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Golf757075

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Everything posted by Golf757075

  1. Golf757075
    I believe if the aleutian ridge is morphed with the Alaskan ridge at some point, we should be in business for better opportunity at winter weather. Its just tough in the south lol
  2. Golf757075
    Don't want too much pna because the core of the cold will be east of us imo
  3. Golf757075
    He really has changed his tune i guess lol. It makes sense if the pacific jet extends to get things shifting in the pacific. Not putting the carriage in front of the horse lol
  4. Golf757075
    The ensembles are starting to somewhat extend the pacific jet in the extended. I believe that will be a game changer if it comes to fruition
  5. Golf757075
    Ryan made an interesting statement on Twitter with cold air we haven't seen in over a 1,000 years forming over nw canada. Need a delivery mechanism to bring it south
  6. Golf757075
    Regardless, I hope it comes south and further west if it comes down at all lol. Mjo will offer clues
  7. Golf757075
    Ryan maue said that there is cold air we haven't seen in over 1,000 years developing in nw Canada and Alaska. Bold statement lol. There are subtle hints of it getting unleashed, but it's still early. Hope it does come down and further west for better chance at winter weather down the line instead of dry nw flow
  8. Golf757075
    Carver, I think if the mjo gets active, it should allow the pacific to align for cold here for a few weeks, providing the mjo moves along imo
  9. Golf757075
    Carver I believe it will be hard pressed to get the cold further west due to the east based nao. If it morphs into west based, all bets are off. We deal with the hand delt and hope for the best
  10. Golf757075
    There are subtle signs of an aleutian breakdown, depending on progress of mjo
  11. Golf757075
    Carver, we should see cold fronts behind systems that cut nw of us. Happens every winter even in the warmest winters. Cools off for a day, depending on how much cold there is to work with. Any sustainable cold won't happen here unless the aleutian ridge moves or shifts for us. Imo of course. I just hope to get close to my average snow
  12. Golf757075
    I should be more realistic because we only average 4-5 in a winter. Just hope we get close to that
  13. Golf757075
    Carver, my take on things is if by mid January things haven't changed and don't look good moving forward, I mentally wave the white flag. I know people do different things, but that's my stance on it.
  14. Golf757075
    Jax, I hope we get what's needed to shakeup this pattern. I am being cautiously optimistic
  15. Golf757075
    That image i posted earlier would be a TOTAL game changer if it happens. Still preliminary of course.
  16. Golf757075
    This is from bamwx fwiw. Maybe a change in the pacific. We shall see
  17. Golf757075
    Maybe you can post the euro ext mean on snow, if available. I posted only the control run, not the mean
  18. Golf757075
    Just eye candy, but impressive.
  19. Golf757075
    What will build my confidence is when the epo turns negative, which may take some time but we will go from there. An ao/nao being negative can trump an awful pacific sometimes.
  20. Golf757075
    In regards to the PDO, imo, the WCS has a better depiction of it in real time. The CPC just does it on a monthly basis. https://s2s.worldclimateservice.com/climatepanel/.
  21. Golf757075
    Good trends so far. I personally would feel better if the epo went negative, but that's just my opinion lol
  22. Golf757075
    Interesting look for sure
  23. Golf757075
    We go through these highs and lows with the models every winter. Makes it interesting to an extent
  24. Golf757075
    Model madness at its best
  25. Golf757075
    You mean 12zgfs lol.
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