MANDA
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Posts posted by MANDA
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Do either of you have any idea when the last time a monthly record low was tied or broken at any of our local climo sites?
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34 minutes ago, forkyfork said:
monthly record highs were set with the heat wave. any monthly record lows on the horizon?
Anyone have an idea of when the last time was around here that a monthly record low was tied or broken?
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Steady light to sometimes moderate rain ongoing. Very chilly and damp with temperature currently at 54 degrees. Had an overnight low of 50.
As of 8am had received .12". Ongoing rains will moisten the soil so that the upcoming weekend rains will be more able to soak in instead of just initially running off. Going to put some fertilizer down tomorrow. Been waiting for some decent rains to apply it.
Totals as of 8am this morning. Some places did really well. Click to zoom.
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Small clusters of storms developing over CPA
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Watch posted sub forum wide.
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Sampling of the highest readings across NJ today.
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Warmest NJ highs from this afternoon.
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Currently a 97 near TTN. Cooking over the interior of NJ today.
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3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:
I'm probably gonna hit 94 or 95 today which is a few degrees hotter than yesterday. Gonna have to go pretty far east for that advertised cooldown today with the backdoor front.
90-95 along the urban corridor over NJ seems very realistic.
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15 minutes ago, MJO812 said:
86 here
Yuck
Look on the bright side. We are only about 30 days away from the latest sunset and then we will SLOWLY start going the other way. The hole is almost dug and we will soon starting filling it in.
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Some of the NJ hot spots are flirting with 90 degrees this afternoon.
NJ April climate summary:
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Worked out in the yard all morning from about 8:00 to 12:30. Started out pretty cool but once the sun hit where I was working it got warm. As somewhat gusty breeze still made it feel very pleasant. Soil is VERY DRY!
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A paltry .07" here. Yet another event that looked decent 3-4 days out only to dwindle at go time.
Top soils are barely ok but will dry out very quickly with any stretch of sunny, very wam to hot weather. Long term dryness persists. It has gotten better over the last 4-6 weeks but could easily go in the other direction fast if we don't get meaningful rain. Southeast really taking it on the chin. We'll see if that persistently dry area hangs on and/or expands over the next few months. It could make an upper ridge want to hold on as the Summer takes hold.
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4 minutes ago, FPizz said:
I agree. This past winter the new model i thought was horrendous
Certainly not worthy of any awards....that's for sure.
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4 hours ago, FPizz said:
Nice explanation from him but even he seems a bit uncertain about the transition. I think they should have left the older models (at least the NAMS) in place and let them run operationally for another year alongside the RRFS. He thinks the V2.0 will be an improvement but who knows when that will be available operationally.
Will be interesting once the older models disappear to see how things shake out. I'm personally still going to miss the NAMS in winter events since it handled low level thermals better than any other model, IMO.
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Not a popular move. I feel the same way...see above.
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10 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:
And the fv3
I'd rather they all hung around. I personally don't think the RRFS is quite ready to solo in prime time. At least we knew the inherent short comings in the existing soon to leave us models and could use them as tools.
NAM always seemed superior to other guidance (most of the time) in nailing CAD and speed of mid level warming in snow to mix/rain scenarios. Will miss that.
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1 hour ago, ForestHillWx said:
I think I’d rather pay the natty gas bill to take morning chill out over the electric bill when the AC cranks on those high dews, but considering it’s almost mid-May, it’s getting to be about that time….
Not looking forward to months of AC but that's the way it goes. Much rather have the windows open a bit at night and be under the blankets. That will be coming to an end soon enough.
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34 minutes ago, FPizz said:
38 here. Maybe last 30s for a few months
Sampling of the coldest NJ lows this morning.
Likely not another morning with this kind of areawide chill until late September or October.
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.38" here last 24 hours.
Some winners and losers across the area.
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Received .40" rainfall last 24 hours. Better than I was expecting. I'll take it.
Click map to enlarge.
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Just now, Brian5671 said:
yeah HRRR has it falling apart-we will see
Either way it will be nothing like it was modeled to be several days ago....as you said yesterday. Most of the area was modeled at .75 to 1.25" and now we will struggle to reach .25" in most places. Does not look overly wet over the coming 1-2 weeks. Dry periods outdoing the wet periods for better than 18 months now.
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5 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said:
Last call for any final season snowfall reports for Tri-State Area (if you didn't already msg me). I'll have all the final season snowfall maps out this week. If i don't hear from you ill do my best to add the 3 minor events from Mar 3-4, Mar 5-6 and Apr 7 to this map. The numbers on this map were ending on March 2nd (except the climate sites which i already changed).
50" Mt. Arlington, NJ
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Did pretty well here with .68" rainfall last evening into the overnight.
Total for April: 3.68". Not bad but 60% of that total came this week. Month prior to this final week of the month was very dry.
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May 2026
in New York City Metro
Posted
Thanks for the stats!
So a small one site sample shows:
- 40 years since the last monthly record low.
- 92 years since a monthly record low during meteorological winter.
Since 1998 5 monthly record warm readings but none of those during meteorological summer all were during meteorological winter. Of course NYC temperatures during the summer are skewed low since equipment was moved from out in the open to the middle of a thicket.
Hard to envision a monthly record low in NYC until the next climate shift to cooler occurs from whatever the cause of that may be. Volcanic? Next natural climate shift? Something more drastic?