Baum

When’s the next one?

Ground zero

I’ll take it WHAT...SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS RANGING FROM 2 TO 6 INCHES. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF I-88.

https://x.com/nilwxreports/status/1997469765749669946?s=61

QC notorious

Ground zero to start winter this year. It’s been a minute or 11 years.

Live by the sword, die by the sword.

All Manitoba maulers and Saskatchewan Screamers are pretty much now cast events within 6 hours.

It’s all happening too fast.

Well, however it plays out well ahead of the game this season.

Need to keep scoring in this cold pattern

In retrospect. A good 1-2” event. Looks like mid winter on December 2.

Yup. Fail here. Thread starter fired.

Mood dust has commenced.

Let’s keep it rolling. Why not. Per Lot: EXPECTATIONS ARE THAT TOP-DOWN SATURATION WILL RESULT IN A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW SPREADING WEST TO EAST OVER THE ENTIRE AREA, REACHING THE I-39 CORRIDOR BY MID-AFTERNOON AND THE CHICAGO METRO AND NORTHWEST INDIANA BY LATE AFTERNOON. MOST GUIDANCE HAS BEEN CONSISTENT IN GENERATING QPF GENERALLY IN THE 0.15-0.20 INCH RANGE, WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OF AT LEAST 0.25 INCH IN THE BROADER ENSEMBLE ENVELOPE SOUTH OF I-80. MEANWHILE, A 3KM DEEP DGZ INTERSECTING WITH MOST OF THE MID-LEVEL ASCENT WOULD SUPPORT A HIGHER RATIO SNOWFALL ON THE ORDER OF 15:1 TO EVEN 20:1. PUTTING THIS TOGETHER, A WIDESPREAD FLUFFY SNOW EVENT OF 1-3" NORTH OF I-80 AND 2-4" SOUTH OF I-80 APPEARS LIKELY. HAVE SOME CONCERNS THAT THE 600 HPA F-GEN NOTED ABOVE WILL FOCUS A NARROW (COUNTY-WIDE) WSW TO ENE ORIENTED BAND OF HIGHER QPF AND HIGHER SLR (>20:1) SOUTHEAST OF I-55 IN THE EVENING. IN THIS CASE, IT IS FEASIBLE THAT A NARROW 4-6" BAND OF SNOW WILL BE REALIZED. FINALLY, WHILE NOT EXPECTED (10% CHANCE), SYNOPTIC ENHANCEMENT OF A DEVELOPING MESO-LOW OVER SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN TONIGHT COULD BACK CLOSE TO THE ILLINOIS SHORE AS THE LOW-LEVEL SYNOPTIC FLOW TURNS SSE EARLY MONDAY EVENING. WILL THEREFORE NEED TO MONITOR FOR LOCALLY HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE SHORE FROM DOWNTOWN CHICAGO TO THE IL/WI LINE.