I personally dont put alot of stock or faith into what any model shows 2 weeks out. Hell models cant even get things right 72 hours out half the time lol. Just gotta wait to see how it evolves.. but any "winters cancelled" claims are just ridiculous in last week of December especially with 3 months left lol... historically In elnino years its usually mid to late january before winter storms really start affecting the east coast and mid Atlantic in earnest anyway!