MANDA

5 minutes ago, gravitylover said:

Boy, northern VT just keeps getting slammed. Another 6.5" in just a few hours. The damage is just terrible with nearly everything shut down (again). 

Sure hope they don't get anything of tropical origin later in the season up that way.  Thankfully the excessive rains up there of late have been pretty localized but still.

2 hours ago, Allsnow said:

Completely missed the rain again here today. Didn’t even get cloudy for very long 

Same here. 

Had Trace of rainfall here so far.  Hoping for something better as the week moves forward. 

Very pleasant out there this morning.  Overnight low of 60 with a light breeze and low DP's.  Don't get much better than this for late July!

5 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Not even a tenth of an inch for the week here. Very frustrating. Big bust since the Monday night through Thursday period was advertised as a wet period, but we know that storms in the summer tend to be hit or miss. NWS went way overboard with the 60% to 70% chance. 

This was like 2 weeks ago when there was a forecasted wet period that busted, but the difference that time was my area ended up getting lucky and got hit by heavy rain in the days after the forecasted wet period when there was only a slight chance. This time there won't be any chance at all with dry air in place for several days starting on Friday. I'll be watering the vegetable garden a lot. 

Such a disappointing amount of rainfall this week.  Yup, will be watering here as well.  Going to be dry into mid next week.  My hopes are raised for a wetter period late next week into the following week.  A ways off though so we'll see.  Latest Drought Monitor shows the dryness across NJ.

What a waste of a soupy moisture laden air mass.  Have about .30" to show for it.  

 A whopping .26" overnight.  I'll take it but I sure would like more.  Not likely today and not so sure about tonight either.

Just trace of rainfall here today.  Skunked so far.  Some places did well but not widespread coverage.  Hoping for something decent over the next 2-3 days....at least an inch I hope.

For the first time this season lots of wildfire smoke showing up in central Canada and showing up at least on a minimal basis over parts of the U.S.  Very dense smoke over central Canada.  We'll see how much of this can "mix" into the pattern over the coming week.

59 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Whereas season to date ACE is still quite strong due to Beryl, the forecasts with (near) record #s of NS are increasingly looking dicey regarding coming in close. The latest Euro weeklies, though they could be off obviously, have well BN Atlantic activity for the next 3 weeks with NN not starting til the week 8/11-18! So, there could very well be just 3 NS through Aug 11. 

Highest # of NS 8/11+:
21: 2020, 05
16: 2021, 19, 10, 1969, 50
15: 2023, 1933

 Opinions?
 

Agree, some of the high end numbers of named storms out there may be in trouble.  ACE numbers maybe less in jeopardy if we get some more intense long trackers like Beryl but even so those high ACE numbers could be on shaky ground as well.

Low of 57 here this morning.  Wheeled the garbage can to the curb at 5 a.m. and it was borderline chilly for mid July.  So refreshing compared to what it has been.  Low of 51 in Walpack, NJ and numerous lows in the low 50's in the NW NJ cool spots. 

Fairly extensive dryness and drought over the eastern 1/4 of the country.  Some of this should get beaten back over the next 2 weeks expecially over the Mid-Atlantic and parts of the Southeast.

Had an even 1" here during last nights storms.  Wind was quite minimal.  A few good flashes and rumbles but mostly just a nice soaking.

Additional rainfall chances next week so good for a while around here.

Buddy in Pittstown, Hunterdon County still without power at this hour.

Trees down all over the place.

Just want some rain.  I can do without all of that.

Missed to my northwest and now they are blowing up to my east.   Sucks.

Sure hope I can cash in later because in this initial round of storms I got skunked.  Missed some good stuff just to my NW.

Been on the losing end of late around here.

8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This should be the last of the 100° heat for a while as a big +PNA is set to dominate for the next 10 days.

 

Trof position might be such that we still run above normal and on the humid side.  Might also give us AN precip.  

Nice in the nations mid-section though!

Well, we are halfway through meteorological Summer.  Won't be long before we are playing kick the "Canadian cold" can.  Hope not but we'll see.

40 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Wow! Look at this photo I found on Wikimedia dated May 24, 2024. This is absolutely absurd. Who was the decisionmaker that identified this as an appropriate location to install the ASOS?  It doesn't comply with any siting standards. Most backyard thermometers are more reliably sited than this.

Look at the rain gauge in the back right.  You have to believe the tree canopy is interfering with that as well.  What a joke.

My buddy out near Pittstown / Frenchtown reporting numerous trees down.

Not a drop up my way.

22 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

GFS most expansion of the Atlantic ridge and maintains the pattern of EC ridging.Ridge pushing into the Plains/CAn 

 

Continuing large and very expansive Atlantic ridge.  Could make for long low trackers with fewer safe out to sea re-curvatures.

4 minutes ago, WX-PA said:

July 15th 1995...It was heat that could kill you and it did. Many in Chicago died from that heatwave. It peaked here on July 15th..Hottest day I could ever remember.

I believe Heat Index readings soared to 120 to near 130 across parts of the Illinois / Wisconsin area.  Heat index values around here were near 115 for a time if I remember correctly.  Might be off by a little high or low but it was just stiflingly hot.  Just don't remember anything like that since, although we probably came close on occasion I guess.

.45" here.  Better than nothing but after a week of waiting and with near record PW I am disappointed.

A more concentrated area of rainfall is ongoing over Southern VA and Eastern NC.  It is moving north.  Maybe that is what NWS/WPC is thinking with Flood Watches and Excessive outlook.  Radar looks unimpressive for most over the next several hours except SE NJ which has been soaked already today.

19 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

going to be a big bust for areas well north and west that looked to jackpot a day or two ago. Not saying ukie is right but then trend is for the heaviest amounts along the I95 corridor on eastward

I'm starting to brace myself for under 1".  Will see what radar looks like this evening and go from there but trend has been for along I-95 and south and east of there.