle Rudolph DeCanio, CPL U.S. Marines, 19yo.  WWII, killed in action on Iwo Jima.

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Very comfortable temperature pattern for this time of year continuing right into early June over the next 10 days. Very familiar over the top warmth into Canada. So the first 90° of the season is running late.

 

Honestly these cool overnights could continue through Labor Day and I'd be happy.  Perfect sleeping weather.  Windows open with a blanket or two.  Just perfect. No a/c needed.

51 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Nothing like a long rain delay at Citi Field yesterday, clears up then monsoons again.  Absolutely drenched during the game.  Was amazed how many fans stayed till the 8th when it started pouring again. The cold temps didn't help either.  

 

Gorgeous day now with clouds finally clearing and blue skies prevailing.  

Can someone share that cocorahs link for rainfall totlas?  I need to save link at work.

https://www.cocorahs.org/

7 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Those are some impressive looking storms coming toward NYC 

There was briefly heavy rain with pretty gusty winds as they raced through here.

Very few breaks of sun here this afternoon.  Had several rounds of brief but heavy showers. 

Improving weather for the 3 day holiday weekend.

Event totals.

SNE clear winner.  Some spot 5"+ amounts south of BOS to MVY.  Max I see is just over 7" SSE of BOS.

Click to zoom