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Everything posted by jsw
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Here in Brattleboro, maples are all bright yellow, but everything else is green, mostly. If you look across the CT River at Mount Wantastiquet from town, it's a wall of mostly green still. It's like a straight up and down elevation change, about 300 feet (the river elevation ASL) to the summit (around 1,000 ft. ASL). If you're familiar, when it's peak color here, it's quite a colorful sight!
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Downtown Brattleboro was also spectacular, but I didn't dig out my camera. I was on my way to an appointment. I just soaked it in.
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Brattleboro now 75/47. Best kind of summer/late summer type weather. I know it's technically autumn, but it has been do freakin hot all summer! Oh yeah, I haven't even been looking at the local NWS forecast every morning as usual. It's almost the same every day...ha.
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It is indeed awesome. I wore long pants for the first time in a while during the day, totally comfortable with t-shirt. Kinda sounds funny, but to me it means it's starting to cool off enough, a little, and I have always like fall and winter the best.
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Edit to add: I just read the whole page on the link below (NOAA winter temp/precip forecast and ENSO bar chart and explanation). I found it, like a lot of stuff here, very informative and helpful, especially for a non-science, non-meteorologist like me. Just sayin', thanks... -- Most of this ENSO stuff is over my head, but I do enjoy reading Ray's and others winter forecasts and reasoning, and have for like 15 years plus. I learn, and if I even only "get" some of it, I come out ahead. Also, I am a big time winter enthusiast, you could say, it's my favorite time of year for a few of my favorite pastimes (surf, snowboard), and just having winter outside my window. I even like to shovel snow, ha. And for my landscaping company that I work for in Brattleboro, I do tractor snow clearing. It's fun. Anyway, this page was linked on Boston.com winter forecast article today. It has ENSO info, so figured it was OK to put here. I do not really like the forecast temp and snow this particular Web site (the one in the link) provides, but I am never one to "shoot the messenger." https://opensnow.com/news/post/noaa-2025-2026-winter-forecast
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Ok, now all is good... Thx!
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Hmm, weird...my Americanwx does not appear to be updating? This is the only post I see since sometime Friday. I am on a new device, and reloaded. The only post is Snowedin's post about, I assume, phantom rain. Anybody? Thanks!
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I scrolled through this page quickly, so this is kind of redundant, but it ain't over yet. Temperature is now 71, dewpoint 68...juicy!
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I am simply glad it's not 80F and wall to wall sunshine with no breeze for it seems like since June. Shorts and longsleeve shirt, 60F 63DP. Occasional light drizzle, been out a lot of the day. Ahh, that's what I'm talking about!!!
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I lived in Providence for ten years (2000 - 2010). Congrats to my friends and family down there!
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We got .25 in about a half hour, most of it. Damp and warm, humid, not bad here this morning!
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I have been keeping up on the tropics somewhat, here and elsewhere, due to my affinity for those that track a couple hundred miles offshore New England, and produce some of our cleanest, nicest, juiciest waves. I go to Point Judith, or elsewhere (30 years, year round). Point being--there is a cane to track right now (the second one)!
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Here, the maple leaves are turning a vivid red, and falling. I still do some landscaping in Brattleboro, part-time. Leaf season coming up with the big ol' beast of a leaf sucker. K-ching! We reuse it as mulch and then compost the next two years.
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I climbed Mount Marcy about twenty years ago with my Dad and two brothers. Also, you can't beat the view of the Adirondacks from Burlington. I have a good friend from Saranac Lake (always one of the coldest spots, that station--SLK?). Another from Lake Placid. Ex-girlfriend's family had a cool little place further West, Adirondacks, accessible only by boat. Sorry, this made me reminisce for a minute...
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Holy sh--, I read about this on NPR's Web site yesterday: https://www.npr.org/2025/09/22/nx-s1-5549961/patrons-new-hampshire-shooting I am also glad you are OK, wicked scary!
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I actually "liked" that, but then realized central NH and Maine need it way more than we do here. I looked at HPC QPf for over the next five days, and it does indeed look like all, pretty much(?) New England gets a good dousing.
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Adding more to the fall foliage info, from NPR today. https://www.npr.org/2025/09/22/nx-s1-5550033/fall-leaves-peak-map-2025 Excerpt: New England is currently experiencing drought conditions — despite a wet spring and early summer — which is causing leaves in some places to turn brown and shrivel up. But in other cases, Kosiba says, minor drought can actually make some leaves turn an even deeper red. Kosiba says parts of New England, like where she is in Vermont, are seeing the onset of fall foliage about a week earlier than expected. But the region's varied topography and rainfall patterns make it hard to paint with a broad brush. "So we'll see in some places, where the soil is very shallow and rocky, that we are seeing early leaf drop," she says. "And then on the other side of a hill very close to that location, we might see an area that's really green and hasn't even started the fall foliage process." If you're worried about missing peak Northeast foliage, or planning a last-minute leaf-peeping trip, Kosiba's advice is "just keep driving south." Southern New England and parts of the Mid-Atlantic may not see their colors peak until late October or even November. "My thought personally, because I love the fall foliage season, is that it's always good somewhere," she says. "So if it seems a little brown where you are, go a little bit to a different location."
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It was 45F here for a low last night, now 69F. Nice day!
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I like the HPC QPF five-day precip forecast, as it now stands. More rain than I have seen (Brattleboro or here) in like months? Seems like years...
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I just looked at HPC QPF page. Here is the 7-day total. I downloaded it about an hour ago and then did a bunch of work, but... Not too impressive for here, at all.
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This made me want to see fall foliage currently and forecast. I went to this Web site: https://www.explorefall.com/fall-foliage-map It's pretty cool, with the slider at the bottom for forecast foliage. I have been to other sites on previous years, but have not yet seen this one. And cropped New England, kinda small, but I find this useful!
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Funny, sort of, that I read that just now, right after reading the SWS for here. I was not online yesterday, so: Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 610 PM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025 ...ELEVATED RISK FOR FIRE SPREAD AGAIN SATURDAY... A prolonged period of dry weather and dry fuels will result in elevated fire weather conditions later Saturday morning through Saturday afternoon. Although winds will be rather light from the north at 5-10 mph with a few 20+ mph gusts confined to mainly to the Cape and Islands...the relative humidity will be lower than what we observed today. Minimum relative humidity values will drop to between 25 and 40 percent along and northwest of I-95 and between 40 and 55 percent towards the Cape and Islands. Exercise caution handling any potential ignition sources, including machinery, cigarettes, and matches. Any fires that ignite will have potential to spread quickly. This forecast considers meteorological, fuel, and land conditions and has been developed in coordination with state fire and land management officials. $$ Frank
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Thanks, after I posted a thought I should have added: "...and with some trepidation..." Heh. I like these graphics, HPC QPF page (below). Edit to add: It will most likely change, but seems always to be fairly accurate, at least a few days out. Man, central U.S... I am a visual person, a lot of the super technical stuff here is over my head, but I have learned a lot here over, holy crap 15+ years back to the prior version of this site? Time flies. Anyway, I like pretty pictures, in addition to learn and reading complicated examinations of weather patterns, forecasting, computer models, why what happens when, all that.
