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zwyts

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Everything posted by zwyts

  1. surprised IAD so low. They must have really crapped out in the afternoon. BWI lol. Did they start sweeping every hour again?
  2. Maybe we'll get a stronger southern stream in Feb-March. Wavelengths shrink, and we can get simpler storms. (feb 96 cough). Without having a deep ULL parked over the TN valley, it's tough to get a top 10 snowstorm
  3. I'm going to avoid the bargaining phase of mourning our non-hecs later - "this is actually better than an 18-24 inch snowstorm!" . No it's not. But it's damn cool. Very few times have i experienced something like this
  4. I guess there's a reason we don't get many 18" storms. We probably didn't apply enough climo hedging for this one. At least a few days ago. I know the "physics" are what they are, but it's like flopping a straight, where you have no chance of improving on the turn or river. you only have a chance of a rug pull
  5. It's pouring sleet again after a fairly brief quasi-lull.
  6. Growing up, I recall many times when IAD was 27 and Elkins WV 50. It's not super common but with some CAD events they torch
  7. that's a big takeaway with this one. Moisture bomb. the amount of liquid is going to be jaw dropping in some places in the DMV.
  8. where are you at most recently. over 8" yet?
  9. i'm around same. maybe a tad more. I'm not going to account for compaction. will just use the old stick ruler in ground. and round up if i'm between numbers
  10. 90% sleet. 5.5" NAM did good with the warm nose. 13z. The other models didn't catch on until later or not at all. There were a couple runs with an 11z warm but it still was a legit red flag. it was awful on everything else
  11. if it's truly 3:1, we could tack on a couple inches.
  12. 5.2". all snow but flakes becoming more rimed.
  13. i have 4.25". i'm not going to comment on the NAM yet, but I have a diatribe warming up in the bullpen
  14. Still 9am for DCA. it's actually been kind of a rock here today with a 14z flip.
  15. i'm thinking. 13.5z for me. For you, maybe a little later.
  16. it's made almost no progress in the last 90 minutes.
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