TalcottWx

I'm not worried one bit by that garbage.LOL..every other piece of useable guidance shifted east and it goes even farther west. There's going to be some disappointed folks to the west of SNE if they are hanging hats on NAM

You seem worried

Converging on two jackpots for sure now. NYC area and BOS-PVD-PYM Triangle.

Banding looks very consistent over Boston on the NAM... Love it. Snows and Snows and Snows.

Rpm is obscene for se ma. So different from the euro on spread west and north though. Wow

For God's sake... Someone post the damn RPM

The snow in the Blizzard of 78, as I remember it, was much heavier/wetter than we're going to see in this one. I know you know that. Big difference between cleaning up 30" of heavy wet snow and 30" of powder.

Boston to PVD is above 30F for a time........ 0-6z

18z tuesday it is 32F New Bedford and 11F in providence.

I was wondering about that!

 

That Is a key ingredient for obscene  totals in Boston .....

 

I was trying to load my fav meso model for CF stuff but the 4KM BTV WRF at 12z won't load for me

 

 

Dick Albert (remember him old weenies) is Chuckin em' on Harvey's Twitter

 

"This storm could be top 5 in Boston.

In addition more snow later in week.

In addition, some of coldest weather in years in early February."

Me either.

Models are finally seeing the low level convergence near us. Last couple days we had the 'subsidence'.

The CF looks ridiculous for the Boston area on the euro.

There is an archive thread I created yesterday. Post anything you have there!

How does Southborough MA do lol... Hour away!

Good luck getting gas, lik Web 1970s lines out there: better safe having it ready to go

Euro has 1.2" QPF in 6 hours for BOS between 6z and 12z.

Jesus.

Euro looks a bit east through 24h.

Why wouldn't okx wait for the euro?

Can someone please post the RPM. I'm having RPM withdrawals 

1030 AM UPDATE...

HERE WE GO.

TOP-DOWN MOISTENING APPARENT BETWEEN 0Z AND 12Z CHATHAM SOUNDING
WITH SOME DRY-AIR LINGERING AROUND H85. MUCH DRIER N PER PORTLAND
MAINE SOUNDING WITH EXTREMELY LOW PWATS. IT IS THE COMBINATION OF
THERMAL-PACKING / AIRMASS ALONG WHICH WITHIN THE MID-LEVELS THAT
WE ARE BEGINNING TO SEE W-E F-GEN FORCING ALONG THE DEVELOPING
WARM-FRONT AS ACTIVITY ALOFT NEGATIVELY TROUGHS LENDING TO
INTENSIFICATION OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE ENHANCED
BAROCLINIC ZONE OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC. CHECK OUT THE H85-5
VERTICAL WIND PROFILES OUT OF THE S. H925 WINDS OUT OF THE E...
PERHAPS AIDING IN MOISTENING OF LOW-LEVELS AND ADDING A DEGREE OF
OCEAN-EFFECT FETCH TO THE DISCERNED BANDING. WITHIN THE E-W SNOW
BANDING PRESENTLY IMPACTING THE S-COASTAL COMMUNITIES OF NEW
ENGLAND...VISIBILITIES WILL DROP TO A MILE ON AVERAGE. SNOW SHOULD
ACCUMULATE IMMEDIATELY AS TEMPERATURES RANGE AROUND THE UPPER-
TEENS TO LOW-20S AND THE GROUND IS EXCEPTIONALLY COLD.

ALSO SEEING A COASTAL FRONT SETUP SW-NE OFFSHORE OF THE IMMEDIATE
E-MA COASTLINE AND THROUGH THE CAPE-COD CANAL. THE CONVERGENCE OF
WINDS AND DECENT MOISTURE FETCH IS LENDING TO SOME LIGHT SNOWS
OVER THE S-BOSTON-METRO INTO PLYMOUTH COUNTY. EXPECTING ACTIVITY
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AS THE ISALLOBARIC WIND COMPONENT
INCREASES IN RESPONSE TO THE ANTICIPATED DEEPENING OF LOW PRESSURE
OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC.

IMPORTANT: AS ALLUDED TO BY THE PREVIOUS FORECASTER...WITH
INCREASING WINDS YIELDS AN INCREASING FETCH. ENHANCEMENT OF
OCEAN-EFFECT SNOWS ACROSS E-MA POSSIBLE TOWARDS THE EVENING
COMMUTE. INCREASING SNOWFALL RATES AND SUBSEQUENT REDUCED
VISIBILITIES WITH ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL...COULD BE IMPACTS TO
EVENING BOSTON-METRO AREA COMMUTE. WILL NEED TO MONITOR THAT
CLOSELY.

That oes enhanced stuff near BOS is really going to help if we fight mid level dry air... low level forcing from the CF... Keep it pumping.

Yeah that area near PYM-Bridgewater-GHG triangle could be a sneaky monster total...everyone is focusing on the deform band, but that area is gonna get firehosed and get CF enhancement too.

There's even hints of nice enhancement into BOS too really. Could care less about all the subsidence worries.

There will be winners here, and there will be Powerball type winners

I think somewhere near you. Hope that's not the kiss of death.

Water vapor loop is pretty classic.  Live link

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html

God that is hawt.

Tappan zee swan dives that run

*splash*

Euro will be interesting... again.. For the nine billionth time.

Rpm eliminates the screwzone. I think I'll be fine here, OES already going. It's a bit north of BOS that I'd be more concerned but that's still up in the air.

Please post!

If things go down again... Request to join and I will accept everyone.

https://www.facebook.com/groups/Amwxsne/

General trend this AM seems as if BOS is included in the south shore jack region now.

Ferocious could in the long range. Whatever falls will be glacier in the coming weeks.

Good night all. start of a long week tomorrow.