MANDA

Canadian forest fires are underway.  Smoke affecting the Northern Plains into the Great Lakes.  Air quality alerts are posted over parts of MN and WI.

Two day event total was .58".  Daytime temperatures yesterday never got out of the m/u 40's.  Everything nice and green and rain is keeping the pollen at bay so there is that.

Currently 47 and .37" rainfall so far.

12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Clouds rolled in quickly 

Nam for tomorrow morning

 

Putting down some fertilizer today!

2 minutes ago, Picard said:

Balmy early May evening.  I'm still at 73.  Feels like summer.
I'm not looking forward to the return to raw and cold.  It's the month when both the AC and heat will run, sometimes within 48 hours of one another.

Been a lot of back and forth lately with AC vs. heat (heat especially in the mornings)

It is warm out tonight.  Still 70 here.

A quick .18" in a fast moving but heavy downpour.

28 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said:

The mean temperature in New York City during the first week of May was 61.6°. That was 1.6° above normal.

After a morning shower or thundershower, tomorrow will be another unseasonably warm day with readings reaching the upper 70s and lower 80s across the region. The highest readings are likely in and around Philadelphia where the temperature could top out in the middle or even upper 80s. Another shot of cooler air will likely arrive on Thursday. The chill won't be exceptional for the season.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.5°C for the week centered around May 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.85°C. The ongoing basinwide El Niño event is fading. Neutral conditions could develop later in the spring.

The SOI was +7.14 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.200 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 60% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 64.3° (1.1° above normal).

 

One above normal month (May projected) after another against the highest set of 30 year "normals" we have.  You would have to be a high roller to bet against an above normal Summer at this point.  Might not be outrageous heat but 2-3 above normal for JJA would not surprise me in the least.  Mainly from slightly above normal highs and very warm overnight lows.   We'll see.

Horrible drone footage coming out of Oklahoma this morning.  Especially Barnsdall, OK.  Looks like solid EF3 damage and maybe EF4.

Concrete slabs left where houses used to be.  Steel beams twisted like plastic straws.

Radar exploding over western Oklahoma.  Going to be a dangerous and scary night for people out there.  Good amount of rotation going on already.

3 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Daylight  H:14:M:10   Roughly equivalent to Aug 5th.

Just about 30 minutes to go until latest sunset. 

Marching forward!

Two day event total rainfall = .62".

Jersey be cooking sans the barrier beaches.

54 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Hard to believe mid 80s today based on what it looks like now

Per visible satellite loop low clouds eroding west to east pretty quickly.  Should warm up nicely once the sun breaks out.

Just now, SACRUS said:

Up to 81 today here in CNJ pollen is quite high.

The pollen dust in terrible.  Just nasty. 

Received .25" rainfall in the T-Shower last night.

Great CTG Lighting and booms of thunder.  Rocking and rolling.

Vivid lightning show to my south and southwest:  Nice rumbles of thunder and it is raining now.

4 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

i can see lightning from middlesex, allentown really getting hammered

Very intense radar return right near KABE.  Must be getting pounded.

Looking pretty robust as it is just crossing the Delaware into NW Jersey at 7:30 p.m.  Would expect it to hold together and produce some rainfall at my location within the next 60-90 min.

April was another wet month at my location.  Total precipitation was 6.95".  Total Y.T.D. is 25.88".

Had .30" snowfall which brought my final seasonal total to 22.5".

Hope we can at least have normal precipitation for the growing season.  Don't need any floods nor do we need excessive dryness.

We'll see what the hurricane season brings....certainly there seems to be solid agreement on a very active season.  Numbers and landfall locations of course are two different things so time will tell.  Have to believe if the high numbers being forecast come to fruition there will be at least few U.S. landfalls.  Majors or not???  Of course less than major can cause all sorts of issues.

47 minutes ago, SnowDemon said:

Only had to turn it on for a couple of hours this afternoon. Just open windows now as the breeze hits.

Pollen going full bore here.  I can't have all that crap coming into the house.  It is gross, covering everything in green dust.

74 degrees in the house (78 degrees up on second floor)....A/C is going on.  At least for a little while.

Daily Max Temps as of 3pm.

We have a 90 degree reading.  Granted it is not sub forum relevant but still a 90 degree reading in NJ.

Locally an 88 degree reading in Harrison, NJ.

Picked up .39" rainfall overnight.  Dare I say "needed" rainfall.  Topsoil was getting dry. 

Very warm and humid start to the day.