TalcottWx

I don't know enough about Vermont to even begin answering something like that, but I'm sure someone here might.

Just totaled up last week's rain total in Weatogue, 4.85"

I was in a wedding this weekend, but I've caught some bits and pieces of the modeling, and this seems to be quite the flooding event? I mean, you have to think this causes sine big issues somewhere.

Shine on, keep on shining, shine on, Keep on shining, shine on, keep on shining

Yes.. Looks like some spots might have put up 6-8" of rain locally. There's an unconfirmed report serious injuries, after a tree fell on two people in Thompson.

We are getting croaked. Roads were impassable in spots on way home. Water Rescues, building collapses... Crazy afternoon.

Looks like cells are going to train over the same areas Avon Burlington Farmington Simsbury etc.... Get the pumps ready

Further east, GOES-E Visible imagery shows increasing convective vigor with a few additional stronger cells over the lower Hudson Valley starting to move into CT. Persistent southwesterly low to mid-level WAA has been providing moisture flux through this area into Southern New England with total PWat values increasing from 1.75 toward 2" in the next few hours. Additionally, fairly clear skies has allowed for increasing instability up to 1500-2000 J/kg across CT int RI. As such, convection will likely strengthen and broaden in coverage (both cells and downdraft area). Forward speeds are slow, but will start to slacken after 00z as a new 850mb pivot/low shifts toward the Hudson Valley, backing steering flow increasing duration across southern New England for potential for spots of 1.5-2.5" though 03z. There is some uncertainty, but initial band/round of cells and upstream advection of moisture/low-level heating may allow for additional scattered cells to form upstream and repeat through areas hit by the first round. As such and in combination with 1-3" that fell last evening (across S New England)130, grounds may be prone to scattered incidents of flash flooding tonight.

Similar to where that cell just went up near Southington.

That's a fun one. Kinda thinking I get a deluge tonight. Radar looks like it.

HRRR also fired storms over eastern CT around now.

Check out the winds in higher tilts. That's definitely going to cause damage somewhere there.

Watching an area around Bridgeport/New Haven County for one of those Seabreeze cu to bubble over and blow up from the NY storm outflow.

Some very legitimate severe west of ALB

Big watch area just upstream from us.

Hrrr keeps forming a cell that lifts up the middle of CT toward the MA border later on.

HRRR is printing out 4" lollies over Farmington Valley. Seems like over to Waterbury, Cheshire, Bristol is favored. That stretch.

3.18" of rain over the past 24 hours at home. A lot of modeling adds at least 2" over next two days.

Could be some localized flooding setting up tonight.

The early morning storms sat over Avon and here. Second round favored a little south. This round a little north this time, but cells should slide east and train over northern CT tonight.

Doing the same thing it did from Burlington to Farmington, this time a few miles north. Turning easterly as it strengthens.

Looks troublesome for the in laws here in Poquonock/Windsor. Could see a severe warning in coming minutes.

BURLINGTON - RT 4 CLOSED at Canton road because of Tree down in wires (Police Activity). Reported Sunday, July 2 at 5:37 pm.

If that Torrington/Winsted cell could get going, it could be your next severe warning. I'd favor Fairfield County for the next severe warning though. Atmosphere ahead of that cell in CT most be a bit tainted overall.

Probably looking at a similar scenario here.