jsw

Bring it!

I am simply glad it's not 80F and wall to wall sunshine with no breeze for it seems like since June. Shorts and longsleeve shirt, 60F 63DP. Occasional light drizzle, been out a lot of the day. Ahh, that's what I'm talking about!!!

I lived in Providence for ten years (2000 - 2010). Congrats to my friends and family down there!

We got .25 in about a half hour, most of it. Damp and warm, humid, not bad here this morning!

I have been keeping up on the tropics somewhat, here and elsewhere, due to my affinity for those that track a couple hundred miles offshore New England, and produce some of our cleanest, nicest, juiciest waves. I go to Point Judith, or elsewhere (30 years, year round). Point being--there is a cane to track right now (the second one)!

Here, the maple leaves are turning a vivid red, and falling. I still do some landscaping in Brattleboro, part-time. Leaf season coming up with the big ol' beast of a leaf sucker. K-ching! We reuse it as mulch and then compost the next two years.

I climbed Mount Marcy about twenty years ago with my Dad and two brothers. Also, you can't beat the view of the Adirondacks from Burlington. I have a good friend from Saranac Lake (always one of the coldest spots, that station--SLK?). Another from Lake Placid. Ex-girlfriend's family had a cool little place further West, Adirondacks, accessible only by boat. Sorry, this made me reminisce for a minute...

Holy sh--, I read about this on NPR's Web site yesterday: https://www.npr.org/2025/09/22/nx-s1-5549961/patrons-new-hampshire-shooting I am also glad you are OK, wicked scary!

I actually "liked" that, but then realized central NH and Maine need it way more than we do here. I looked at HPC QPf for over the next five days, and it does indeed look like all, pretty much(?) New England gets a good dousing.

Adding more to the fall foliage info, from NPR today. https://www.npr.org/2025/09/22/nx-s1-5550033/fall-leaves-peak-map-2025 Excerpt: New England is currently experiencing drought conditions — despite a wet spring and early summer — which is causing leaves in some places to turn brown and shrivel up. But in other cases, Kosiba says, minor drought can actually make some leaves turn an even deeper red. Kosiba says parts of New England, like where she is in Vermont, are seeing the onset of fall foliage about a week earlier than expected. But the region's varied topography and rainfall patterns make it hard to paint with a broad brush. "So we'll see in some places, where the soil is very shallow and rocky, that we are seeing early leaf drop," she says. "And then on the other side of a hill very close to that location, we might see an area that's really green and hasn't even started the fall foliage process." If you're worried about missing peak Northeast foliage, or planning a last-minute leaf-peeping trip, Kosiba's advice is "just keep driving south." Southern New England and parts of the Mid-Atlantic may not see their colors peak until late October or even November. "My thought personally, because I love the fall foliage season, is that it's always good somewhere," she says. "So if it seems a little brown where you are, go a little bit to a different location."

It was 45F here for a low last night, now 69F. Nice day!

I like the HPC QPF five-day precip forecast, as it now stands. More rain than I have seen (Brattleboro or here) in like months? Seems like years...

I just looked at HPC QPF page. Here is the 7-day total. I downloaded it about an hour ago and then did a bunch of work, but... Not too impressive for here, at all.

This made me want to see fall foliage currently and forecast. I went to this Web site: https://www.explorefall.com/fall-foliage-map It's pretty cool, with the slider at the bottom for forecast foliage. I have been to other sites on previous years, but have not yet seen this one. And cropped New England, kinda small, but I find this useful!

