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Posts posted by MANDA
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11 minutes ago, wishcast_hater said:
I think every snow event I have had this season has been at night. Anyone else notice that ?
.Pretty much!
Most of them have started after dark and ended before or just after sunrise. There were 1 or 2 exceptions, I think.
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Per weather buddy in Mt. Laurel, NJ 2.9” so far.
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6 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:
Wish I knew how to compress images. Dad sent a pic, he lives northwest of Lexington, VA and had 10” at 5:00; he’s over a foot now.
He has bested my largest storm total this season by 100%!
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4 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:
Great stuff. Thanks.
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Some great video of the snow in NYC last night:
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Just now, EastonSN+ said:
Can't wait to hear what the Central Park total is
They should be measuring right now because will be sleeting very soon. If they wait until 1 a.m. forget about an accurate reading.
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Just came in from measuring and was literally outside for the change to sleet. Now 90% IP falling, light to moderate.
Temp 23.8
2" exactly.
Expecting periods of sleet and / or freezing rain next couple of hours then it essentially should be done.
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Was thinking change to sleet 2 to maybe 3 hours after start time. Started a little after 7:30 and based on radar looks to lighten up and mix between 9:30 - 10:00 latest.
Going to take a measurement now.
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Snowy scene in Times Square.
Streets mostly wet but everything else covered.
https://www.earthcam.com/cams/newyork/timessquare/?cam=tsrobo1
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Temp 23.2. Moderate snow. Just measured .6”.
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Light to moderate snow. Small flakes coating on everything. Temp has fallen to 24.6 with heavier snowfall.
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Light snow started here about 7:35. Some pingers mixed in but mostly light snow / small flakes.
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1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:
Yeah places in lehigh valley are starting as sleet and flipping to snow. Hopefully we can squeeze out an hour or two
Not sure it will be much more than that. I doubt it.
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7:30 start time looking on target for my location.
Temp up a bit to 27.9 from 27.0 about 90 min ago.
Walt, keep us posted on ptype your location. Not particularly happy that you are reporting IP.
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2 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:
Either the Euro or NAM will end up correct, both show no precip here til 01Z but the Euro goes insane from about 0130-0330Z with like 2-3 inches of snow in that period. The NAM has little in here til 02Z or so and its sleet right away
We’ll know soon enough who the winner is. Interesting stuff.
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Currently 27 here.
Sticking with my forecast of 2-4” (snow / sleet total) here.
Very fast moving and fully expecting sleet here within 2-3 hours tops of start time. Heaviest and steadiest precipitation should be pulling away around 3 a.m.
Per radar start time here about 7:30.
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Final call for my location 2-4. The 4 would be a gift. I think 2 to 3 will be closer to reality.
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16 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:
34.4" as we speak. Still have snow/sleet pack from yesterday. Everything is white and frozen solid. Currently 24°
Sitting at 25.4" here.
11/22-23/24 = largest event at 6.5".
1/20/25 = 6.1"
12/21/24 = 5.2"
Total 17.8" from those 3 events. The remaining 7.6" all came from 9 additional events that left 1.5" or less.
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4 minutes ago, bluewave said:
Today is a great example of how much of a change can occur with an ensemble mean from 360 hrs to 240hrs. The biggest change at day 10 is the much deeper trough digging into the West around Valentine’s Day. So any speculation based on the present 360 hr run is going to look different when it gets to 240 then 120 and 0 hrs. This is why you want to maximize opportunities closer in since you don’t know what the pattern is going to look like from day 10 and beyond.
New run
Old run
To say there are some substantial differences on those two maps might be an understatement.
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1 hour ago, BoulderWX said:
See ya on the next one. Some of us are quite happy with another couple of inches.
Hope ya get it on this first one.
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February 2025
in New York City Metro
Posted
X has been smoldering for last few days. Expecting it will go to four alarms later this morning.
Finally something of substance to track. Would like to see these trends continue over the weekend. Looks promising but final outcome TBD. I love the look from 00z modeling. No denying it has potential. Hopefully we have this look from 12Z Sunday runs as we move into the mid range period.
Would love to see a good cold, windy and widespread 12”+ event forum wide!