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balltermen

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Everything posted by balltermen

  1. balltermen
    yeah. i'm thinking 8:30.
  2. balltermen
    15/13, Snow. 1.8"
  3. balltermen
    new 3k NAM. DCA at 13z. go enjoy yourselves. don't stare at precip type
  4. balltermen
    Rap flips at 16z which would be hilarious. HRRR still 14z. Correlation coefficient apparently says 8z.
  5. balltermen
    the sleet line has moved about 10 miles in the last 30 minutes. nobody in immediate DC metro is at any risk of sleet any time soon.
  6. balltermen
    16/13, -SN, 1"
  7. balltermen
    pending the final result, it doesn't feel like a rug pull to me. Maybe in Feb or March we'll get a stronger STJ and get something that's modeled better.
  8. balltermen
    5z HRRR still has a 14z flip time for DCA.
  9. balltermen
    yeah. i said 7.1" but that's probably a little too rosy for terminal A
  10. balltermen
    if DC is DCA, i'd probably put the o/u at 6". Looks good tho.
  11. balltermen
    I'd make the sleet side soft serve ice cream.
  12. balltermen
    i like 8-10" for Washington DC. DCA, I don't know because of how low they are sometimes. 7.1".
  13. balltermen
    you're going to get a foot. that's my forecast for Leesburg
  14. balltermen
    3z HRRR is a 14z flip for DCA. seems reasonable.
  15. balltermen
    A friend in Fairlington is reporting -SN
  16. balltermen
    I thought this was funny and helpful. I don't know what a sleet sprinkle is, but you get the drift ETA - i get it, and I would love a donut
  17. balltermen
    I think a lot of people get excited about digital snow, but it also reminds us that in a nina, with a tricky phase, we're almost lucky to be getting what we're getting versus nada or 54 and rain
  18. balltermen
    I thought this was a pretty cool and helpful map.
  19. balltermen
    It's really hard. We've faded modeled warm noses before, but the setups were a little different and models were not as skilled. 2/25/07 was an all snow event that was supposed to flip. But that's almost 20 years now.
  20. balltermen
    CWG was suggesting an 11:30-ish start for Alexandria/Arlington. I think that's probably too late.
  21. balltermen
    19/0, cloudy
  22. balltermen
    i would lock in 15z for DC without even taking a second to think about it
  23. balltermen
    that's how it's done in this area. the streets are painted white with salt
  24. balltermen
    6-10"'incl sleet. changeover 8-9 am.
  25. balltermen
    I don't think snow amounts are as consequential this storm other than for stats. I think 6" of snow followed by sleet would be satisfactory for east of the fall line. 4" would be disappointing. But climo usually has the last word.
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