TalcottWx

That's not really a DS. Plenty of low level forcing in very cold 850 temps. BOS is fine verbatim.

Yeah, either way people are forgetting boxing day. Dry slotted on that one and the coast was crushed

Dryslots immediate Boston area by 45-48 hours. By then a lot has fallen and hopefully it picks up again.

I'm not even worried... Bigger picture looks damn good on this run.

it has yet to show the same solution for two consecutive runs

I don't agree with NAM being onto anything.  It can't keep continuity between runs wrt to jet streak tracking, changing from run to run across the last 24 hours of cycles... back and forth.  No folks - 

Correct- But one would still rather see it move e or se as we continue to close in on the storm rather than the opposite. Is the nam perfect? no. But it's still taken into account. If it would ever be right, it would be short time.

Will rgem follow?

Yeah.. I think the NAM is actually on to something here. It looks much more traditional with it's qpf depiction, and to what many of us thought and agreed on for jackpot areas.

The NAM is a carbon copy of the Central LI-Kevin-ORH-Ray Jacks... EVERYONE in SNE is getting POUNDED at 15z.

6z-12z Tuesday the LP is basically moving directly north toward Cape Cod.

. This x10000000. I only know bits and pieces of what's going on and if they only knew what's been going on over the last 24-30hrs behind the scenes.

Well, we know now. When it says we're up and running at 100% on the banner, it sort of makes you open to criticism lol

Nam is significantly SE. Wow. Could be some huge busts

SNE is locked in. All this run might do is shift around the banding locales.

Guys...we're playing with settings. The only way to test everything is when the peak traffic occurs.

That last setting didn't agree

NAM amplifies later. Probably going to be a noose worthy run for NYC but still great for SNE.

Christ can someone drive to channel 5 tell Wankum to wank one, take a day off and have Harvey take over?

Is Mike Wankum dumbing it down or is he dumb? Is he talking about the dry air? New GFS from 18z? What Mike... What

The new and improved GFS want to drive warmer air father inland. Reducing totals near the coast. #wcvb

All eyes to the NAM

James no where to be found...did he jump?

Good question. Where the hell has he been?

Better question- Where is Jim Corren with my beer from our bet?

Heavier wet snow combined with high winds down near the SE ma coast could be impressive

Box Skywarn Coordination Message 

http://www.wx1box.org/node/3581

Any thoughts on how much damage this storm may actually do (if much at all)?

I wish coastal flooding people would weigh in because I have no idea comparatively to some other storm related stuff. I'm within sight of Boston Harbor from the parents... but that kind of stuff doesn't affect us. We are sheltered.

Here is the 78 snowfall map for comparative purposes

And they have been whining about it.

Would love to be in Seattle for weather like that!

Sometimes i think the things that inhibit severe can be better to know; dry air, cap, stable marine LL BL, too much shear, lack of mid level lapse rates, no trigger/lift, no cold pool aloft, bad timing, no curved hodo signature, no favorable jet... some obviously already mentioned

Never put much study into this storm at all. Pretty incredible pictures, photos, and met stuff.

I wonder who took these/what his neighbors think....

Man... just absolutely insane pictures that I didn't want to have lost in the pages and pages of the outbreak thread

http://www.boston.com/bigpicture/2011/05/deadly_tornados_strike_again.html?p1=News_links

Indeed he is, already made a few posts.

http://www.americanw...04-typhoon-tip/

I'm thrilled he is. Pathetic that immature insults drove him off the board. He is one of our most dedicated and knowledgeable weenies on the board! He loves to confuse the hell out of us sometimes with his terminology but you learn from him. Thrilled hes back.

Is baroclinic_instability TIp???

Tip is back under his old name