MANDA

Rainfall totals.  Click to enlarge.

Rainfall totals.  Click to enlarge.

1.61" rainfall here last evening that lasted until around mid-night.   No wind to speak of but vivid lightning display with some frequent very loud thunder.

Much needed.  Lets keep it going as we head through April.

1.61" of rainfall here last evening that lasted until around mid-night.   No wind to speak of but vivid lightning display with some frequent very loud thunder.

9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

What a torch March turned out to be.  Zero snow for just about everyone here

Had flurries on the 1st and show shower on the 27th.  Just a trace for the month.  Fitting end to the season.

29.4" for the season barring any surprises in April

1 hour ago, Sundog said:

Looks like almost all of us stayed in the mid 40s today. 

High of 45 here.  Stark contrast to yesterday!

Just now, IrishRob17 said:

29 for the low up here. I noticed the change in maps as well and that you have to click on the + or - to zoom in and out. 

Don't use them very often at all but if that is a permanent change it stinks.

2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

With a preliminary low temperature of 34° in Central Park, it increasingly appears that the last freeze of the 2024-2025 season will have occurred on March 23rd.

Milder air will return tomorrow and remain largely in place for the remainder of March. Saturday could see the warmest readings so far this spring in and around the New York City area. Highs could rise well into the 70s in the New York City area. Parts of New Jersey could see the mercury reach or exceed 80°. Sunday will be cooler with highs in the upper 50s, but Monday could be another unseasonably warm day with highs in the middle and upper 60s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring.

The SOI was +9.72 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.478 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 47.0° (4.2° above normal). That would rank as the 11th warmest March on record.

 

Hi Don-

How close are we to #10?

Thanks in advance.

12 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

Tomorrow will be another cool day. Milder air will then return on Friday and remain largely in place for the remainder of March.

Saturday could see the warmest readings so far this spring in and around the New York City area. Highs could rise well into the 70s in the New York City area. Sunday will be cooler with highs in the upper 50s, but Monday could be another unseasonably warm day with highs in the middle and upper 60s.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around March 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.00°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.18°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into at least late spring.

The SOI was +10.05 yesterday.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.073 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 46.7° (3.9° above normal). That would tie March 1977 for the 12th warmest March on record.

 

That March of 1977 followed the bitter cold winter of 1976-77 which abruptly ended during the first week of February.  The summer of 1977 had quite a heat wave in July with I think CP reaching 104 after a high of 102 the day before.  I may be off a bit on those numbers.

Just some trivia and indicative of nothing.  

Light snow shower here with a coating on colder surfaces.

17 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Sad last 3 months. Let’s get it out of here. 

Well, to be fair I am just shy of 30" for the season so I'm not going to call it entirely bad.  However about 40% of that total was 1-2" events so I'm not going to call it stellar by any means.  I found the winter to be more annoying than anything with useless cold, wasted opportunities, high heating bills and tons of unnecessary salt on the roads.  I agree,  I am ready to kick it to the curb.  Don't need 80 but 60's -> low 70's are more than welcome.

31 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

Just had a snow shower. Lasted 3 minutes. 

Same here, was brief but there was snow in the air. 

That is twice this month we had a trace of snow.  Monthly total = Trace.     Sad.

https://www.youtube.com/@WEATHERLEGENDS-METRONYCREGION

Great link.  I think they will be doing a video once a week.

Was a Weather Watcher for Bill back in the day when I was a young teenager in Bergen County, NJ.  What a great guy and taught me so much.

Still love his low key, measured and no hype style.  Just a great guy and not full of himself.  Was very welcoming and supportive. 

Funny story is I went boating and flying with him and got seasick (heaving over the side of the boat) and airsick (just queasy).  Flew from KTEB to KSWF for lunch (ginger ale for me).  Thankfully the trip back was less bumpy although I still could not look out the window without getting a little green.

I hope when the weather gets interesting again they will do some videos about any potential upcoming bigger events.

Did better today on rainfall than I was expecting.  Picked up .21" between 8am and 4pm with periods of light rain.  Event total = .25".

Was cold and raw with temperatures hovering near 40 all day until about 5:30 with temperatures popped into the mid and upper 40's briefly as the sun poked through the clouds.

Interesting solutions for temperatures this upcoming weekend.  Leaning towards the cooler solutions for CNJ on north and east.

9 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Areas just to the NW of the city getting skunked on the rain-ending up a bit further SE that modeled last evening

Yeah, for sure.  Only .04" here as of 8am.  Not expecting more than .10" for the rest of the day.

25 minutes ago, Picard said:

It's damn lucky the outcome wasn't worse.  That bus is destroyed.
This wind is becoming tiresome.  I don't recall seeing any wind advisories posted.

Beyond tiresome and very annoying.  So freaking windy last few months.

Stunner of a day today.  Was fine with shorts and a t-shirt.

Disappointing to see guidance backing off on the rainfall totals.  Seems like the norm lately.

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Very sad times

Today is the last day of winter

Cheer up Anthony.  Look at it this way.  We are half way to the longest daylight of the year.  In about 90 days we start the crawl back to Winter.

We'll see what Winter 2025-26 brings.  Time marches on.  Better snow times ahead....gotta believe. 

Event total here = 1.00".

Just now, Tatamy said:

Strong winds out here this afternoon.  I am seeing gusts of 35-40 mph.

Same here.  Very gusty out there.  Humid feel as well.

25 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Heaviest rains have been finding a way to favor closer to coast since last summer but all areas have been very dry.
 

 

Thanks.  Yet according to some nothing to see here.  It has been dry and we need to start turning this around or we will be running into assorted  dryness  issues within 2 months.  Going into the Spring and Summer 9+" down is not a good thing.  Not an issue right now but it will be if this does not start reversing.

1 hour ago, steve392 said:

4 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

so sorry to hear that, what kind of surgery if you don't mind me asking?

Gastric bypass.  Worst thing I've ever been through. Only had it because of how bad of a hiatal hernia I had.  Was only way to fix it. 

Sounds like a rough go.  I hope you are doing better now.

Currently 66 - amazing day!

37 minutes ago, ag3 said:

Up to 65 here!

Glorious day!

Up to 63 here.  Really nice out.  The wind of the last few days is gone and the sun is warm.

Not sure why anyone would be looking for cold and snow at this point.  Let's move on.

Of course I would never be opposed to having an April 82 type event.  Anything less forget it. 

February 2025 and Winter 2024-2025 summaries for NJ:

https://www.njweather.org/content/nuisances-not-blockbusters-february-2025-winter-20242025-recaps