DMAC98

Yeah none of the ensemble suites had much of anything for the 16th so the fact that there's at least a modest signal for the following period is at least somewhat intriguing. I think it's also worth mentioning the CMC/GEM has a system in the area by that time as well, when it was never interested in the 16th iirc

yeah this is an objective improvement, orientation of the trough looks better with more of a neutral tilt at this point in time vs. 18z

np Yeah I noticed it a while ago during hurricane season. My only complaint is I think there should be more localized regional parameters, there's one for the entire eastern half of the US but it would be nice if he could split it into specific regions like the Northeast, Southeast, etc.

The frames do seem to load faster/more consistently on Pivotalweather...speaking of which the GFS runs quicker on CyclonicWx so I tend to use that

Lol...?

was getting ready to post this lol. Definitely threw us a bone after the GFS and CMC failed to deliver (again). Something like this would definitely be nice.

33.8 on my PWS. Would be nice to eke out some mood flakes overnight but I'm not counting on it

as @SnowenOutTherementioned the look on the GFS has become marginally better as well throughout the day (significant emphasis on marginally), I do like the precip creeping up this way with each subsequent run today. Still ultimately leaves us high and dry (quite literally) and this is probably just a case of me huffing my daily supply of weenie hopium, but with 5-ish days left I suppose there's time for things to take an unexpected turn for the better (in the form of a modest event obviously, we don't really need some blockbuster KU beast to put us on the right track for this month regardless)

Peep the GFS trending colder with the onset precip. Euro might be on to something here

Hey everyone, long time lurker, first time poster here. Dunno if this is the right topic for an introductory post (mods can move this elsewhere if that's the case) but I've quietly been around online WX circles for the good part of a decade now (as a member on Dr. Jeff Masters' blog and Storm2K), primarily focused on the tropics until recently. I have been slowly branching out to other avenues, in recent years once hurricane season goes dormant, particularly winter weather given my lifelong affinity for the flakes and what not. I know it hasn't been the greatest stretch over the past few years but hopefully we can finally score big this time around, it's been a while. Looking forward to endless hours of model watching with you all