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Snowncanes

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Everything posted by Snowncanes

  1. Snowncanes
    Because everybody is (understandably) focused on their backyard and it dry slots RDU fairly significantly. Which is where a lot of this board (me included) live lol
  2. Snowncanes
    What he means is everyone go stand outside with a thermometer and wait until things start falling from the sky instead of doomscrolling every model run haha
  3. Snowncanes
    I think it looks a good bit different at H5. Closes off the upper low much earlier, is more west, and goes neutral earlier. Blossoms the precip shield over NC much better and even takes care of our Atl people a bit. To me this is the thing we are looking for the most. How early can we get that low to close off and go negative. Makes all the difference in the world.
  4. Snowncanes
    Im not super familiar with the smaller towns in Georgia haha my bad.
  5. Snowncanes
    Athens east unfortunately. At least verbatim. Upper low still closes off too late for y’all atlantans
  6. Snowncanes
    NAM looking better through 36 at H5. Digging more and a tad west
  7. Snowncanes
    Yeah… I think it’s overdoing it though. CAM’s will probably resolve it better but I feel like a low that strong is going to throw precip back. And if we can get even just a slightly earlier negative tilt it will help transfer the energy earlier and throw the precip back over the piedmont better. The gap is from the ULL snow and the energy skipping over and then the low bombing out and so that area misses the brunt of the ULL and of the coastal.
  8. Snowncanes
    Solid run for most of the forum. This is 10:1 map, i don’t have kuchera. Kinda weak with the precip as it bombs out. Would expect it to throw a little more back than it did but we’ll see
  9. Snowncanes
    Goes neutral at 66, negative over sc/ga border at 72. Precip looking solid. 995 low about 30m SE hatteras at 72
  10. Snowncanes
    H60, digging more than gfs, better tilt. Looks like it’ll be good
  11. Snowncanes
    It’s moving again finally. Got 54. Looks similar to gfs so far at H5
  12. Snowncanes
    Stuck at hr48 again… anyone else?
  13. Snowncanes
    And the euro is off. Fingers crossed!
  14. Snowncanes
    18-1 ratios on that. Insane. Rdu gets 1” qpf and the bullseye got 1.5”
  15. Snowncanes
    Also a better tilt and closed off earlier. Looks like a weenie run
  16. Snowncanes
    One thing Ive noticed is the models are having a very hard time figuring out where this surface low consolidates. The rgem has literally 6 different LP mins simultaneously. Precip shield will respond to whichever it can consolidate around, but I doubt there will be 6.
  17. Snowncanes
    AIGFS not much change in anything. Maybe some minor tweaks but nothing of note
  18. Snowncanes
    I know we all hate on the GFS and theres still time for things to go wrong but it’s been remarkably consistent for this storm. Gotta give props where they are due.
  19. Snowncanes
    ICON caves. Still room for improvement but it took a big jump towards consensus at 5H
  20. Snowncanes
    ICON might finally be getting a clue. A good bit further SW with a better tilt axis at 72hr
  21. Snowncanes
    NAMed. edit: got beat by 2 seconds again. But still snowing over most of the Carolina’s here
  22. Snowncanes
    NAM slight changes through 54. Heights up a little over Ohio and just a touch southwest with the energy over Missouri
  23. Snowncanes
    Cant pull the rug if the model never runs
  24. Snowncanes
    At this rate the NAM is going to be running when the euro finishes its run
  25. Snowncanes
    Euro is running
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