MANDA

Latest WPC QPF outlook is pretty robust next 72 hours over NW/W NJ and EPA with 2" to locally 3"+, especially over EPA.  PWAT will be approaching 2" or slightly higher with rather slow moving CF pushing into that juicy air mass.  As of this morning issuance SPC had SLT risk of severe over western sections of this forum.

Could use a little rainfall to refresh the top soil.  Not is dire need by any means.

Clear, crisp and cool morning.  Hint of September in the air.  Morning low here was 56 degrees.  Really nice for the closing days of July.  Just quick shower last evening.  Gusty wind for a few minutes but only .06" rainfall.

Looks like a dry week with pleasant temperatures and humidity coming up!

Interesting.  I believe "corn sweat" was a big player raising DP's in the 1995 heat wave that killed 700+ in Chicago.

Partly sunny here at best and 86 currently.  Still nasty humid though.

Heat index readings running 100-108 along and southeast of the I95 corridor.

Not even sure we'll hit 90 today in my area (NW corner) of NJ.  Lots of clouds and satellite says breaks of sun at best next few hours at least.

Not a bad look for the closing days of July.

6 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It was 129 at one point briefly at ewr. 99 with an 84 dewpoint

WOW, 99/84.  No wonder I remember it being bad.  Now that is a heat index!

4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It was 127 at one point briefly at ewr

Wow, had no idea it reached those levels locally!  Just remember it was some of the worst, if not the worst heat/humidity I have ever experienced.

Anyone remember or know what the heat indexes were around here during the great heat burst during the summer of 1995?  This was the year 700+ people died in Chicago as HI rose to near 130 and in some cases even higher for several days.  DP's reached the m/u 80's with ambient temps of near or over 100.  To my memory that is the worst heat I have ever felt here in NJ.  I remember it was over a weekend around here and the air was beyond stifling.  Not a puff of air.  I don't think I can ever remember it feeling so uncomfortable.  Have no recollection of what the heat index readings were around here but my guess would be 108-112?  I'm fairly certain temperatures were in the upper 90's to just over 100.  Anyone else remember? 

No big deal here.  Few rumbles of thunder and no lightning or wind to speak of.

Picked up about .20" over a 30-40 min. period.  Dud for my location.

No way is that line not hitting Staten Island, the 5 boroughs and into western Nassau.

ALL of eastern Hunterdon County getting creamed and about to move into Somerset and they are severe warned on that pseudo bow echo.

5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Northern third of NJ going to get slammed first and hopefully everyone later

Radar looking nasty over NEPA and soon to be crossing the Delaware into NNJ.  Going to rock and roll for some locations.  You can tell the atmosphere is beyond ripe just by the way the radar as blossomed over last 60-90 min.

.52" rainfall here from a pretty run of the mill T-Shower.  No wind of any consequence.

Nice improvement to Drought Monitor over the last month....EVEN FOR L.I.

21 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

This should effectively move up the entire timing for everyone.  Probably done in the city by 2 and most activity after that to the east 

Totally agree.  I knew it was over for my area when storms started popping to my south and east.

1 hour ago, lee59 said:

Yea that would be good for the wind readings. The problem is, if you are not one willing to go up that high, (and it is dangerous) if something has to be replaced. Davis is a good instrument. I have both the Vantage Pro 2 and Vantage Vue.

I know that is why I have been kind of dragging my feet on the project.  I'm not capable of going up that high and I can't find anyone to do it for me.  I really want to locate the wind equipment in the best spot and that roof peak with a mast would be ideal.  Add to that I'm not technical enough to get the system connected and up and running.  Looking for help !

1 hour ago, uofmiami said:

You can do the tripod mount on the roof with transmitter, so the anemometer is 6' off the roof line, though some don't like drilling into their roof.  Regardless, just make sure you have it grounded by an electrician so insurance doesn't deny any claim should something happen from lightning.  May want to ask a contractor or roofer if they can install pole with equipment attached.

Here are pictures of the anemometers on my two stations installed on the roof.

Muttontown:

Syosset:

Nice setup!  Did you install those up there yourself?

3 minutes ago, lee59 said:

You might be able to do it yourself. What kind of station?

Have the specs on a nice Davis package that I'd like but I'm not "technically" up to the task.  Also want to install the wind equipment on roof as I have great exposure.  Installed at ground level the yard is too protected.  So would need someone capable to installing wind equipment on the roof peak.

29 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Very strong south based block like we have been seeing in recent years.

 

 

If this overall pattern persists over the next 6-8 weeks COULD make for some POTENTIALLY interesting tropical threats along the mid and north Atlantic coasts.  Those negative and positive anomalies over the mid U.S. and Canadian Maritimes respectively are not unfavorable to open the door to threats.

On the topic of PWS.  Does anyone know of a person or company that can help install?   I'm located in NW NJ area and would appreciate any leads for someone that can set a station up for me.  Thanks in advance.

13 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

RIP Elise Finch

So sad and so sudden.  RIP.

The area roughly along and left of a Trenton to NYC line is done with heavy rain today IMO.  Anything additional will be showery and on the light side.  Southern half of NJ and L.I. (especially central and east) still in line for some locally heavy totals. 

Those radar echos are over producing what one would expect based on moisture rich atmosphere.  Not your standard rainfall rates.

Thankfully these extreme rainfall rates have missed the concrete canyons of NYC of late.  Rates of 2-3" per hour can cause some significant flooding for the boroughs.

On another topic...smoke making progress to the east.  Expect hazy skies here Tuesday / Wednesday.  Nothing more than haze though.