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Weatheriscool

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Everything posted by Weatheriscool

  1. Weatheriscool
    So far, while the moisture has been appreciated, it has really under performed in my area and looks like we are headed into another relatively dry stretch, just a real head scratcher for me why it is so dry - it has probably been discussed but
  2. Weatheriscool
    One thing seems certain is that the next two weeks are going to be night and day different than this week
  3. Weatheriscool
    Looked pretty good for West and Middle I would say as well - I think sometimes we forget the forum is the entire state lol
  4. Weatheriscool
    Yea, file that in the "never happen folder but fun to look at"
  5. Weatheriscool
    Lock it in!
  6. Weatheriscool
    That is one sustained cold look!
  7. Weatheriscool
    Guess we should enjoy the relative mild now, change is afoot
  8. Weatheriscool
    Correct me if I am mistaken but if it can phase into a bigger storm it could pull down some really cold air in its wake.
  9. Weatheriscool
    That would really be nice to have about 12 hours or so of steady rainfall
  10. Weatheriscool
    That would be great!
  11. Weatheriscool
    So sounding like I need to go ahead and get another rick of wood delivered this week while the weather is warm and prices are low lol
  12. Weatheriscool
    Yea, looks like the 12Z GFS is waking up, will have to see a few similar runs from the GFS before getting excited, cautiously optimistic.
  13. Weatheriscool
    I will echo your sentiment, it is really really dry, which is bad for our wet season
  14. Weatheriscool
    Personally, the only way my love of the winter season is going to get a fix is if I move to the Sierra or the Tug Hill Plateau of upstate NY.
  15. Weatheriscool
    Yes it does and there is moisture!
  16. Weatheriscool
    Will take a look at the AI
  17. Weatheriscool
    The 12Z gfs went dry as a bone, that model is so whacked
  18. Weatheriscool
    I think I am going to stop looking at the models altogether. It is strange in that it seems like we go through this every season, I would think that models would be getting progressively better at forecasting but it seems like we have the same "groundhog day" discussions every year in the forum.
  19. Weatheriscool
    Lock it in
  20. Weatheriscool
    Hopefully it is cold and wet, we didnt get anything from that rain yesterday, it all slid south of us, the dryness continues
  21. Weatheriscool
    The 12Z GFS seems disjointed, maybe it is just my untrained eye
  22. Weatheriscool
    Well, the wetness has continued
  23. Weatheriscool
    Another soaker run on the GFS for the region
  24. Weatheriscool
    With great power comes great responsibility!
  25. Weatheriscool
    Good analysis! Like you, I am not sure what value OP models have past 240 the GFS is almost always churning out a different solution with every run. Dont misunderstand, I realize that the physics of the atmosphere are extremely complicated but it does not seem like there should be such wild model swings from run to run
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