balltermen

In case this is the last event, here's my data. I have every storm for 23 winters. Contact Randy if anyone wants it. Mt Pleasant DC 04-05 - 17" 05-06 - 17.5" 06-07 - 13.5" 07-08 - 7.5" 08-09 - 10" 09-10 - 67.5" 10-11 - 12.5" 11-12 - 2" Old Town Alex 12-13 - 5" Downtown DC 13-14 - 36.5" 14-15 - 20" 15-16 - 26" 16-17 - 5" 17-18 - 10" 18-19 - 19" 19-20- 0.5" 20-21 - 6.5" Adams Morgan 21-22 - 14.5" 22-23 - 0.5" 23-24 - 8" 24-25 - 15.5" 25-26 - 14" to date 26-27 (Philly)

Seasonal snow to date: 14" 12/5: 1.75" 12/14: 1.0" 1/24-25: 8.5" 2/22-23: 2.0" 3/2: 0.75" I think I'm good for at least one more 0.5". Maybe a sloppy car topper on April 11th

im going with 1.5". melting from underneath now.

DCA final total 0.7" is my guess

I just measured 1.25" in admo. street stickage too. hurray

It doesn't handle tricky phases well in a Nina. we need a robust STJ so the Euro can become a rock for 10 days I don't know how much of this is resolution? This is not my area, but I assume global models aren't designed for specific types of discrete events. But maybe it is QC'ed and tweaked based on how it handles events with big media? I don't care about its verification score on QPF in Chennai

inverse of 2/12/14 when the GFS had a weak wave going wide right like a day before We rely too much on models we've had events like this. I'd like look back to the two March 1984 events. I wonder how much fell at DCA

when radar does look like this, I will bump.

There is a lot of bust potential inside the beltway if rates are bad. I'd probably undercut guidance below 300' We know the deal. Dynamic cooling doesn't work here. we need a proper airmass

I think the jack might be a bit further west at elevation. Thurmont maybe

GFS is so bad with this kind of setup. The model isn't designed for East coast snowstorms and unfortunately it sucks at them. I'm sure it may be superior in a bunch of areas. Not this.

1) Knickerbocker 2) 2/23/26 3) 1899 4) PD1

I think you'll score. but maybe 3-6" instead of the largest snowstorm on record at DCA that the GFS depicts.

10:1. SV doesn't kuchie or update their windows 96 like graphics

Is IVT the new meso "atmospheric river". cool. i like it

yeah. you live NW of a city. west of the fall line who knows.

very familiar with that penetrating gray arrow of death

Problem for the cities is surface DC is 38 degrees at 4 pm sunday. Doesn't get to 32 until midnight It's gotta be ripping to force dynamic cooling Even then I could see the lowlands get "3-6 mostly on grassy surfaces" that actually yields 1.25" on a trash can

Kidding. it's only out like 30 hours.

take your time. SV initialized at 12:13. I won't step on your pbp. plus we always have maps at the end. Godspeed young man

Digital snow is better than actual sleet

you still have time to delete this

wait until the morning.