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Everything posted by GBOVolz
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2-6” inch’s of snow in Knoxville will absolutely cause major issues. People start heading to the ditches when there’s snow in the forecast. .
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Hang on… I’m a moron. I read the HWF and thought it was the WSW… Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Morristown TN 1226 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026 NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002- 005-006-008-310530- Cherokee-Clay-Scott TN-Campbell-Claiborne-Hancock-Hawkins- Sullivan-Johnson-Morgan-Anderson-Union-Grainger-Hamblen- Northwest Cocke-Cocke Smoky Mountains-Northwest Greene- Southeast Greene-Washington TN-Unicoi-Northwest Carter- Southeast Carter-Roane-Loudon-Knox-Jefferson-Northwest Blount- Blount Smoky Mountains-North Sevier-Sevier Smoky Mountains- Sequatchie-Bledsoe-Rhea-Meigs-McMinn-Northwest Monroe- Southeast Monroe-Marion-Hamilton-Bradley-West Polk-East Polk-Lee- Wise-Scott VA-Russell-Washington VA- 1226 AM EST Fri Jan 30 2026 /1126 PM CST Thu Jan 29 2026/ This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of southwest North Carolina...east Tennessee and southwest Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Snow will move into the area from the north this afternoon into the evening and intensify overnight, especially in the eastern half of the area. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday Snow will continue through the day on Saturday before gradually tapering off north to south during the evening. Heavy snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected in the eastern half of the area with lesser but still significant snow accumulations further south and west. The lightest amounts will be in the southern Plateau and southern Valley. Very cold temperatures will allow snow to accumulate quickly and on most surfaces .
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Not sure if this has been mentioned yet, but the winter storm warning has been changed in Knox County for accumulations of 4 to 8 inches .
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Not sure if this has been mentioned yet, but the winter storm warning has been changed in Knox County for accumulations of 4 to 8 inches .
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Go ahead and lock her in boys…. .
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The SREF is up to 4.5 for TYS. It started today at 2” .
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There’s a mountain sub thread? .
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Well, we are in that no man’s land with the models and anticipating the start of this. pretty much it is what it is at this point and there’s not gonna be much mod change so we’re in a holding pattern. .
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At 20/1, i gotta think we get more than .1 tenth of an inch of liquid. .
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Well… wasn’t expecting this…still going conservative until tomorrow morning i guess .
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Is it possible for you to get extra lift from a E/SE wind? .
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What’s the GFS hybrid AI? This is not ratioed… .
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Spreading the wealth .
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SREF plums at TYS went from 2ish inches from 9z to 4ish inches at 15z .
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I enjoy looking at Mt Leconte’s NWS forecast… .
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Which high res mods use the radar to help predict precipitation? Just wondering if snow under the radar gets missed by the HRRR and potentially other mods. .
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From SPC meso…. The snow burst in eastern NC and southeast VA depict 700-500mb lapse rates >6.5C/km Saturday afternoon and evening where 2”/hr rates with thundersnow is likely. .
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Is that ratioed? .
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.02 isn’t much. I’d think something was up if it didn’t go up or down a little. .
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How bizarre is it to look at a warning, Advisory, etc… map of East Tennessee and see Knox County lumped in there with the mountain counties? Does anyone ever remember this happening before? .
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I didn’t realize that. Interesting .
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Maybe they just hadn’t updated it yet .
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Here’s my Accuweather forecast. (Yeah I know lol) but it’s nice to see my % isn’t that far apart. .
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My point and click went from 1 or 2 inches to an inch or less. .
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IMO the HRRR is best for severe storms .
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