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migratingwx

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Everything posted by migratingwx

  1. A slight northern jolt with the snow axis on the 00z Euro, but keeps Chicago firmly in healthy totals and similar to the 18z totals here. 00z vs 18z below
  2. EPS mean also went up since the 18z run. 00z vs 18z below
  3. Like the GFS, the Euro does have some marginal surface temps from about midnight to 6am Sunday morning from Chicago south and east. Temps aloft, however, looks to remain below 0°C during the event until you get south of Kankakee and into Indiana. At 925mb, this is the warmest frame. Air above that is solidly below 0°C.
  4. Definitely! And thus, the totals ticked up decently from the 18z run.
  5. Looks like between about 10pm Saturday and 5am Sunday is when surface temps become marginal from Chicago and SE on this run
  6. A wobble back south with the track on the 00z GFS so totals are a tick higher than the 18z run.
  7. 18Z GFS has slightly higher amounts for Chicagoland. 18z vs 12z below.
  8. Interestingly, the 12z EPS mean is coming in a bit higher for Chicago than the 6z run.
  9. This run also puts O'Hare down to -1°F Monday morning with a snow depth of 6 inches.
  10. 12z Euro seems to have caught on with the WAA, so totals may not be as high as previous run, especially south of Chicago. Waiting on a few more frames.
  11. With snowcover, Euro puts O'Hare at -1°F next Monday morning.
  12. Big change on the 00z GFS for Chicagoland Thanksgiving weekend, something to watch. 18Z run posted below.
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