Funny, sort of, that I read that just now, right after reading the SWS for here. I was not online yesterday, so: Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 610 PM EDT Fri Sep 19 2025 ...ELEVATED RISK FOR FIRE SPREAD AGAIN SATURDAY... A prolonged period of dry weather and dry fuels will result in elevated fire weather conditions later Saturday morning through Saturday afternoon. Although winds will be rather light from the north at 5-10 mph with a few 20+ mph gusts confined to mainly to the Cape and Islands...the relative humidity will be lower than what we observed today. Minimum relative humidity values will drop to between 25 and 40 percent along and northwest of I-95 and between 40 and 55 percent towards the Cape and Islands. Exercise caution handling any potential ignition sources, including machinery, cigarettes, and matches. Any fires that ignite will have potential to spread quickly. This forecast considers meteorological, fuel, and land conditions and has been developed in coordination with state fire and land management officials. $$ Frank

Thanks, after I posted a thought I should have added: "...and with some trepidation..." Heh. I like these graphics, HPC QPF page (below). Edit to add: It will most likely change, but seems always to be fairly accurate, at least a few days out. Man, central U.S... I am a visual person, a lot of the super technical stuff here is over my head, but I have learned a lot here over, holy crap 15+ years back to the prior version of this site? Time flies. Anyway, I like pretty pictures, in addition to learn and reading complicated examinations of weather patterns, forecasting, computer models, why what happens when, all that.

I read this in the NWS discussion for Chicopee, Mass., just now. I read it with great interest and some hope, of course! Upper level ridging begins to weaken and move off to the east with the associated surface high pressure doing the same to start next week. A trough over the Great Lakes moves towards the region as the high makes its exit. With high pressure shifting offshore, southerly to southwesterly flow kicks in Monday into Tuesday, increasing temperatures and moisture which may peak Tuesday according to ensemble guidance. Ensemble probs for temperatures 80F+ remain relatively high across much of eastern MA and the CT River Valley, though they have trended down slightly over the past few runs (not by much, but notable enough to hint at temperatures just reaching 80F rather than exceeding it). Ensembles are in good agreement in mean PWAT values ranging between 1.4-1.5" across the region by Tuesday afternoon, and deterministic and ensemble guidance hints at some instability that could support rain showers. However, given the extended dry weather we`ve seen, confidence remains low in these showers materializing. And if they do, it`s not likely that they provide the amount of rain we need for relief from these dry conditions.

Born and raised in Boston and Newton, now in Northampton (just moved here). Surprisingly, I have never been to the BigE, but Sunday is the day! Been to the Topsfield Fair, others in the area. This one, based on the brochure/flyer thing, considering Big Boi from Outkast, other musical acts, events, food, drink. I hear it's $20 to get in for the day, well worth it. And, of course, beautiful weather on tap. https://www.thebige.com/

Yeah, too hot.

Weather-related shock therapy?

Yawn worthy weather continues here, for the next seven days at least as forecast by NWS for Chicopee, Mass. (local station). Meanwhile, my theme song for the summer:

If I were in my aluminum canoe it would be all dented from trying to dodge rocks, in between portages, with that flow above. Not the time of year anyway, but especially...

I saw a couple of trees (not close enough, maple, maybe, off in the distance) here turning red/orange yesterday. And so it begins? Wicked early, maybe they were diseased. Every tree is very thirsty. I am getting thirsty just thinking about it. Early beer-o-clock? Haha.

A friend of mine also does landscaping (I am doing that now a few years, and "hardscape"), and it is so much more work when all of a sudden you are in a desert climate, after "temperate," "Northeast Boreal," or whatever, it didn't used to matter! The COC can take a long walk off a short pier. We need precip.

I just hope no rain this summer will not mean no snow this winter. It cannot go on forever? Maybe it can and the Earth, thanks to us (sorry little editorialization), is moribund and going to Hell in a handbasket, whatever. But I don't want to be on man-made snow all winter. East Coast crud, "packed powder," ice patches, dirt poking through. All adds to the challenge, but man, I want some powder! Don't make me shell out a couple month's pay to go out West, please. I can't really afford that this year, or usually, unless it's some business-related thing (rare for me of late). So, just give me a good ol' fashioned winter like with I ran the lifts at Mount Snow upon returned to New England from five years in San Francisco. It was 1996 - 1997, I believe, record snow year up til then. We were open from Halloween to tax day (six months). I got 150 fricken days snowboarding in--all day 8am - 4pm days off, five runs per day when I worked. I grew up going to that mountain since I was a kid in Boston/Mass. Give me more of that, please!