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winter_warlock

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Everything posted by winter_warlock

  1. If models continue to look like this . Alot of us gonna have sleepless nights waiting up for euro every night ! Lol
  2. Probably the best shot at something significant for alot of us in a couple years!!
  3. Well after seeing the gfs and cmc. I think were all gonna be waiting for the euro!!!
  4. Latest disco from sterling!!!! Good read.... As we move into the weekend, attention will turn to a storm system approaching from the south and west. By Friday night, this system will be located over the southern Plains. The initially closed upper low is modeled to transition into more of an open wave and potentially take on a negative tilt as it tracks east-northeastward toward our area. With the system taking on a negative tilt, there could be a corresponding strong area of low pressure at the surface, with access to ample moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. As one would expect seven days out, there is still considerable spread with respect to the track of this system, but most solutions cluster somewhere between a track into the eastern Ohio Valley and along the coast just off to our south and east. Probabilities for substantial QPF continue to increase. If the storm were to take a favorable track off to our south and east, some or all of this could occur as snow across portions of the area. Synoptically speaking, most solutions don`t have a strong area of high pressure off to the northeast, which could work against a snow solution, but the airmass in place ahead of the system is fairly cold/dry, which could create a decent amount of cold air in-situ once precipitated into. We`ll continue to monitor this system over the upcoming week, as it has the potential to be the first substantial winter storm of the season (and really last two seasons) to the east of the mountains
  5. Latest update from WPC. I like where they have the low!
  6. Now that looks much better than the gfs OP!! Will prevent cliff jumping lol
  7. Ahhh. Ok ty bro! Ill take modeling this far out with a grain of salt!
  8. Well gfs was nw... cmc Was a lil bit south east of gfs .....And ukmet was south and colder.... cant wait to see what the 12z euro has !! Lol
  9. Hmm how accurate is the ukmet compared to gfs a week out ?? Lol
  10. Well im in baltimore county MD so... With these storms its always a wait and see thing till its right on top of us lol
  11. One saving grace is its 7 days out! So alot can and will change in next 168 hours! Lol. Im mean come on folks do any if us really wanna be in the bulls eye 7 days out?? Lol
  12. Latest WPC places the low almost perfect for mid Atlantic and i like the triple highs to the north!
  13. The 06z gfs control was too far inland for my taste im glad to see the ensembles farther east
  14. Sterling has now started to mention the storm for the 7th They are in a wait and see mode lol ...... From sterling..... low pressure system in which the track of the low could be to our south and intensify as it approaches the mid-Atlantic Coast. The consensus low pressure system track has the low moving from central North Carolina, across the Tidewater of southeastern Virginia and just offshore of the Delmarva. It is too early to tell how much rainfall, how much snowfall, locations of these types of weather, and the timing of impact. We will need to monitor next weekend`s low pressure system over the early part of this week.
  15. I can see myself haveing alot of sleepless nights waiting for the late model runs this coming week
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