TalcottWx

My point is your elevation would not matter because of the marginal airmass above (in worst scenario). Seeing signs of mid level warming, and dry slot. This is why nw CT and berks are Jacks and me to you are biggest question marks. There is a nightmare scenario for you where I have heavy snow falling and you dryslot, I'm not favoring that scenario at all for the record. You should also stack after the flip because of colder air at elevation compared to me. Hoping dynamics will overcome here.

It's not about the topography. Mid level and low track far more important.

We are right on the line.

6z GFS is pretty terrible for CT outside of NW CT. Forgettable is how I would describe that solution here.

Scot says the forecast is 'Everything, everywhere, all at once"

The 3k is pornographic.

6z HRRR is very good too. Looks like it's printing 12" in Hartford. 16" near Waterbury. Something near 15" Kev. 6-12" E MA and still snowing near the end of the run's reach.

6z NAM still hits low elevations of northern CT, and eastern MA with a lot of snow.

Hartford county is right on the line still. Pretty wild. Nothing figured out last night.

Good luck - time to go back to bed. Work at 4 am, ugh

It's OK - track seems like bigger concern vs elevation. I get a decent amount of snow if we can get the low further south and east. Let's just get that to happen

No its pretty obvious

Idk what you're saying either because I've been saying there are red flags, Rev is the one who said there isn't

Simsbury is the first town at the start of the hills far different from Hartford.

Euro really gave us the shaft

This went to crap fast.

It's speedway now

Be careful going anywhere near 20" with marginal surface temperatures.

I'm all in on this one my guess here is 10"

We bury.

Just want to point out: box afd mentioned, "Typically a storm track so close to the coast will yield a rain/snow line well northwest of I-95. However, in this event,with rapid height falls (cooling from top down thru the column), ther ain/snow line may collapse right to the surface low! If that does occur (not saying it's likely) there would be a death band just a few miles north and west of an rgem like solution. That might be intermittent thundersnow over BDL Kev right down 91. Edge of dryslot lines up right about there, that's usually where you'll get the unstable environment. Key word from afd was "may", but just saying that has potential to be epic just nw of the low.

If he's wrong I'll need my own toaster bath meme

Tip gone wild. You love to see it.

As Jerry said, 0z will be huge.