wake4est

Lol I’ve seen this before. The GFS, from 4 years ago today for roughly the same time frame as the monster run from this afternoon.

That is interesting for sure. Regular GFS is close to a similar solution.

3 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Valentine’s Mirage 

Still snowing... 

41 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

SuperBowl Sunday!

Just ripping up on Beech Mtn 

Snow off and on consistently since about midnight. About 2” ish so far up in Seven Devils. 27 degrees 

I’m up in Banner Elk for the weekend. Radar is showing snow overhead but it’s not reaching the ground. 34/26dp

Edit: Aaaannnnndddd it starting pouring snow

Wowzers.

Man, I am stoked to ride this one out in Banner Elk instead of Wake County. Should be fun!

Just now, HKY_WX said:

THis is going to be a solid snow in Wake County. It's already 33 here in NW Raleigh with moderate snow and it's laying already. THis is supposed to keep up till 1am per the mesoscale models. Definitely think 3 to 6 is easily attainable.

You think RAH will go for the WSW?

SREF plumes at RDU have a mean of 6”.

Just now, Tar Heel Snow said:

Been coming down awhile and none of the snow is sticking, I imagine that’s because it’s 36°?

It’s because the ground is warm. 

Just now, Dunkman said:

So is it really actually going to snow in southern Wake this time? Are we sure?

Oh and nice SN here in High Point, sticking to the deck and some in the grass.

It currently is!

Rah mentioned it in their 2:20pm discussion as a possibility.

HRRR and NAM 3k put down 4+ in Wake (kuchera) and ludicrous amounts at 10:1

4 minutes ago, Amos83 said:

got a link to the HRRR?

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=hrrr&p=snku_acc&rh=2020022019&fh=10&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=

All snow in Holly Springs. 

Hooooboy the HRRR is gonna be a masterpiece.

Snow line showing up

Moderate sleet mixed with snow in Holly Springs 

cc radar

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=RAX-N0C-0-6

First precip just began here in Holly Springs and it started as sleet with no rain mixed in.

RDU sref went from 5.5 to 3.88 mean.

Just now, Dunkman said:

The 3k NAM is actually drier west of Raleigh but wetter in Wake and to the E and NE.

Nearly 6” in wake.

IP/Snow with very little rain....